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HMC Honda Motor Co., Ltd. - Fundamental Analysis

NEUTRAL
HMC Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Consumer Cyclical Auto Manufacturers
Current Price
$29.96
Analyst Target
$36.39
+21.5% Upside
52W High
$34.89
52W Low
$24.56

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Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
Honda Motor Co. exhibits a weak Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, indicating poor financial health, while the Altman Z-Score is astronomically high at 26182862928281.6, suggesting no distress risk. The stock appears undervalued with a current price of $29.96 below both the Graham Number ($35.88) and intrinsic value estimate ($86.14), supported by a low P/E of 10.26 and forward P/E of 6.04. However, weak profitability metrics, declining revenue, and poor earnings surprise history offset value appeal. A strong 4.64% dividend yield and low payout ratio provide income appeal, but technical trend and insider sentiment are bearish.

Key Strengths

Exceptionally high Altman Z-Score indicates virtually no bankruptcy risk
Attractive valuation with P/E of 10.26 and forward P/E of 6.04 well below sector average
Dividend yield of 4.64% is high with a sustainable 45.44% payout ratio
Current price ($29.96) is below Graham Number ($35.88), suggesting margin of safety
Earnings growth of 37.90% YoY and 15.10% QoQ indicates recent profitability improvement

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 signals weak financial health and operational deterioration
Revenue declining YoY by -1.90%, indicating top-line pressure
Poor earnings surprise record: 0 beats in last 4 quarters, average miss of -15.65%
Low profitability with ROE of 5.82% and ROA of 1.87%, below sector averages
Bearish technical trend (0/100) and weak insider sentiment (40/100) suggest lack of confidence
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$48.5
+61.9% above current price

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