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ICL

BEARISH
$5.54 Live
ICL Group Ltd · NYSE
Target $5.72 (+3.3%)
$4.76 52W Range $7.35

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 28, 2026
Market cap
$7.15B
P/E
30.78
ROE
4.6%
Profit margin
3.2%
Debt/Equity
0.44
Dividend yield
3.24%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
ICL presents a precarious profile characterized by a stable but mediocre Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a significant valuation gap, with the current price ($5.54) trading well above both the Graham Number ($4.33) and the Intrinsic Value ($1.26). While the balance sheet is healthy with low debt (D/E 0.44), the company suffers from razor-thin profit margins (3.16%) and a highly unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 96.39%. Technicals are overwhelmingly bearish (0/100), and the stock has seen a 16.4% decline over the past year, suggesting a lack of market confidence despite a 'hold' analyst consensus.

Key Strengths

Low Debt/Equity ratio (0.44) indicating strong solvency
Consistent historical track record of beating earnings estimates
Reasonable Price-to-Book ratio (1.19)
Positive Year-over-Year EPS growth (+12.5%)
Profitability margins are superior to the Basic Materials sector average

Key Risks

Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (96.39%)
Severe bearish technical trend (0/100 score)
Low Return on Equity (4.58%) and Return on Assets (3.71%)
Significant premium over growth-based intrinsic value ($1.26)
Negative most recent Q/Q EPS growth (-10.0%)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$4.33
-21.8% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
40
Moderate
Value
30
Future
45
Past
50
Health
60
Dividend
15
AI Verdict
Underperforming
Key drivers: Valuation premium, Dividend instability, Bearish price action
Confidence
90%
Value
30/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/S ratio of 1.00
Watchpoints
  • Price exceeds Graham Number
  • Price significantly exceeds Intrinsic Value
  • High trailing P/E (30.78)
Future
45/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Forward P/E (12.90) suggests earnings recovery
  • Modest revenue growth (6.2%)
Watchpoints
  • Declining Q/Q EPS growth
  • Low ROE
Past
50/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Strong history of earnings surprises
Watchpoints
  • 1-year price return of -16.4%
  • 6-month price return of -15.8%
Health
60/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Low Debt/Equity
  • Current Ratio > 1.0
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 (Stable/Weak)
  • Quick Ratio (0.68) suggests liquidity tied in inventory
Dividend
15/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Positive yield (3.24%)
Watchpoints
  • Extreme payout ratio (96.39%)
  • Low dividend strength score (20/100)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$5.54
Analyst Target
$5.72
Upside/Downside
+3.3%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ICL and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-27
ICL
ICL Group Ltd
Primary
5Y
+12.9%
3Y
-0.5%
1Y
-16.4%
6M
-15.8%
1M
+6.5%
1W
+6.3%
AXT
Axalta Coating Systems Ltd.
Peer
5Y
+21.2%
3Y
+22.1%
1Y
-8.8%
6M
+13.8%
1M
+4.1%
1W
+0.1%
CE
Celanese Corporation
Peer
5Y
-55.4%
3Y
-32.6%
1Y
+49.1%
6M
+54.2%
1M
+3.7%
1W
+4.8%
BTG
B2Gold Corp.
Peer
5Y
+19.4%
3Y
+38.2%
1Y
+59.3%
6M
-4.2%
1M
+18.6%
1W
-0.6%
EXP
Eagle Materials Inc.
Peer
5Y
+49.5%
3Y
+45.5%
1Y
-5.2%
6M
-10.2%
1M
+11.8%
1W
+3.7%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
30.78
Forward P/E
12.9
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.2
P/S Ratio
1.0
EV/Revenue
1.35
EV/EBITDA
7.96
Market Cap
$7.15B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 3.16%
Operating Margin 6.35%
Gross Margin 30.56%
ROE 4.58%
ROA 3.71%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +6.2%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +6.25%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.44
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.33
Good
Quick Ratio
0.68
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.38

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$1.7B
Gross Margin
27.5%
Op. Margin
4.5%
Total Assets
$12.4B
Liabilities
$6.2B
Equity
$6.0B
Debt/Equity
1.03x
Operating CF
$0.3B
CapEx
$-0.3B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
20%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-13
$N/A
2026-02-18
$0.09
-3.2% surprise
2025-11-12
$0.1
+5.0% surprise
2025-08-06
$0.09
+7.1% surprise

Basic Materials Sector Comparison

Comparing ICL against 143 companies in the Basic Materials sector (14 bullish, 54 neutral, 75 bearish)
P/E Ratio
30.78
This Stock
vs
38.86
Sector Avg
-20.8% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
4.58%
This Stock
vs
-6.64%
Sector Avg
-169.0% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
3.16%
This Stock
vs
-5.75%
Sector Avg
-154.9% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.44
This Stock
vs
0.89
Sector Avg
-50.3% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
6.2%
This Stock
vs
36.56%
Sector Avg
-83.0% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.33
This Stock
vs
5.16
Sector Avg
-74.2% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

20-F
20-F
2026-03-11

ICL filed its 20-F annual report on March 11, 2026, providing a comprehensive update on its financial position and operational risks. The filing serves as the primary disclosure of the company's yearly performance and risk factors for investors.

20-F
20-F
2025-03-13

ICL filed its 20-F annual report on March 13, 2025, providing a comprehensive disclosure of its financial performance and operational results. The filing details the company's annual financial highlights and outlines the primary risk factors associated with its global specialty minerals operations.

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
HOLD
4 analysts
Barclays
2025-11-13
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ICL from our newsroom.

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