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GHG

NEUTRAL
$1.22 Live
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. · NYSE
$1.14 52W Range $2.78

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 28, 2026
Market cap
$123.86M
P/E
4.69
ROE
10.6%
Profit margin
15.2%
Debt/Equity
0.98
Dividend yield
4.92%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
GHG presents a classic 'value trap' profile, characterized by a strong Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and extreme undervaluation relative to its Graham Number ($3.80) and Intrinsic Value ($1.82). While the company maintains healthy liquidity (Current Ratio 1.64) and positive margins, it is plagued by negative revenue growth (-15% YoY) and a catastrophic 5-year price decline of 88.8%. The deterministic health scores suggest operational stability, but the market is pricing in a structural decline in the business model, as evidenced by the 0/100 technical trend.

Key Strengths

Deep value valuation with P/B of 0.49 and P/S of 0.10
Strong operational health indicated by Piotroski F-Score of 7/9
Very low P/E ratio (4.69) and Forward P/E (2.49)
Healthy short-term liquidity with a Current Ratio of 1.64
Positive profitability with an operating margin of 23.08%

Key Risks

Severe negative revenue growth (-15% YoY)
Consistent earnings misses (only 1 of last 4 quarters beat estimates)
Extreme bearish technical momentum (0/100 trend score)
Significant long-term capital erosion (-88.8% over 5 years)
Weak insider sentiment (40/100)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$1.75
+43.4% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
53
Moderate
Value
95
Future
20
Past
15
Health
85
Dividend
50
AI Verdict
Value Trap
Key drivers: Extreme valuation discount, Negative growth trajectory, Strong balance sheet health, Toxic price action
Confidence
90%
Value
95/100

Trading at a massive discount to both book value and defensive fair value.

Positives
  • P/E 4.69
  • P/B 0.49
  • Price well below Graham Number ($3.80)
Watchpoints
  • Low price suggests market expects further deterioration
Future
20/100

Fundamental growth metrics are trending sharply downward.

Positives
  • Low forward P/E suggests potential for earnings recovery
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth -15%
  • Earnings growth -6.6%
  • YoY EPS growth -43.5%
Past
15/100

Long-term price performance is catastrophic.

Positives
  • Maintained profitability through various cycles
Watchpoints
  • 5Y Change -88.8%
  • 1Y Change -41.1%
Health
85/100

Strong deterministic health scores contrast sharply with market performance.

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
  • Current Ratio 1.64
  • Quick Ratio 1.49
Watchpoints
  • Debt/Equity near 1.0
Dividend
50/100

Moderate yield but lacks strong sustainability signals.

Positives
  • Yield of 4.92%
Watchpoints
  • Dividend strength score 40/100
  • Payout ratio reported as 0.00% (data anomaly or non-earnings funded)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$1.22

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for GHG and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-27
GHG
GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd.
Primary
5Y
-88.8%
3Y
-71.3%
1Y
-41.1%
6M
-41.4%
1M
+3.4%
1W
-2.0%
DLT
Duluth Holdings Inc.
Peer
5Y
-80.0%
3Y
-50.9%
1Y
+95.8%
6M
-7.8%
1M
+50.9%
1W
+4.1%
BRL
Brilliant Earth Group, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-91.7%
3Y
-66.5%
1Y
-2.2%
6M
-49.4%
1M
-14.8%
1W
-5.9%
BSE
Bassett Furniture Industries, Incorporated
Peer
5Y
-27.8%
3Y
+2.9%
1Y
-5.0%
6M
-10.1%
1M
-1.2%
1W
-1.6%
GAM
Gambling.com Group Limited
Peer
5Y
-54.1%
3Y
-63.3%
1Y
-70.6%
6M
-53.3%
1M
-10.7%
1W
-3.7%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
4.69
Forward P/E
2.49
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.49
P/S Ratio
0.1
EV/Revenue
0.18
EV/EBITDA
0.95
Market Cap
$123.86M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 15.18%
Operating Margin 23.08%
Gross Margin 35.41%
ROE 10.57%
ROA 1.5%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -15.0%
Earnings Growth -6.6%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth -7.2%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.98
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.64
Good
Quick Ratio
1.49
Good
Cash/Share
$16.24

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q3 2025

Revenue
$0.3B
Gross Margin
41.7%
Op. Margin
23.1%
Net Margin
20.0%
Total Assets
$5.2B
Liabilities
$3.5B
Equity
$1.7B
Debt/Equity
2.03x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.2B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
-14%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2025-12-29
$N/A
2024-11-21
$0.65
-3.0% surprise
2024-08-15
$0.61
-49.6% surprise
2024-06-25
$0.58
+11.5% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing GHG against 382 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (23 bullish, 130 neutral, 229 bearish)
P/E Ratio
4.69
This Stock
vs
34.07
Sector Avg
-86.2% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
10.57%
This Stock
vs
-44.5%
Sector Avg
-123.8% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
15.18%
This Stock
vs
-5.47%
Sector Avg
-377.3% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.98
This Stock
vs
1.52
Sector Avg
-35.4% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-15.0%
This Stock
vs
28.89%
Sector Avg
-151.9% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.64
This Stock
vs
2.44
Sector Avg
-32.8% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

20-F
ANNUAL REPORT
2025-04-30

GHG filed its annual report on Form 20-F on April 30, 2025. Specific financial highlights and risk factors were not provided in the available metadata.

20-F
FORM 20-F
2024-04-30

GHG filed its Form 20-F annual report on April 30, 2024, providing comprehensive financial disclosures and risk assessments for the fiscal year. Specific financial highlights and risk factors are detailed within the full filing.

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning GHG from our newsroom.

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