HOV
BEARISH
$115.98
Live
Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc. · NYSE
Target $74.0
(-36.2%)
$85.69
52W Range
$162.06
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 28, 2026
Market cap
$688.71M
P/E
17.93
ROE
6.9%
Profit margin
1.9%
Debt/Equity
1.24
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
HOV presents a precarious profile characterized by a stable but mediocre Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a complete lack of positive technical momentum. While the stock trades below its Graham Number ($131.04), suggesting defensive value, it is severely overvalued relative to its growth-based intrinsic value ($45.29) and the sole analyst target price of $74.00. The company is experiencing significant contraction, with YoY earnings growth plummeting by 26.8% and a forward P/E that is higher than the current P/E, signaling expected earnings declines. Thin profit margins and erratic historical earnings surprises further undermine the investment thesis.
Key Strengths
Trading slightly below book value (P/B 0.98)
Very low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.23)
Strong Current Ratio (4.57) indicating short-term liquidity
Below Graham Number defensive fair value
Positive 1-year price return despite deteriorating fundamentals
Key Risks
Severe earnings contraction (YoY EPS Growth -107%)
Negative revenue growth (-6.20% YoY)
Extremely thin net profit margins (1.93%)
Significant gap between current price ($115.98) and analyst target ($74.00)
Bearish technical trend (0/100 score)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$74.0
-36.2% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
29
Weak
55
15
30
45
0
AI Verdict
Underperform
Key drivers: Negative growth trajectory, Earnings contraction, Price-to-Intrinsic Value disconnect, Thin margins
Confidence
90%
Value
55/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- P/B near 1.0
- Low P/S ratio
Watchpoints
- Forward P/E (27.55) is significantly higher than current P/E (17.93)
- High PEG ratio (2.00)
Future
15/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- Negative YoY Revenue Growth
- Negative YoY Earnings Growth
- Recent Q/Q EPS collapse (-114%)
Past
30/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Occasional massive earnings beats
Watchpoints
- Extreme volatility in quarterly surprises
- Inconsistent earnings track record over 25 quarters
Health
45/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- High current ratio
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is only marginally stable
- Quick ratio (0.79) suggests heavy reliance on inventory liquidation
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend payments
- 0/100 dividend strength
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$115.98
Analyst Target
$74.0
Upside/Downside
-36.2%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for HOV and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-27
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
HOV
Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc.
Primary
|
-9.8% | +57.2% | +19.1% | -12.8% | +8.6% | -3.7% |
|
KRUS
Kura Sushi USA, Inc.
Peer
|
+76.8% | -24.3% | +8.5% | -0.7% | -6.3% | -18.9% |
|
FOXF
Fox Factory Holding Corp.
Peer
|
-87.5% | -84.9% | -23.0% | -26.9% | +3.5% | +0.9% |
|
BZH
Beazer Homes USA, Inc.
Peer
|
+9.2% | +32.1% | +16.8% | -7.0% | +14.0% | +1.4% |
|
HZO
MarineMax, Inc.
Peer
|
-48.9% | +3.0% | +32.2% | +11.3% | +16.3% | -1.8% |
HOV
Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-9.8%
3Y
+57.2%
1Y
+19.1%
6M
-12.8%
1M
+8.6%
1W
-3.7%
KRU
Kura Sushi USA, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+76.8%
3Y
-24.3%
1Y
+8.5%
6M
-0.7%
1M
-6.3%
1W
-18.9%
FOX
Fox Factory Holding Corp.
Peer
5Y
-87.5%
3Y
-84.9%
1Y
-23.0%
6M
-26.9%
1M
+3.5%
1W
+0.9%
BZH
Beazer Homes USA, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+9.2%
3Y
+32.1%
1Y
+16.8%
6M
-7.0%
1M
+14.0%
1W
+1.4%
HZO
MarineMax, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-48.9%
3Y
+3.0%
1Y
+32.2%
6M
+11.3%
1M
+16.3%
1W
-1.8%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
17.93
Forward P/E
27.55
PEG Ratio
2.0
P/B Ratio
0.98
P/S Ratio
0.23
EV/Revenue
0.52
EV/EBITDA
13.21
Market Cap
$688.71M
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
1.93%
Operating Margin
2.05%
Gross Margin
15.16%
ROE
6.86%
ROA
2.39%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-6.2%
Earnings Growth
-26.8%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
-6.19%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-26.0%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
1.24
Moderate
Current Ratio
4.57
Strong
Quick Ratio
0.79
Poor
Cash/Share
$57.24
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q1 2026
Revenue
$0.6B
Gross Margin
14.3%
Op. Margin
1.0%
Net Margin
3.3%
Total Assets
$2.7B
Liabilities
$1.9B
Equity
$0.8B
Debt/Equity
2.27x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
94%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-19
$N/A
2025-12-04
$-0.51
-180.9% surprise
2025-08-21
$3.65
+4.0% surprise
2025-05-20
$2.74
+11.8% surprise
Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison
Comparing HOV against 386 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector
(23 bullish, 133 neutral, 230 bearish)
P/E Ratio
17.93
This Stock
vs
33.98
Sector Avg
-47.2%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
6.86%
This Stock
vs
-43.92%
Sector Avg
-115.6%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
1.93%
This Stock
vs
-5.4%
Sector Avg
-135.7%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.24
This Stock
vs
1.51
Sector Avg
-17.9%
(Lower)
Revenue Growth
-6.2%
This Stock
vs
28.42%
Sector Avg
-121.8%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
4.57
This Stock
vs
2.46
Sector Avg
+86.0%
(Stronger)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
HOV
Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $688.71M | 17.93 | 6.9% | 1.9% | $115.98 | |
|
KRUS
Kura Sushi USA, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $671.29M | - | -0.9% | -0.6% | $55.26 | Compare |
|
FOXF
Fox Factory Holding Corp.
|
BEARISH | $709.5M | - | -58.2% | -37.1% | $16.92 | Compare |
|
BZH
Beazer Homes USA, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $662.46M | 77.41 | 0.8% | 0.4% | $22.45 | Compare |
|
HZO
MarineMax, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $660.62M | - | -6.5% | -2.8% | $29.99 | Compare |
HOV
Hovnanian...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$689M
P/E
17.9
ROE
6.9%
Price
$115.98
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | PAGANO VINCENT JR | Director | Option Exercise | 2,014 | $85,595 |
| 2026-03-12 | HOVNANIAN ALEXANDER A. | President | Option Exercise | 1,200 | $54,300 |
| 2025-12-16 | WYATT MICHAEL P | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 12,040 | - |
| 2025-12-16 | O CONNOR BRAD G | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 13,180 | - |
| 2025-12-16 | SORSBY J LARRY | Director | Stock Award | 9,163 | - |
| 2025-11-03 | SORSBY J LARRY | Director | Stock Award | 83,063 | - |
PAGANO VINCENT JR
Director
2026-04-01
2,014 shares
·
$85,595
HOVNANIAN ALEXANDER A.
President
2026-03-12
1,200 shares
·
$54,300
WYATT MICHAEL P
Chief Operating Officer
2025-12-16
12,040 shares
O CONNOR BRAD G
Chief Financial Officer
2025-12-16
13,180 shares
SORSBY J LARRY
Director
2025-12-16
9,163 shares
SORSBY J LARRY
Director
2025-11-03
83,063 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
NONE
1 analysts
Citizens
2026-04-09
Market Underperform
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning HOV from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.