HP
BEARISH
$38.66
Live
Helmerich & Payne, Inc. · NYSE
Target $38.4
(-0.7%)
$14.65
52W Range
$39.05
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 28, 2026
Market cap
$3.93B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-11.0%
Profit margin
-7.7%
Debt/Equity
0.75
Dividend yield
2.59%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
HP presents a stark divergence between price action and fundamental performance. While the Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicates stable financial health and revenue growth is impressive at 50.2%, the company is suffering from a severe earnings collapse with YoY EPS growth of -121.1%. The stock is trading near its 52-week high despite negative profit margins and a prohibitively high PEG ratio of 6.81. Combined with bearish insider sentiment and a technical trend score of 10/100, the current valuation appears unsustainable.
Key Strengths
Exceptional YoY revenue growth of 50.20%
Strong liquidity with a current ratio of 2.03
Debt/Equity ratio (0.75) is significantly lower than the sector average (1.36)
Stable Piotroski F-Score of 5/9
Strong 1-year price momentum (+103.8%)
Key Risks
Severe earnings deterioration with YoY EPS growth of -121.1%
Negative profit margins (-7.71%) and negative ROE (-10.96%)
Extreme overvaluation relative to growth (PEG Ratio: 6.81)
Poor earnings track record with only 1 beat in the last 4 quarters
Bearish insider activity with $4.26M in sales and zero buys
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$28.5
-26.3% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
45
Moderate
20
40
50
65
50
AI Verdict
Overvalued Momentum Play
Key drivers: Revenue growth, Earnings collapse, Price/Earnings divergence, Insider selling
Confidence
80%
Value
20/100
Stock trades at a significant premium despite negative net income.
Positives
- P/S ratio under 1.0
Watchpoints
- Forward P/E of 35.97 is high for the sector
- PEG ratio of 6.81 indicates extreme overvaluation
Future
40/100
Revenue growth is not translating into bottom-line profitability.
Positives
- Strong top-line revenue growth (50%+)
Watchpoints
- Crashing EPS growth
- Negative profit margins
Past
50/100
Price performance has been decoupled from earnings reality.
Positives
- Massive 1-year price appreciation
Watchpoints
- Consistent earnings misses
- Average surprise of -114.20% over last 4 quarters
Health
65/100
Balance sheet is healthy, but operational efficiency is poor.
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score 5/9 (Stable)
- Strong current and quick ratios
Watchpoints
- Negative ROE
Dividend
50/100
Dividend sustainability is questionable if earnings do not recover.
Positives
- Consistent 2.59% yield
Watchpoints
- Payout ratio of 60.91% is high given negative profit margins
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$38.66
Analyst Target
$38.4
Upside/Downside
-0.7%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for HP and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-27
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
HP
Helmerich & Payne, Inc.
Primary
|
+74.9% | +33.3% | +103.8% | +54.8% | +6.9% | +14.8% |
|
CSAN
Cosan S.A.
Peer
|
-72.4% | -63.5% | -25.9% | -7.5% | -1.9% | -2.6% |
|
PTEN
Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc.
Peer
|
+95.1% | +0.2% | +89.6% | +79.7% | -1.5% | +6.9% |
|
EE
Excelerate Energy, Inc.
Peer
|
+29.0% | +68.2% | +28.6% | +28.5% | +0.8% | -3.3% |
|
CMBT
Cmb.Tech NV
Peer
|
+169.7% | +26.1% | +47.9% | +39.5% | +2.3% | -1.8% |
HP
Helmerich & Payne, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+74.9%
3Y
+33.3%
1Y
+103.8%
6M
+54.8%
1M
+6.9%
1W
+14.8%
CSA
Cosan S.A.
Peer
5Y
-72.4%
3Y
-63.5%
1Y
-25.9%
6M
-7.5%
1M
-1.9%
1W
-2.6%
PTE
Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+95.1%
3Y
+0.2%
1Y
+89.6%
6M
+79.7%
1M
-1.5%
1W
+6.9%
EE
Excelerate Energy, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+29.0%
3Y
+68.2%
1Y
+28.6%
6M
+28.5%
1M
+0.8%
1W
-3.3%
CMB
Cmb.Tech NV
Peer
5Y
+169.7%
3Y
+26.1%
1Y
+47.9%
6M
+39.5%
1M
+2.3%
1W
-1.8%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
35.97
PEG Ratio
6.81
P/B Ratio
1.48
P/S Ratio
0.96
EV/Revenue
1.4
EV/EBITDA
6.43
Market Cap
$3.93B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
-7.71%
Operating Margin
4.33%
Gross Margin
31.88%
ROE
-10.96%
ROA
1.88%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+50.2%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+50.16%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.75
Moderate
Current Ratio
2.03
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.38
Good
Cash/Share
$2.69
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$1.0B
Gross Margin
15.0%
Op. Margin
4.3%
Net Margin
-9.5%
Total Assets
$6.5B
Liabilities
$3.8B
Equity
$2.6B
Debt/Equity
1.44x
Operating CF
$0.2B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
63%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-06
$N/A
2026-02-04
$-0.15
-241.9% surprise
2025-11-17
$-0.01
-103.8% surprise
2025-08-06
$0.22
+3.1% surprise
Energy Sector Comparison
Comparing HP against 107 companies in the Energy sector
(9 bullish, 37 neutral, 61 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-10.96%
This Stock
vs
3.08%
Sector Avg
-456.0%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-7.71%
This Stock
vs
5.34%
Sector Avg
-244.4%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.75
This Stock
vs
1.35
Sector Avg
-44.5%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
50.2%
This Stock
vs
20.6%
Sector Avg
+143.7%
(Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
2.03
This Stock
vs
2.09
Sector Avg
-2.8%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
HP
Helmerich & Payne, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $3.93B | - | -11.0% | -7.7% | $38.66 | |
|
CSAN
Cosan S.A.
|
BEARISH | $4.0B | - | -29.0% | -24.1% | $4.08 | Compare |
|
PTEN
Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $4.01B | - | -2.8% | -1.9% | $10.56 | Compare |
|
EE
Excelerate Energy, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $3.85B | 26.38 | 8.1% | 3.2% | $33.76 | Compare |
|
CMBT
Cmb.Tech NV
|
NEUTRAL | $3.73B | 18.36 | 7.3% | 9.7% | $12.85 | Compare |
HP
Helmerich & Payne, Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$3.9B
P/E
-
ROE
-11.0%
Price
$38.66
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | HAIR CARA M | Officer | Sale | 58,771 | $2,152,194 |
| 2026-03-05 | KILLINGER ELIZABETH RICHMOND | Director | Stock Award | 5,273 | - |
| 2026-03-05 | CRAMTON KEVIN G | Director | Stock Award | 5,273 | - |
| 2026-03-05 | CHARIAG BELGACEM | Director | Stock Award | 5,273 | - |
| 2026-03-05 | FOUTCH RANDY A | Director | Stock Award | 5,273 | - |
| 2026-03-05 | HELMERICH HANS C | Director | Stock Award | 7,910 | - |
| 2026-03-05 | ZEGLIS JOHN D | Director | Stock Award | 5,273 | - |
| 2026-03-05 | MAS JOSE RAMON | Director | Stock Award | 5,273 | - |
| 2026-01-12 | HAIR CARA M | Officer | Stock Award | 3,062 | - |
| 2026-01-12 | LENNOX MICHAEL | Officer | Stock Award | 2,436 | - |
| 2026-01-12 | MOMPER SARA MARIE | Officer | Stock Award | 426 | - |
| 2026-01-12 | ADAMS RAYMOND JOHN III | President | Stock Award | 2,004 | - |
| 2026-01-12 | LINDSAY JOHN W | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 11,003 | - |
| 2026-01-12 | BELL JOHN R | Officer | Stock Award | 2,562 | - |
| 2025-12-19 | LINDSAY JOHN W | Chief Executive Officer | Gift | 526,123 | - |
HAIR CARA M
Officer
2026-03-19
58,771 shares
·
$2,152,194
KILLINGER ELIZABETH RICHMOND
Director
2026-03-05
5,273 shares
CRAMTON KEVIN G
Director
2026-03-05
5,273 shares
CHARIAG BELGACEM
Director
2026-03-05
5,273 shares
FOUTCH RANDY A
Director
2026-03-05
5,273 shares
HELMERICH HANS C
Director
2026-03-05
7,910 shares
ZEGLIS JOHN D
Director
2026-03-05
5,273 shares
MAS JOSE RAMON
Director
2026-03-05
5,273 shares
HAIR CARA M
Officer
2026-01-12
3,062 shares
LENNOX MICHAEL
Officer
2026-01-12
2,436 shares
MOMPER SARA MARIE
Officer
2026-01-12
426 shares
ADAMS RAYMOND JOHN III
President
2026-01-12
2,004 shares
LINDSAY JOHN W
Chief Executive Officer
2026-01-12
11,003 shares
BELL JOHN R
Officer
2026-01-12
2,562 shares
LINDSAY JOHN W
Chief Executive Officer
2025-12-19
526,123 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
15 analysts
Morgan Stanley
2026-04-15
Underweight
Underweight
Piper Sandler
2026-04-15
Overweight
Overweight
Susquehanna
2026-04-07
Positive
Positive
Citigroup
2026-02-11
Neutral
Neutral
Barclays
2026-02-10
Overweight
Overweight
TD Cowen
2026-02-09
Hold
Hold
Piper Sandler
2026-02-09
Overweight
Overweight
RBC Capital
2026-02-06
Sector Perform
Sector Perform
TD Cowen
2026-01-07
Hold
Hold
Susquehanna
2026-01-07
Positive
Positive
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning HP from our newsroom.
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