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JPM

NEUTRAL
$313.68 Live
JPMorgan Chase & Co. · NYSE
Target $333.78 (+6.4%)
$226.34 52W Range $337.25

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AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
JPM exhibits a concerning Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, indicating weak short-term fundamental health, and currently trades at a significant premium to both its Graham Number ($239.11) and Intrinsic Value ($140.07). While the company maintains a strong ROE of 16.13% and dominant market positioning, negative YoY earnings growth (-3.60%) and bearish insider activity from the CEO and CFO signal internal caution. The stock's current price of $313.68 suggests the market is pricing in a growth premium that is not currently supported by the deterministic health or value metrics.

Key Strengths

Strong profitability with a 33.91% profit margin
Robust Return on Equity (ROE) of 16.13%
Conservative dividend payout ratio of 28.97%
Strong historical earnings beat track record over 25 quarters
Dominant market capitalization of $846.01B providing systemic stability

Key Risks

Very low Piotroski F-Score (2/9) suggesting deteriorating financial health
Significant overvaluation relative to Intrinsic Value ($140.07)
Negative Year-over-Year earnings growth (-3.60%)
Bearish insider sentiment with $37.86M in net sales, including CEO and CFO
Technical trend is heavily bearish (10/100)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$239.11
-23.8% below current price

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