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HD

BEARISH
$328.89 Live
The Home Depot, Inc. · NYSE
Target $408.49 (+24.2%)
$320.26 52W Range $426.75

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 01, 2026
Market cap
$327.58B
P/E
23.1
ROE
145.5%
Profit margin
8.6%
Debt/Equity
5.14
Dividend yield
2.83%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
70%
HD shows bearish fundamentals based on deterministic rules. Financial strength is strong (F-Score 6/9). Concerns include weak profitability or high valuation.

Key Strengths

Strong ROE of 145.5%

Key Risks

Premium vs Graham Number ($64.2)
Declining revenue (-3.8%)
High debt burden with D/E of 5.14
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$99.68
-69.7% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
47
Moderate
Value
50
Future
35
Past
60
Health
40
Dividend
50
AI Verdict
HD shows bearish fundamentals based on deterministic rules. Financial strength is strong (F-Score 6/9). Concerns include weak profitability or high valuation.
Key drivers: Strong ROE of 145.5%, Premium vs Graham Number ($64.2), Declining revenue (-3.8%)
Confidence
30%
Value
50/100

Rule-based valuation (P/E + Graham).

Positives
  • Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
  • Trades above Graham Number.
Future
35/100

Rule-based growth outlook.

Positives
  • Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
  • Revenue is contracting.
Past
60/100

Historical performance + price trend: Shares moved +20.8% over 5Y and -8.0% over 1Y.

Positives
  • ROE sits at 145.5%.
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Health
40/100

Balance sheet & liquidity (Z-Score: N/A).

Positives
  • Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
  • High D/E ratio (5.14).
Dividend
50/100

Dividend policy fallback.

Positives
  • Moderate dividend profile (Score: 50/100).
  • Yield: 2.8%.
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$328.89
Analyst Target
$408.49
Upside/Downside
+24.2%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for HD and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-03-31
HD
The Home Depot, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+20.8%
3Y
+20.2%
1Y
-8.0%
6M
-17.8%
1M
-10.7%
1W
-0.6%
TM
Toyota Motor Corporation
Peer
5Y
+52.0%
3Y
+55.9%
1Y
+20.2%
6M
+9.3%
1M
-13.9%
1W
-0.6%
BAB
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
Peer
5Y
-30.2%
3Y
+52.7%
1Y
+104.6%
6M
+44.3%
1M
+15.4%
1W
+4.7%
MCD
McDonald's Corporation
Peer
5Y
+50.4%
3Y
+16.7%
1Y
+0.2%
6M
+3.4%
1M
-7.7%
1W
-1.4%
TJX
The TJX Companies, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+163.2%
3Y
+113.2%
1Y
+33.1%
6M
+12.5%
1M
+0.9%
1W
+1.1%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
23.1
Forward P/E
20.17
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
25.57
P/S Ratio
1.99
EV/Revenue
2.38
EV/EBITDA
15.68
Market Cap
$327.58B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 8.6%
Operating Margin 10.08%
Gross Margin 33.32%
ROE 145.54%
ROA 12.98%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -3.8%
Earnings Growth -14.2%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth -14.2%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
5.14
High debt
Current Ratio
1.06
Good
Quick Ratio
0.21
Poor
Cash/Share
$1.4

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q1 2026

Revenue
$38.2B
Gross Margin
32.6%
Op. Margin
10.1%
Net Margin
6.7%
Total Assets
$105.1B
Liabilities
$92.3B
Equity
$12.8B
Debt/Equity
7.20x
Operating CF
$3.3B
CapEx
$-1.1B
Free Cash Flow
$2.3B
FCF Yield
68%

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing HD against 386 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (23 bullish, 133 neutral, 230 bearish)
P/E Ratio
23.1
This Stock
vs
33.98
Sector Avg
-32.0% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
145.54%
This Stock
vs
-43.92%
Sector Avg
-431.4% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
8.6%
This Stock
vs
-5.4%
Sector Avg
-259.3% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
5.14
This Stock
vs
1.51
Sector Avg
+240.0% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
-3.8%
This Stock
vs
28.42%
Sector Avg
-113.4% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.06
This Stock
vs
2.46
Sector Avg
-56.8% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
33 analysts
Telsey Advisory Group
2026-03-25
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
BNP Paribas
2026-03-24
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
UBS
2026-02-25
Maintains
Buy Buy
Bernstein
2026-02-25
Maintains
Market Perform Market Perform
RBC Capital
2026-02-25
Maintains
Sector Perform Sector Perform
Morgan Stanley
2026-02-25
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Guggenheim
2026-02-25
Maintains
Buy Buy
Wells Fargo
2026-02-25
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Telsey Advisory Group
2026-02-25
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Jefferies
2026-02-24
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning HD from our newsroom.

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