GHC

NEUTRAL

$1161.64 Live

Graham Holdings Company · NYSE

Target $1040.0 (-10.5%)

$882.21 52W Range $1224.76

GHC Graham Holdings Company - Fundamental Analysis

NEUTRAL

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GHC Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights

NYSE • Consumer Defensive • Education & Training Services

Current Price Live

$1161.64

Analyst Target

$1040.0

-10.5% Downside

52W High

$1224.76

52W Low

$882.21

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AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence

85%

GHC presents a contradictory profile: it is fundamentally stable but operationally stagnating. The Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable health, and the stock trades below its Graham Number ($1282.03), suggesting defensive value. However, this is severely offset by a catastrophic -80.10% YoY earnings collapse and stagnant revenue growth (0.40%), indicating a significant deterioration in profitability. While the balance sheet is exceptionally clean with low debt, the bearish technical trend and high PEG ratio suggest the stock is currently a value trap.

Key Strengths

Very low Debt/Equity ratio (0.30) indicating minimal insolvency risk

Trading near book value (P/B 1.06), providing a strong valuation floor

Diversified business portfolio across healthcare, automotive, and education

Stronger profit margins and lower leverage compared to sector averages

Highly sustainable dividend payout ratio (10.83%)

Key Risks

Severe earnings contraction (-80.10% YoY) suggesting operational distress

Stagnant revenue growth (0.40% YoY) indicating a lack of scalability

Extremely high PEG ratio (4.04) showing price is disconnected from growth

Poor capital efficiency with low ROE (6.48%) and ROA (2.92%)

Strongly bearish technical trend (10/100)

AI Fair Value Estimate

Based on comprehensive analysis

$875.0

-24.7% below current price

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Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis

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GHC