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KNTK

NEUTRAL
$48.87 Live
Kinetik Holdings Inc. · NYSE
Target $50.07 (+2.5%)
$31.33 52W Range $49.55

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 29, 2026
Market cap
$3.36B
P/E
18.58
ROE
17.8%
Profit margin
29.8%
Debt/Equity
1.32
Dividend yield
6.51%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
KNTK presents a complex profile with a stable Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating mediocre financial health. While the growth-based intrinsic value of $77.58 suggests significant upside from the current price of $48.87, this is heavily offset by a negative book value and an unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 118.63%. Strong profit margins and steady revenue growth are countered by poor liquidity (Current Ratio 0.69) and aggressive insider selling totaling $187.54M. The stock is currently in a bearish technical trend despite a 'Buy' analyst consensus.

Key Strengths

Strong profit margins (29.81%) and gross margins (40.37%)
Consistent revenue growth (11.60% YoY)
High Return on Equity (ROE) of 17.80%
Strong long-term price performance (142.1% 5Y change)
Positive analyst sentiment with a target price of $50.07

Key Risks

Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (118.63%)
Negative book value (Price/Book -5.54) indicating potential equity erosion
Poor short-term liquidity with a current ratio of 0.69 and quick ratio of 0.20
High geographic concentration risk in the Permian Basin
Significant insider selling ($187.54M) with zero buy transactions
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$62.5
+27.9% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
48
Moderate
Value
40
Future
60
Past
75
Health
35
Dividend
30
AI Verdict
Speculative Growth
Key drivers: High dividend yield vs payout risk, Negative book value, Strong operational margins, Insider divestment
Confidence
90%
Value
40/100

Trades at a premium to book value (which is negative) and high PEG suggests overvaluation relative to growth.

Positives
  • P/E (18.58) is lower than sector average (31.31)
Watchpoints
  • High PEG ratio (3.49)
  • Negative Price/Book ratio
  • Forward P/E (24.32) is higher than trailing P/E
Future
60/100

Growth is present but earnings quality is erratic as seen in quarterly surprises.

Positives
  • Steady 11.6% revenue growth
  • Strong analyst buy ratings
Watchpoints
  • Extreme earnings volatility
  • Reliance on Permian Basin development
Past
75/100

Historical price action is very strong, though momentum has stalled recently.

Positives
  • Strong 1Y, 3Y, and 5Y price appreciation
  • Consistent ability to beat estimates in several quarters
Watchpoints
  • Recent technical trend is bearish (10/100)
Health
35/100

Financial health is fragile due to liquidity ratios and negative book value.

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is stable
Watchpoints
  • Current Ratio (0.69) indicates liquidity stress
  • Negative equity/book value
  • Debt/Equity of 1.32
Dividend
30/100

The dividend is likely to be cut or funded by debt/cash reserves given the payout exceeds earnings.

Positives
  • High yield of 6.51%
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 118.63% is unsustainable

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$48.87
Analyst Target
$50.07
Upside/Downside
+2.5%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for KNTK and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-28
KNT
Kinetik Holdings Inc.
Primary
5Y
+142.1%
3Y
+103.7%
1Y
+21.2%
6M
+30.9%
1M
+2.3%
1W
+6.0%
GPO
Gulfport Energy Corporation
Peer
5Y
+157.9%
3Y
+108.0%
1Y
+5.4%
6M
+0.6%
1M
-13.1%
1W
-0.9%
DNN
Denison Mines Corp.
Peer
5Y
+265.4%
3Y
+268.9%
1Y
+167.6%
6M
+35.2%
1M
+6.4%
1W
-2.1%
CVI
CVR Energy, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+147.9%
3Y
+42.9%
1Y
+72.2%
6M
-20.4%
1M
-3.6%
1W
+7.1%
TRM
TORM plc
Peer
5Y
+568.0%
3Y
+49.2%
1Y
+117.0%
6M
+54.0%
1M
+19.4%
1W
+1.1%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
18.58
Forward P/E
24.32
PEG Ratio
3.49
P/B Ratio
-5.54
P/S Ratio
1.91
EV/Revenue
5.96
EV/EBITDA
18.3
Market Cap
$3.36B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 29.81%
Operating Margin 16.19%
Gross Margin 40.37%
ROE 17.8%
ROA 1.72%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +11.6%
Earnings Growth +48580.1%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +11.59%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +2468.4%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.32
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.69
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.2
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.06

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.4B
Gross Margin
37.0%
Op. Margin
11.2%
Net Margin
96.8%
Total Assets
$7.1B
Liabilities
$4.2B
Equity
$-0.6B
Debt/Equity
-7.37x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
-28%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-06
$N/A
2026-02-25
$2.16
+980.0% surprise
2025-11-05
$0.03
-89.9% surprise
2025-08-06
$0.33
+56.9% surprise

Energy Sector Comparison

Comparing KNTK against 117 companies in the Energy sector (11 bullish, 38 neutral, 68 bearish)
P/E Ratio
18.58
This Stock
vs
31.48
Sector Avg
-41.0% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
17.8%
This Stock
vs
2.59%
Sector Avg
+587.6% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
29.81%
This Stock
vs
5.41%
Sector Avg
+451.0% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
1.32
This Stock
vs
1.34
Sector Avg
-1.9% (Lower)
Revenue Growth
11.6%
This Stock
vs
19.47%
Sector Avg
-40.4% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.69
This Stock
vs
2.15
Sector Avg
-68.0% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

ISQ GLOBAL FUND II GP LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
2026-04-23
160,200 shares · $7,714,019
ISQ GLOBAL FUND II GP LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Stock Award
2026-04-06
1,500,000 shares
STELLATO STEVEN M
Officer
Sell
2026-03-04
2,907 shares · $136,396
ELLIS LINDSAY
General Counsel
Sell
2026-03-04
1,260 shares · $59,119
WALL MATTHEW JOHN
Chief Operating Officer
Sell
2026-03-04
3,222 shares · $151,176
HOWARD TREVOR
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2026-03-04
1,619 shares · $75,963
WELCH JAMIE
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
16,101 shares
STELLATO STEVEN M
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
7,245 shares
ELLIS LINDSAY
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-03-02
5,072 shares
WALL MATTHEW JOHN
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
8,030 shares
HOWARD TREVOR
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
6,521 shares
ISQ GLOBAL FUND II GP LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
2026-02-26
4,000,000 shares · $179,400,000
ISQ GLOBAL FUND II GP LLC
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Stock Award
2026-02-26
4,000,000 shares
WELCH JAMIE
President
Stock Award
2026-02-20
58,084 shares
STELLATO STEVEN M
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-20
20,226 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-04-08

KNTK filed a definitive proxy statement on April 8, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for an upcoming meeting.

8-K
8-K
2026-04-03

Kinetik Holdings Inc. filed an 8-K on April 3, 2026, likely to announce its first-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-26

Kinetik Holdings Inc. filed an 8-K likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results for the fiscal year ending 2025.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-26

Kinetik Holdings, Inc. faces significant operational risks due to the heavy concentration of its assets in the Permian Basin and a reliance on customer development activity to offset natural declines in hydrocarbon production. Additionally, the company identifies potential challenges in executing and integrating acquisitions and divestitures. No specific financial performance metrics were provided in the available excerpts.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-06

KNTK filed its quarterly 10-Q report on November 6, 2025. While specific financial highlights were not provided in the excerpt, the company incorporates its risk factors by reference from its Annual Report on Form 10-K filed on March 3, 2025. The filing includes standard cautionary language noting that actual results may differ materially from forward-looking statements.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-06

Kinetik Holdings Inc. filed a current report on November 6, 2025, likely announcing its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-09-05
10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-08

KNTK filed its quarterly 10-Q report on August 8, 2025. While specific financial highlights were not provided in the excerpt, the company incorporates its risk factors by reference from its Annual Report filed on March 3, 2025. The filing includes standard cautionary language noting that actual results may differ materially from forward-looking statements.

8-K
8-K
2025-08-07

Kinetik Holdings Inc. likely filed this 8-K to announce its second quarter 2025 financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-07-01
8-K
8-K
2025-06-03
8-K
8-K
2025-05-21
10-Q
10-Q
2025-05-08
8-K
8-K
2025-05-07
8-K
8-K
2025-05-02
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
14 analysts
Mizuho
2026-04-28
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
RBC Capital
2026-04-16
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Jefferies
2026-04-15
Maintains
Hold Hold
Barclays
2026-04-10
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Wells Fargo
2026-03-25
up
Equal-Weight Overweight
Truist Securities
2026-03-24
init
Buy
Barclays
2026-03-19
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Scotiabank
2026-03-17
Maintains
Sector Outperform Sector Outperform
UBS
2026-03-16
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Wells Fargo
2026-03-13
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning KNTK from our newsroom.

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