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JNJ Johnson & Johnson - Fundamental Analysis

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JNJ Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Healthcare Drug Manufacturers - General
Current Price Live
$218.66
Analyst Target
$212.0
-3.0% Downside
52W High
$220.11
52W Low
$141.5

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AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
75%
Johnson & Johnson's Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a weak financial health signal with a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, indicating significant operational or balance sheet concerns. Despite strong profitability metrics like a 33.62% ROE and solid earnings growth, the low Piotroski score, bearish technical trend, and negative insider activity offset these strengths. The stock trades above its Graham Number of $87.55 but below the growth-based intrinsic value of $305.03, suggesting a fair valuation given moderate growth expectations. However, weak liquidity ratios and lack of Altman Z-Score data prevent a more bullish stance.

Key Strengths

Exceptional profitability with ROE of 33.62% and operating margin of 30.20%, well above sector averages
Strong year-over-year earnings growth of 91.00% and consistent quarterly earnings beats (3 out of last 4)
Defensive dividend profile with a sustainable 49.08% payout ratio and 2.37% yield
Significant market leadership with a $526.82B market cap in the stable healthcare sector
Revenue growth of 6.80% outpaces peers like Merck and Thermo Fisher despite macro challenges

Key Risks

Very low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 signals deteriorating financial health and potential earnings quality issues
Weak liquidity position with a current ratio of 1.07 and quick ratio of 0.71, below safe thresholds
Bearish insider sentiment with $39.75M in net officer sales and zero buys in the last 6 months
Technical trend score of 10/100 indicates strong near-term price weakness or distribution
Missing key financial data (Altman Z-Score, ROIC, cash/debt figures) limits confidence in solvency assessment
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$260.0
+18.9% above current price

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