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GSBD

BEARISH
$9.67 Live
Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. · NYSE
Target $9.12 (-5.6%)
$8.66 52W Range $12.03

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 28, 2026
Market cap
$1.09B
P/E
9.39
ROE
8.0%
Profit margin
32.6%
Debt/Equity
1.32
Dividend yield
14.79%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
GSBD presents as a classic value trap, characterized by a stable Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 but severely compromised by deteriorating fundamentals. While the Graham Number of $17.12 suggests defensive undervaluation and the stock trades at a discount to book (0.76x), these are offset by a catastrophic dividend payout ratio of 135.92% and double-digit declines in both revenue (-17.10%) and earnings (-34.70%). The disconnect between the high dividend yield and the actual earnings capacity indicates a high probability of a dividend cut. Technical trends are completely bearish (0/100), confirming a lack of market confidence despite the low P/E ratio.

Key Strengths

Trading significantly below book value (P/B 0.76)
Strong operating margins (83.47%)
Defensive fair value (Graham Number) is well above current price
Consistent history of beating quarterly earnings estimates
Low P/E ratio (9.39) relative to broader financial sector averages

Key Risks

Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (135.92%)
Severe negative earnings growth (-34.70% YoY)
Significant revenue contraction (-17.10% YoY)
Bearish technical trend (0/100 score)
Very low liquidity ratios (Current Ratio 0.12), though typical for BDC structures
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$8.46
-12.5% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
42
Moderate
Value
70
Future
20
Past
55
Health
50
Dividend
15
AI Verdict
Value Trap
Key drivers: Negative growth trajectory, Unsustainable dividend payout, Deep discount to book value
Confidence
90%
Value
70/100

Strong defensive metrics but poor growth-adjusted valuation.

Positives
  • P/B of 0.76
  • Graham Number $17.12
Watchpoints
  • Intrinsic value based on growth is only $7.21
Future
20/100

Severe contraction in top and bottom line growth.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Revenue Growth -17.10%
  • Earnings Growth -34.70%
Past
55/100

Historical reliability is being eroded by recent quarterly declines.

Positives
  • Frequent earnings beats over 25 quarters
Watchpoints
  • Recent trend shows declining EPS
Health
50/100

Health is stable but not strong; lacks Altman Z-Score for bankruptcy risk assessment.

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9 (Stable)
Watchpoints
  • Low current ratio
  • Debt/Equity 1.32
Dividend
15/100

Dividend is fundamentally unsupported by current earnings.

Positives
  • High nominal yield (14.79%)
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio 135.92% exceeds earnings

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$9.67
Analyst Target
$9.12
Upside/Downside
-5.6%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for GSBD and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-27
GSB
Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-6.4%
3Y
+7.1%
1Y
+5.5%
6M
+4.0%
1M
+11.5%
1W
-1.0%
ASS
Strive Asset Management, LLC
Peer
5Y
-95.1%
3Y
-95.1%
1Y
-17.8%
6M
-78.9%
1M
+1.0%
1W
-8.1%
HGT
Hagerty, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+9.9%
3Y
+7.1%
1Y
+21.8%
6M
-4.1%
1M
+3.2%
1W
-1.3%
OCF
OceanFirst Financial Corp.
Peer
5Y
+0.4%
3Y
+24.9%
1Y
+28.5%
6M
+5.6%
1M
+6.8%
1W
+0.5%
MFI
MidCap Financial Investment Corporation
Peer
5Y
+50.0%
3Y
+48.5%
1Y
+19.2%
6M
+7.2%
1M
+14.0%
1W
+2.0%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
9.39
Forward P/E
8.14
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.76
P/S Ratio
2.98
EV/Revenue
8.0
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$1.09B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 32.62%
Operating Margin 83.47%
Gross Margin 100.0%
ROE 7.96%
ROA 5.32%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -17.1%
Earnings Growth -34.7%
Q/Q Revenue Growth -36.45%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -36.8%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.32
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.12
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.12
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.38

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.0B
Net Margin
88.6%
Total Assets
$3.4B
Liabilities
$2.0B
Equity
$1.4B
Debt/Equity
1.38x
Operating CF
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
100%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-02-26
$0.37
+5.7% surprise
2025-11-06
$0.4
+11.9% surprise
2025-08-07
$0.38
-3.2% surprise

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing GSBD against 820 companies in the Financial Services sector (141 bullish, 351 neutral, 328 bearish)
P/E Ratio
9.39
This Stock
vs
36.01
Sector Avg
-73.9% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
7.96%
This Stock
vs
-0.73%
Sector Avg
-1186.6% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
32.62%
This Stock
vs
91.62%
Sector Avg
-64.4% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.32
This Stock
vs
1.36
Sector Avg
-2.9% (Lower)
Revenue Growth
-17.1%
This Stock
vs
35.27%
Sector Avg
-148.5% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.12
This Stock
vs
3.18
Sector Avg
-96.2% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

EVANS CARLOS E
Director
Buy
2026-04-02
50,000 shares · $451,035
GREENE TUCKER
President
Buy
2025-11-12
10,500 shares · $103,533
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-04-14

Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. likely reported its first-quarter 2026 financial results.

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-04-01

GSBD filed a definitive proxy statement on April 1, 2026, to provide shareholders with information and voting materials for an upcoming meeting.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-17

Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. likely filed this 8-K to announce the declaration of a quarterly dividend distribution.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-02

Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. filed an 8-K on March 2, 2026, likely to announce a quarterly dividend declaration or financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-27

Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. likely reported its fourth quarter and full-year 2025 financial results and declared a dividend.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-26

GSBD filed its 10-K on February 26, 2026, which includes comprehensive sections on its business operations, risk factors, and management's discussion and analysis of financial condition. Specific financial highlights and risk details were not provided in the available excerpts.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-02

Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. likely filed this 8-K to announce its quarterly financial results or declare a dividend distribution.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-29

Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. likely reported its quarterly financial results and declared a dividend.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-26

Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. (GSBD) likely reported its fourth quarter and full-year 2025 financial results and declared a dividend.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-20

Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. filed an 8-K, likely announcing its quarterly financial results or a dividend distribution.

8-K
8-K
2025-12-22
8-K
8-K
2025-11-06
10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-06
8-K
8-K
2025-10-27
8-K
8-K
2025-09-09
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
4 analysts
Truist Securities
2026-03-04
Maintains
Hold Hold
Wells Fargo
2026-03-02
Maintains
Underweight Underweight
Wells Fargo
2025-11-10
Maintains
Underweight Underweight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning GSBD from our newsroom.

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