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KGS

BEARISH
$66.71 Live
Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. · NYSE
Target $61.08 (-8.4%)
$30.06 52W Range $67.32
Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 29, 2026
Market cap
$5.89B
P/E
74.96
ROE
6.3%
Profit margin
6.2%
Debt/Equity
2.16
Dividend yield
2.82%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
KGS exhibits a severe valuation disconnect, trading at $66.71 despite a Graham Number of $16.76 and an Intrinsic Value of $26.25. While the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable health, the company faces significant liquidity risks with a current ratio of 0.84 and a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.16. Most critically, the dividend payout ratio of 202.25% is fundamentally unsustainable, and a consistent track record of earnings misses (average surprise -54.98% over the last 4 quarters) suggests the market has overextended the stock's price. The bearish insider sentiment and technical trend further signal a likely correction.

Key Strengths

Strong 1-year price appreciation (+98.3%)
Robust gross margins (63.31%) and operating margins (31.32%)
Positive year-over-year earnings growth (32.60%)
Strong analyst recommendation (Strong Buy) despite price exceeding targets
Positive Q/Q EPS growth (+264.7%)

Key Risks

Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (202.25%)
Severe overvaluation relative to Graham Number and Intrinsic Value
Poor earnings reliability with frequent and large misses
Weak liquidity position (Current Ratio 0.84, Quick Ratio 0.53)
High leverage with Debt/Equity at 2.16
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$24.5
-63.3% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
38
Weak
Value
15
Future
50
Past
75
Health
40
Dividend
10
AI Verdict
Overvalued & Risky
Key drivers: Extreme valuation premium, Dividend instability, Liquidity constraints, Earnings miss trend
Confidence
90%
Value
15/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E (20.18) is significantly lower than trailing P/E
Watchpoints
  • Price is 4x the Graham Number
  • Price is 2.5x the Intrinsic Value
  • Trailing P/E of 74.96 is excessive for the sector
Future
50/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Strong YoY earnings growth
  • Positive revenue growth
Watchpoints
  • Consistent failure to meet analyst estimates
  • High volatility in quarterly surprises
Past
75/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Exceptional 5-year and 1-year price returns
  • Strong momentum in the last 6 months
Watchpoints
  • Price performance is decoupled from fundamental value
Health
40/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is stable
Watchpoints
  • Current ratio below 1.0
  • Debt/Equity significantly higher than sector average (2.16 vs 1.30)
Dividend
10/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Yield of 2.82% is attractive on the surface
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 202.25% indicates the dividend is funded by debt or cash reserves rather than earnings

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$66.71
Analyst Target
$61.08
Upside/Downside
-8.4%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for KGS and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-28
KGS
Kodiak Gas Services, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+388.1%
3Y
+388.1%
1Y
+98.3%
6M
+91.2%
1M
+16.1%
1W
+5.9%
CRC
California Resources Corporation
Peer
5Y
+225.4%
3Y
+81.0%
1Y
+89.0%
6M
+38.2%
1M
-3.3%
1W
+3.2%
CNX
CNX Resources Corporation
Peer
5Y
+182.3%
3Y
+150.5%
1Y
+32.3%
6M
+17.6%
1M
-4.8%
1W
-0.6%
GLN
Golar LNG Limited
Peer
5Y
+505.5%
3Y
+176.8%
1Y
+55.7%
6M
+38.6%
1M
+18.5%
1W
-3.4%
LBR
Liberty Energy Inc.
Peer
5Y
+187.7%
3Y
+171.8%
1Y
+175.5%
6M
+95.4%
1M
+14.5%
1W
+16.7%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
74.96
Forward P/E
20.18
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
4.76
P/S Ratio
4.5
EV/Revenue
6.38
EV/EBITDA
12.12
Market Cap
$5.89B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 6.16%
Operating Margin 31.32%
Gross Margin 63.31%
ROE 6.32%
ROA 5.88%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +7.5%
Earnings Growth +32.6%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +7.54%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +29.0%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
2.16
High debt
Current Ratio
0.84
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.53
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.04

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.3B
Gross Margin
42.0%
Op. Margin
30.3%
Net Margin
7.4%
Total Assets
$4.3B
Liabilities
$3.1B
Equity
$1.2B
Debt/Equity
2.59x
Operating CF
$0.2B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
73%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-06
$N/A
2026-02-25
$0.28
-41.7% surprise
2025-11-04
$-0.17
-130.2% surprise
2025-08-06
$0.49
+7.0% surprise

Energy Sector Comparison

Comparing KGS against 117 companies in the Energy sector (11 bullish, 38 neutral, 68 bearish)
P/E Ratio
74.96
This Stock
vs
31.48
Sector Avg
+138.1% (Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
6.32%
This Stock
vs
2.59%
Sector Avg
+144.2% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
6.16%
This Stock
vs
5.41%
Sector Avg
+13.8% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
2.16
This Stock
vs
1.34
Sector Avg
+60.9% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
7.5%
This Stock
vs
19.47%
Sector Avg
-61.5% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.84
This Stock
vs
2.15
Sector Avg
-61.0% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

KGS Kodiak Gas Services, Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$5.9B
P/E
75.0
ROE
6.3%
Price
$66.71
CRC California...
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$5.7B
P/E
15.6
ROE
10.1%
Price
$64.74
 Compare with KGS
CNX CNX Resources...
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$5.5B
P/E
9.7
ROE
15.0%
Price
$38.45
 Compare with KGS
GLNG Golar LNG Limited
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$5.4B
P/E
92.1
ROE
5.1%
Price
$53.39
 Compare with KGS
LBRT Liberty Energy Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$5.4B
P/E
36.3
ROE
7.7%
Price
$33.05
 Compare with KGS

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

BUHIGAS PEDRO R
Chief Technology Officer
Sell
2026-03-19
13,942 shares · $776,988
HAMILTON EWAN WILLIAM
Officer
Sell
2026-03-17
5,797 shares · $325,675
ROCLAWSKI CORY ANNE
Officer
Sell
2026-03-16
10,852 shares · $590,457
HAMILTON EWAN WILLIAM
Officer
Sell
2026-03-16
2,091 shares · $115,528
HOGAN RANDALL J III
Director
Buy
2026-03-13
6,000 shares · $328,860
DARDEN ALEXANDER NEWSOM
Director
Buy
2026-03-13
5,000 shares · $273,750
HAMILTON EWAN WILLIAM
Officer
Sell
2026-03-13
4,830 shares · $264,442
ROCLAWSKI CORY ANNE
Officer
Sell
2026-03-12
21,161 shares · $1,196,020
GRIGGS JOHN B.
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-06
64,736 shares · $3,618,095
BUHIGAS PEDRO R
Chief Technology Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-06
28,157 shares · $1,573,695
ROCLAWSKI CORY ANNE
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-06
34,157 shares · $1,909,035
HAMILTON EWAN WILLIAM
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-06
22,652 shares · $1,266,020
MCKEE ROBERT MICHAEL
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-06
212,207 shares · $11,860,249
LENAMON WILLIAM CHAD
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-06
58,736 shares · $3,282,755
GREEN STEVEN LEE
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-06
7,157 shares · $400,005
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-04-02

KGS filed an 8-K on April 2, 2026, likely to report its first-quarter financial results.

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-03-27

KGS filed a definitive proxy statement (DEF 14A) on March 27, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information to vote on corporate matters at the upcoming annual meeting.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-24

KGS filed a current report on March 24, 2026, likely announcing its annual financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-12
8-K
8-K
2026-03-11
10-K
10-K
2026-02-26

KGS filed its annual 10-K report on February 26, 2026. Specific financial highlights and risk factors were not provided in the available excerpts.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-25

KGS filed an 8-K on February 25, 2026, likely to announce its annual financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-05

KGS filed an 8-K on February 5, 2026, likely to announce its financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-29

KGS filed an 8-K on January 29, 2026, likely to announce its fourth quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-12-03
8-K
8-K
2025-11-13
10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-05
8-K
8-K
2025-11-04
8-K
8-K
2025-10-23
8-K
8-K
2025-09-23
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
STRONG_BUY
12 analysts
Goldman Sachs
2026-04-20
Maintains
Buy Buy
RBC Capital
2026-03-19
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Barclays
2026-03-05
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Citigroup
2026-03-02
Maintains
Buy Buy
Goldman Sachs
2026-03-02
Maintains
Buy Buy
Citigroup
2026-02-06
Maintains
Buy Buy
Barclays
2026-02-06
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Mizuho
2026-01-20
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Barclays
2026-01-13
up
Equal-Weight Overweight
Mizuho
2025-12-04
Maintains
Outperform Outperform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning KGS from our newsroom.

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