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HD The Home Depot, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

NEUTRAL
HD Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Consumer Cyclical Home Improvement Retail
Current Price
$362.36
Analyst Target
$433.12
+19.5% Upside
52W High
$439.37
52W Low
$326.31

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Nov 14, 2025
Market cap
$360.69B
P/E
24.62
ROE
194.0%
Profit margin
8.9%
Debt/Equity
5.81
Dividend yield
2.5%

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
90%
Analysis Accuracy
HD shows neutral fundamentals based on available metrics. Mixed signals with both opportunities and risks present.

Key Strengths

Strong ROE of 194.0%

Key Risks

High debt burden with D/E of 5.81

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
43
Moderate
Value
45
Future
35
Past
60
Health
30
Dividend
45
AI Verdict
HD shows neutral fundamentals based on available metrics. Mixed signals with both opportunities and risks present.
Key drivers: Strong ROE of 194.0%, High debt burden with D/E of 5.81
Confidence
50%
Value
45/100

Rule-based valuation fallback.

Positives
  • Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
  • P/B of 33.8 signals rich expectations.
Future
35/100

Rule-based growth outlook.

Positives
  • Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
  • Earnings contracting year over year.
Past
60/100

Historical performance + price trend: Shares moved +46.2% over 5Y and -8.6% over 1Y.

Positives
  • ROE sits at 194.0%.
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Health
30/100

Balance sheet & liquidity snapshot.

Positives
  • Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
  • D/E ratio of 5.81 signals leverage risk.
Dividend
45/100

Dividend policy fallback.

Positives
  • Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$362.36
Analyst Target
$433.12
Upside/Downside
+19.5%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for HD and closest competitors.

Updated 2025-11-14
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
HD
The Home Depot, Inc.
Primary
+46.2% +25.3% -8.6% -3.7% -6.7% -2.4%
BKNG
Booking Holdings Inc.
Peer
+142.7% +155.8% +2.3% -4.7% -0.7% +2.2%
LOW
Lowe's Companies, Inc.
Peer
+54.3% +15.8% -14.0% -1.7% -5.2% -2.3%
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
Peer
-47.3% -36.8% -13.3% +2.9% -6.3% +5.0%
ORLY
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
Peer
+221.3% +79.6% +21.0% +7.3% -3.2% +1.8%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
24.62
Forward P/E
23.23
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
33.81
P/S Ratio
2.19
EV/Revenue
4.8
EV/EBITDA
30.93
Market Cap
$360.69B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 8.86%
Operating Margin 14.48%
Gross Margin 33.35%
ROE 193.95%
ROA 13.71%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +4.9%
Earnings Growth -0.4%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth -0.2%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
5.81
High debt
Current Ratio
1.15
Good
Quick Ratio
0.28
Poor
Cash/Share
$1.41

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2025-11-18
$N/A
2025-08-19
$4.68
-0.3% surprise
2025-05-20
$3.56
-0.8% surprise
2025-02-25
$3.02
+1.1% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing HD against 15 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (5 bullish, 10 neutral, 0 bearish)
P/E Ratio
24.62
This Stock
vs
45.35
Sector Avg
-45.7% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
193.95%
This Stock
vs
45.87%
Sector Avg
+322.8% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
8.86%
This Stock
vs
14.81%
Sector Avg
-40.2% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
5.81
This Stock
vs
1.47
Sector Avg
+294.4% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
4.9%
This Stock
vs
14.38%
Sector Avg
-65.9% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.15
This Stock
vs
1.22
Sector Avg
-6.3% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
HD
The Home Depot, Inc.
NEUTRAL $360.69B 24.62 194.0% 8.9% $362.36
BKNG
Booking Holdings Inc.
NEUTRAL $162.72B 32.82 -% 19.4% $5048.01
LOW
Lowe's Companies, Inc.
NEUTRAL $129.81B 18.69 -% 8.2% $227.85
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NEUTRAL $94.86B 32.91 21.1% 6.2% $64.17
ORLY
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
BULLISH $83.4B 34.31 -% 14.2% $98.8

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date Insider Position Transaction Shares Value
2025-09-12 BASTEK WILLIAM D Officer Option Exercise 2,303 $339,370
2025-09-12 BASTEK WILLIAM D Officer Sale 2,303 $974,445
2025-08-22 ROSEBOROUGH TERESA WYNN General Counsel Option Exercise 4,103 $921,014
2025-08-22 BASTEK WILLIAM D Officer Option Exercise 3,783 $492,622
2025-08-22 BASTEK WILLIAM D Officer Sale 3,783 $1,551,900
2025-08-22 ROSEBOROUGH TERESA WYNN General Counsel Sale 5,483 $2,265,767
2025-08-21 DECKER EDWARD P. Chief Executive Officer Option Exercise 32,897 $4,283,847
2025-08-21 DECKER EDWARD P. Chief Executive Officer Sale 32,897 $13,067,210
2025-08-21 BROWN ANGIE Chief Technology Officer Stock Award 628 -
2025-08-21 SMITH STEPHANIE Officer Stock Award 628 -
2025-08-20 MCPHAIL RICHARD V Chief Financial Officer Option Exercise 3,369 $438,711
2025-08-20 BROWN ANGIE Chief Technology Officer Option Exercise 1,000 $181,760
2025-08-20 MCPHAIL RICHARD V Chief Financial Officer Sale 3,369 $1,359,931
2025-08-20 PADILLA HECTOR A Officer Sale 1,585 $640,609
2025-08-20 BROWN ANGIE Chief Technology Officer Sale 1,000 $404,070
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
33 analysts
Stifel
2025-11-14
down
Buy Hold
Telsey Advisory Group
2025-11-13
main
Outperform Outperform
Wells Fargo
2025-11-11
main
Overweight Overweight
JP Morgan
2025-11-10
main
Overweight Overweight
Truist Securities
2025-11-07
main
Buy Buy
Bernstein
2025-11-07
main
Market Perform Market Perform
Wells Fargo
2025-08-20
main
Overweight Overweight
Mizuho
2025-08-20
main
Outperform Outperform
Morgan Stanley
2025-08-20
main
Overweight Overweight
JP Morgan
2025-08-20
main
Overweight Overweight