HRI

NEUTRAL

$124.61 Live

Herc Holdings Inc. · NYSE

Target $162.3 (+30.2%)

$88.45 52W Range $188.35

HRI Herc Holdings Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

NEUTRAL

Console Chart News

HRI Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights

NYSE • Industrials • Rental & Leasing Services

Current Price Live

$124.61

Analyst Target

$162.3

+30.2% Upside

52W High

$188.35

52W Low

$88.45

Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 28, 2026

Market cap

$4.16B

P/E

6230.5

ROE

0.1%

Profit margin

0.0%

Debt/Equity

4.97

Dividend yield

2.25%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence

80%

HRI exhibits a severe divergence between trailing financial metrics and forward-looking expectations. While the Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicates a stable financial baseline, the Graham Number ($5.13) and Intrinsic Value ($0.14) suggest extreme overvaluation based on current trailing earnings. However, a Forward P/E of 12.00 and robust revenue growth (27.1% YoY) suggest the market is pricing in a significant earnings recovery. The company's high leverage and negligible current profit margins offset the bullish analyst sentiment.

Key Strengths

Strong revenue growth (27.1% YoY, 59.7% Q/Q)

Attractive Forward P/E of 12.00

Healthy operating margin of 14.39%

Positive analyst consensus with a target price of $162.30

Stable Piotroski F-Score (5/9)

Key Risks

Extremely high Debt/Equity ratio of 4.97

Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (9333.33%)

Negligible current profit margin (0.02%)

Bearish technical trend (0/100)

Significant discrepancy between current price and defensive fair value (Graham Number)

AI Fair Value Estimate

Based on comprehensive analysis

$138.5

+11.1% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall

Moderate

Value

Future

Past

Health

Dividend

AI Verdict

Speculative Recovery

Key drivers: Forward earnings recovery, High leverage, Strong top-line growth

Confidence

85%

Value

20/100

Trailing metrics suggest extreme overvaluation, but forward metrics suggest value.

Positives

Low Price/Sales (0.95)
Low PEG Ratio (0.06)

Watchpoints

Extreme trailing P/E (6230.50)
Price far exceeds Graham Number ($5.13)

Future

85/100

Growth is driven by revenue expansion and expected margin recovery.

Positives

Accelerating Q/Q revenue growth
Strong analyst price targets

Watchpoints

Negative YoY EPS growth (-42.2%)

Past

50/100

Historical performance is positive, but recent earnings have been volatile.

Positives

Consistent long-term price appreciation (5Y +24.6%)

Watchpoints

Inconsistent earnings surprises in recent quarters

Health

40/100

Stable according to Piotroski, but highly leveraged.

Positives

Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 (Stable)
Current ratio > 1.0

Watchpoints

Debt/Equity of 4.97 is significantly high

Dividend

15/100

Dividends are likely being paid from cash reserves or debt rather than current earnings.

Positives

Consistent yield of 2.25%

Watchpoints

Payout ratio is mathematically unsustainable (9333%)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price

$124.61

Analyst Target

$162.3

Upside/Downside

+30.2%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for HRI and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-27

Company	5Y	3Y	1Y	6M	1M	1W
HRI Herc Holdings Inc. Primary	+24.6%	+32.0%	+14.5%	-5.6%	+24.2%	+12.1%
CAAP Corporación América Airports S.A. Peer	+380.8%	+127.3%	+30.5%	+35.6%	-3.7%	-4.8%
WSC WillScot Holdings Corporation Peer	-24.3%	-47.7%	-2.5%	+2.4%	+23.1%	+18.6%
HAFN Hafnia Limited Peer	+50.2%	+50.2%	+105.7%	+45.5%	+14.8%	+3.5%
BRC Brady Corporation Peer	+85.6%	+73.0%	+12.9%	+21.1%	+5.5%	-0.1%

HRI

Herc Holdings Inc.

Primary

+24.6%

+32.0%

+14.5%

-5.6%

+24.2%

+12.1%

CAA

Corporación América Airports S.A.

Peer

+380.8%

+127.3%

+30.5%

+35.6%

-3.7%

-4.8%

WSC

WillScot Holdings Corporation

Peer

-24.3%

-47.7%

-2.5%

+2.4%

+23.1%

+18.6%

HAF

Hafnia Limited

Peer

+50.2%

+105.7%

+45.5%

+14.8%

+3.5%

BRC

Brady Corporation

Peer

+85.6%

+73.0%

+12.9%

+21.1%

+5.5%

-0.1%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

6230.5

12.0

0.06

2.13

0.95

3.15

15.42

$4.16B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 0.02%

Operating Margin 14.39%

Gross Margin 33.32%

ROE 0.06%

ROA 3.87%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +27.1%

Earnings Growth N/A

Q/Q Revenue Growth +59.71%

Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity

4.97

High debt

Current Ratio

1.31

Good

Quick Ratio

1.12

Good

Cash/Share

$1.56

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue

$1.2B

Gross Margin

33.3%

Op. Margin

14.4%

Net Margin

2.0%

Total Assets

$13.8B

Liabilities

$11.8B

Equity

$1.9B

Debt/Equity

6.07x

Operating CF

$0.3B

CapEx

$-0.3B

Free Cash Flow

$0.0B

FCF Yield

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-28

$N/A

2026-02-17

$2.07

+11.0% surprise

2025-10-28

$2.22

-4.1% surprise

2025-07-29

$1.87

+14.6% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing HRI against 469 companies in the Industrials sector (39 bullish, 174 neutral, 256 bearish)

P/E Ratio

6230.5

This Stock

98.24

Sector Avg

+6242.3% (Expensive)

Return on Equity (ROE)

0.06%

This Stock

-19.38%

Sector Avg

-100.3% (Below Avg)

Profit Margin

0.02%

This Stock

6.65%

Sector Avg

-99.7% (Weaker)

Debt to Equity

4.97

This Stock

2.63

Sector Avg

+88.8% (Higher)

Revenue Growth

27.1%

This Stock

71.29%

Sector Avg

-62.0% (Slower)

Current Ratio

1.31

This Stock

3.09

Sector Avg

-57.6% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company	AI Rating	Market Cap	P/E	ROE	Profit Margin	Price
HRI Herc Holdings Inc.	NEUTRAL	$4.16B	6230.5	0.1%	0.0%	$124.61
CAAP Corporación América Airports S.A.	BULLISH	$4.08B	16.45	16.2%	12.6%	$25.0	Compare
WSC WillScot Holdings Corporation	BEARISH	$4.07B	-	-5.7%	-2.3%	$22.49	Compare
HAFN Hafnia Limited	NEUTRAL	$4.29B	12.82	14.8%	14.9%	$8.59	Compare
BRC Brady Corporation	NEUTRAL	$3.98B	20.87	16.7%	12.7%	$84.3	Compare

HRI Herc Holdings Inc.

NEUTRAL

Mkt Cap

$4.2B

P/E

6230.5

ROE

0.1%

Price

$124.61

Compare with HRI

Compare with HRI

Compare with HRI

BRC Brady Corporation

Compare with HRI

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date	Insider	Position	Transaction	Shares	Value
2026-02-27	OLIN JOHN A	Director	Purchase	3,000	$427,410
2026-02-03	CUNNINGHAM CHRISTIAN J	Officer	Stock Award	8,861	-
2026-02-03	PERES TAMIR	Chief Technology Officer	Stock Award	8,861	-
2026-02-03	HUMPHREY MARK R	Chief Financial Officer	Stock Award	9,393	-
2026-02-03	SHEEK SAMUEL WADE	Officer	Stock Award	8,123	-
2026-02-03	BIRNBAUM AARON	Chief Operating Officer	Stock Award	15,897	-
2026-02-03	SCHUMACHER MARK ALAN	Officer	Stock Award	3,030	-
2026-02-03	SILBER LAWRENCE HARRIS	Chief Executive Officer	Stock Award	45,914	-
2025-12-31	OLIN JOHN A	Director	Stock Award	320	-
2025-11-14	ENGQUIST JOHN MARTINDALE	Director	Stock Award	85	$11,340

OLIN JOHN A

Director

Buy

2026-02-27

3,000 shares · $427,410

CUNNINGHAM CHRISTIAN J

Officer

Stock Award

2026-02-03

8,861 shares

PERES TAMIR

Chief Technology Officer

Stock Award

2026-02-03

8,861 shares

HUMPHREY MARK R

Chief Financial Officer

Stock Award

2026-02-03

9,393 shares

SHEEK SAMUEL WADE

Officer

Stock Award

2026-02-03

8,123 shares

BIRNBAUM AARON

Chief Operating Officer

Stock Award

2026-02-03

15,897 shares

SCHUMACHER MARK ALAN

Officer

Stock Award

2026-02-03

3,030 shares

SILBER LAWRENCE HARRIS

Chief Executive Officer

Stock Award

2026-02-03

45,914 shares

OLIN JOHN A

Director

Stock Award

2025-12-31

320 shares

ENGQUIST JOHN MARTINDALE

Director

Stock Award

2025-11-14

85 shares · $11,340

Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A

2026-03-27

HRI filed a Definitive Proxy Statement (DEF 14A) on March 27, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for the company's annual meeting.

10-K

2026-02-17

HRI filed its annual 10-K report on February 17, 2026. Due to the limited content provided in the excerpts, specific financial highlights and risk factors are not available for summary.

8-K

2026-02-17

HRI likely reported its fourth quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K

2026-01-30

Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (HRI) likely reported its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K

2025-12-16

Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (HRI) likely filed this 8-K to announce the declaration of its quarterly cash dividend.

8-K

2025-12-03

Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (HRI) filed an 8-K on December 3, 2025, likely to announce its quarterly financial results or a dividend declaration.

8-K

2025-12-02

8-K

2025-12-01

8-K

2025-11-24

10-Q

2025-10-28

HRI filed its quarterly 10-Q report on October 28, 2025. The provided excerpt identifies the inclusion of Risk Factors under Item 1A, although specific financial highlights and detailed risk descriptions were not available in the provided text.

8-K

2025-10-28

8-K

2025-09-04

8-K

2025-08-05

8-K

2025-07-29

10-Q

2025-07-29

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus

BUY

10 analysts

Citigroup

2026-04-13

Maintains

Buy Buy

Wells Fargo

2026-04-13

Maintains

Overweight Overweight

JP Morgan

2026-04-10

Maintains

Neutral Neutral

Keybanc

2026-03-16

Maintains

Overweight Overweight

Citigroup

2026-03-09

Maintains

Buy Buy

Citigroup

2026-02-19

Maintains

Buy Buy

Keybanc

2026-02-18

Maintains

Overweight Overweight

Baird

2026-02-18

Maintains

Outperform Outperform

Barclays

2026-01-23

Maintains

Overweight Overweight

Wells Fargo

2026-01-23

Maintains

Overweight Overweight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning HRI from our newsroom.

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HRI

HRI Herc Holdings Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

At a glance

AI Analysis

Key Strengths

Key Risks

Performance Snowflake

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Historical Performance Trends

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Valuation Metrics

Profitability

Growth

Financial Health

Financial Statement Flow

Quarterly Earnings History

Industrials Sector Comparison

Similar Companies

Recent Insider Trading

SEC Filings

Wall Street Analysts

Past News Coverage

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