HBM
BULLISH
$24.41
Live
Hudbay Minerals Inc. · NYSE
Target $32.29
(+32.3%)
$6.98
52W Range
$28.74
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 28, 2026
Market cap
$9.7B
P/E
16.95
ROE
19.2%
Profit margin
25.7%
Debt/Equity
0.36
Dividend yield
0.06%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
75%
Hudbay Minerals exhibits a stable financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and strong profitability metrics that significantly outperform sector averages. While the current price of $24.41 sits above the Graham Number ($16.24), it remains well below the growth-based intrinsic value of $42.48, suggesting significant upside. The company is experiencing explosive earnings growth (544.9% YoY) and maintains a healthy Debt/Equity ratio of 0.36. However, a very bearish technical trend (10/100) and tight liquidity (Current Ratio 0.95) serve as primary cautionary factors.
Key Strengths
Explosive YoY earnings growth of 544.90%
Strong profitability with a 53.50% gross margin and 19.20% ROE
Low leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.36
Significant outperformance of sector average ROE (-7.35% vs 19.20%)
Strong analyst consensus with a 'strong_buy' rating and $32.29 target
Key Risks
Severely bearish technical trend (10/100) indicating short-term price pressure
Liquidity risk with a Current Ratio of 0.95 and Quick Ratio of 0.77
High volatility in quarterly earnings surprises
Low insider buying activity over the last 6 months
Heavy dependence on copper commodity price fluctuations
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$30.5
+24.9% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
59
Moderate
70
90
65
50
20
AI Verdict
Strong growth play with liquidity headwinds
Key drivers: Earnings acceleration, Sector-leading ROE, Intrinsic value gap
Confidence
80%
Value
70/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Trades well below intrinsic value ($42.48)
- P/E (16.95) is significantly lower than sector average (39.48)
Watchpoints
- Trades at a premium to the Graham Number ($16.24)
Future
90/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Massive YoY earnings growth (544.9%)
- Strong revenue growth (25.3%)
- Forward P/E (11.22) suggests earnings expansion
Watchpoints
- Earnings consistency is historically volatile
Past
65/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Exceptional 5Y (+224%) and 1Y (+227.8%) price returns
Watchpoints
- Frequent earnings misses in the last 4 quarters (1/4 beat)
Health
50/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Low Debt/Equity ratio (0.36)
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is only 'Stable'
- Current Ratio < 1.0 indicates potential short-term liquidity stress
Dividend
20/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Very low payout ratio (0.99%) allows for reinvestment
Watchpoints
- Negligible dividend yield (0.06%)
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$24.41
Analyst Target
$32.29
Upside/Downside
+32.3%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for HBM and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-27
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
HBM
Hudbay Minerals Inc.
Primary
|
+224.0% | +389.5% | +227.8% | +57.5% | +25.3% | -4.9% |
|
ESI
Element Solutions Inc
Peer
|
+108.7% | +138.3% | +98.9% | +54.9% | +14.4% | +3.4% |
|
IAG
IAMGOLD Corporation
Peer
|
+425.1% | +500.7% | +138.1% | +48.6% | -3.5% | -7.5% |
|
BVN
Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A.
Peer
|
+275.8% | +350.4% | +194.5% | +113.6% | +25.7% | +7.0% |
|
HMY
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited
Peer
|
+263.6% | +275.1% | +7.3% | +1.9% | +17.0% | -8.5% |
HBM
Hudbay Minerals Inc.
Primary
5Y
+224.0%
3Y
+389.5%
1Y
+227.8%
6M
+57.5%
1M
+25.3%
1W
-4.9%
ESI
Element Solutions Inc
Peer
5Y
+108.7%
3Y
+138.3%
1Y
+98.9%
6M
+54.9%
1M
+14.4%
1W
+3.4%
IAG
IAMGOLD Corporation
Peer
5Y
+425.1%
3Y
+500.7%
1Y
+138.1%
6M
+48.6%
1M
-3.5%
1W
-7.5%
BVN
Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A.
Peer
5Y
+275.8%
3Y
+350.4%
1Y
+194.5%
6M
+113.6%
1M
+25.7%
1W
+7.0%
HMY
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited
Peer
5Y
+263.6%
3Y
+275.1%
1Y
+7.3%
6M
+1.9%
1M
+17.0%
1W
-8.5%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
16.95
Forward P/E
11.22
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
3.0
P/S Ratio
4.39
EV/Revenue
4.65
EV/EBITDA
10.19
Market Cap
$9.7B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
25.71%
Operating Margin
29.76%
Gross Margin
53.5%
ROE
19.2%
ROA
6.04%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+25.3%
Earnings Growth
+544.9%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+25.3%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+503.8%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.36
Low debt
Current Ratio
0.95
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.77
Poor
Cash/Share
$1.43
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$0.7B
Gross Margin
36.9%
Op. Margin
29.6%
Net Margin
17.5%
Total Assets
$6.2B
Liabilities
$3.0B
Equity
$3.2B
Debt/Equity
0.93x
Operating CF
$0.2B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
32%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-01
$N/A
2026-02-20
$0.22
-43.0% surprise
2025-11-12
$0.03
-50.8% surprise
2025-08-13
$0.19
+90.0% surprise
Basic Materials Sector Comparison
Comparing HBM against 143 companies in the Basic Materials sector
(14 bullish, 54 neutral, 75 bearish)
P/E Ratio
16.95
This Stock
vs
38.86
Sector Avg
-56.4%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
19.2%
This Stock
vs
-6.64%
Sector Avg
-389.2%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
25.71%
This Stock
vs
-5.75%
Sector Avg
-546.9%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.36
This Stock
vs
0.89
Sector Avg
-59.8%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
25.3%
This Stock
vs
36.56%
Sector Avg
-30.8%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.95
This Stock
vs
5.16
Sector Avg
-81.7%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
HBM
Hudbay Minerals Inc.
|
BULLISH | $9.7B | 16.95 | 19.2% | 25.7% | $24.41 | |
|
ESI
Element Solutions Inc
|
BEARISH | $9.83B | 51.06 | 7.5% | 7.5% | $40.34 | Compare |
|
IAG
IAMGOLD Corporation
|
BULLISH | $9.97B | 15.02 | 19.2% | 23.3% | $17.12 | Compare |
|
BVN
Compañía de Minas...
|
NEUTRAL | $9.42B | 20.73 | 12.3% | 30.7% | $37.1 | Compare |
|
HMY
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited
|
BULLISH | $10.39B | 10.55 | 33.5% | 20.1% | $16.46 | Compare |
HBM
Hudbay Minerals Inc.
BULLISH
Mkt Cap
$9.7B
P/E
17.0
ROE
19.2%
Price
$24.41
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | Gupta (Mark Zachary) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Acquisition in the public market at price 19.14 pe | 500 | $9,571 |
| 2026-03-30 | Kukielski (Peter Gerald Jan) | Director of Issuer | Acquisition in the public market at price 19.18 pe | 4,000 | $76,740 |
| 2026-03-27 | Lei, Eugene Chi-Yen | Senior Officer of Issuer | Acquisition in the public market at price 19.33 pe | 1,000 | $19,328 |
| 2026-03-13 | Lang (Stephen A) | Director of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 20.75 pe | 7,500 | $155,625 |
| 2026-03-09 | Del Rio Del Aguila (Francisco Javier) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Option Exercise | 13,189 | $65,522 |
| 2026-03-09 | Del Rio Del Aguila (Francisco Javier) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 22.29 pe | 13,189 | $293,956 |
| 2026-03-09 | Del Rio Del Aguila (Francisco Javier) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Option Exercise | 12,959 | $71,533 |
| 2026-03-09 | Del Rio Del Aguila (Francisco Javier) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 22.29 pe | 12,959 | $288,830 |
| 2026-03-09 | Del Rio Del Aguila (Francisco Javier) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Option Exercise | 11,656 | $92,490 |
| 2026-03-09 | Del Rio Del Aguila (Francisco Javier) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 22.29 pe | 11,656 | $259,788 |
| 2026-03-05 | Lauzon (Andre Taylor) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Option Exercise | 20,319 | $100,314 |
| 2026-03-05 | Lauzon (Andre Taylor) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 23.77 pe | 20,319 | $483,023 |
| 2026-03-05 | Lauzon (Andre Taylor) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Option Exercise | 34,264 | $187,972 |
| 2026-03-05 | Lauzon (Andre Taylor) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 23.77 pe | 34,264 | $814,558 |
| 2026-03-05 | Lauzon (Andre Taylor) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Option Exercise | 17,110 | $134,912 |
Gupta (Mark Zachary)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-30
500 shares
·
$9,571
Kukielski (Peter Gerald Jan)
Director of Issuer
2026-03-30
4,000 shares
·
$76,740
Lei, Eugene Chi-Yen
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-27
1,000 shares
·
$19,328
Lang (Stephen A)
Director of Issuer
2026-03-13
7,500 shares
·
$155,625
Del Rio Del Aguila (Francisco Javier)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-09
13,189 shares
·
$65,522
Del Rio Del Aguila (Francisco Javier)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-09
13,189 shares
·
$293,956
Del Rio Del Aguila (Francisco Javier)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-09
12,959 shares
·
$71,533
Del Rio Del Aguila (Francisco Javier)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-09
12,959 shares
·
$288,830
Del Rio Del Aguila (Francisco Javier)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-09
11,656 shares
·
$92,490
Del Rio Del Aguila (Francisco Javier)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-09
11,656 shares
·
$259,788
Lauzon (Andre Taylor)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-05
20,319 shares
·
$100,314
Lauzon (Andre Taylor)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-05
20,319 shares
·
$483,023
Lauzon (Andre Taylor)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-05
34,264 shares
·
$187,972
Lauzon (Andre Taylor)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-05
34,264 shares
·
$814,558
Lauzon (Andre Taylor)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-05
17,110 shares
·
$134,912
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
STRONG_BUY
5 analysts
Citigroup
2026-02-11
Buy
Buy
Citigroup
2025-12-15
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning HBM from our newsroom.
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