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KNX

BEARISH
$65.53 Live
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. · NYSE
Target $70.39 (+7.4%)
$37.76 52W Range $67.75

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 29, 2026
Market cap
$10.65B
P/E
312.05
ROE
0.5%
Profit margin
0.5%
Debt/Equity
0.38
Dividend yield
1.22%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
Despite a strong Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicating operational health, KNX exhibits a severe disconnect between its current market price ($65.53) and its fundamental value (Graham Number: $14.36). The company is facing a critical earnings collapse with a -71% Q/Q EPS decline and a 0/4 beat rate over the last year. Furthermore, the dividend is fundamentally unsustainable with a payout ratio of 352.38%, and insider activity is exclusively bearish. The current price appears to be driven by speculative momentum rather than underlying financial performance.

Key Strengths

Strong Piotroski F-Score (7/9) suggesting solid operational efficiency
Low Debt/Equity ratio (0.38) indicating manageable long-term leverage
Strong 1-year price momentum (+71.5%)
Reasonable Forward P/E (20.34) if earnings recover to estimates
Low PEG ratio (0.58) suggesting potential value if growth returns

Key Risks

Extreme valuation gap: Current price is >4x the Graham Number
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (352.38%)
Severe earnings deterioration (-67.9% YoY EPS growth)
Poor short-term liquidity (Current Ratio 0.70, Quick Ratio 0.51)
Consistent earnings misses (0/4 beats in the last 4 quarters)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$15.5
-76.3% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
33
Weak
Value
15
Future
20
Past
50
Health
70
Dividend
10
AI Verdict
Overvalued Speculative
Key drivers: Massive valuation premium, Earnings collapse, Dividend instability, Strong operational health (Piotroski)
Confidence
90%
Value
15/100

Stock trades at a massive premium to defensive fair value.

Positives
  • Low PEG ratio
Watchpoints
  • Trailing P/E of 312.05
  • Price far exceeds Graham Number ($14.36) and Intrinsic Value ($1.47)
Future
20/100

Growth metrics are currently trending sharply downward.

Positives
  • Analyst target price of $70.39
Watchpoints
  • Negative Q/Q revenue growth
  • Crashing EPS growth (-71%)
  • Consistent earnings misses
Past
50/100

Price performance has diverged completely from earnings performance.

Positives
  • Strong 1Y and 6M price appreciation
Watchpoints
  • Poor recent earnings track record
  • Declining profit margins
Health
70/100

Strong operational health but weak short-term liquidity.

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
  • Low Debt/Equity (0.38)
Watchpoints
  • Current Ratio < 1.0 (0.70)
  • Quick Ratio < 1.0 (0.51)
Dividend
10/100

Company is paying dividends far in excess of its earnings.

Positives
  • Consistent payment
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 352.38% is unsustainable
  • Low dividend yield (1.22%)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$65.53
Analyst Target
$70.39
Upside/Downside
+7.4%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for KNX and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-28
KNX
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.
Primary
5Y
+46.1%
3Y
+20.9%
1Y
+71.5%
6M
+50.8%
1M
+18.2%
1W
+1.0%
FLS
Flowserve Corporation
Peer
5Y
+127.6%
3Y
+168.2%
1Y
+89.1%
6M
+56.8%
1M
+9.0%
1W
-0.7%
IES
IES Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+943.7%
3Y
+1202.7%
1Y
+194.9%
6M
+47.4%
1M
+20.5%
1W
+10.4%
AIT
Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+260.2%
3Y
+134.7%
1Y
+7.9%
6M
+3.3%
1M
+6.0%
1W
-0.4%
DCI
Donaldson Company, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+54.2%
3Y
+47.0%
1Y
+37.2%
6M
+7.5%
1M
+2.1%
1W
-0.3%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
312.05
Forward P/E
20.34
PEG Ratio
0.58
P/B Ratio
1.5
P/S Ratio
1.42
EV/Revenue
1.75
EV/EBITDA
13.04
Market Cap
$10.65B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 0.45%
Operating Margin 1.65%
Gross Margin 24.03%
ROE 0.48%
ROA 1.1%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +1.4%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth -0.43%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.38
Low debt
Current Ratio
0.7
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.51
Poor
Cash/Share
$1.37

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-07-22
$N/A
2026-04-22
$0.09
-43.1% surprise
2026-01-21
$0.31
-12.6% surprise
2025-10-22
$0.32
-13.2% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing KNX against 489 companies in the Industrials sector (40 bullish, 182 neutral, 267 bearish)
P/E Ratio
312.05
This Stock
vs
96.86
Sector Avg
+222.2% (Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
0.48%
This Stock
vs
-18.52%
Sector Avg
-102.6% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
0.45%
This Stock
vs
6.47%
Sector Avg
-93.0% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.38
This Stock
vs
2.59
Sector Avg
-85.4% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
1.4%
This Stock
vs
69.22%
Sector Avg
-98.0% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.7
This Stock
vs
3.05
Sector Avg
-77.0% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

MILLER ADAM W
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-12
17,758 shares
MILLER ADAM W
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-12
17,758 shares
MILLER ADAM W
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-12
17,758 shares
KNIGHT GARY J
Officer and Director
Stock Award
2026-03-12
5,682 shares
SMITH JOSHUA
Officer
Sell
2026-02-26
5,770 shares · $351,474
SMITH JOSHUA
Officer
Gift
2026-02-26
1,550 shares
KNIGHT KEVIN P
Officer and Director
Sell
2026-02-20
30,000 shares · $1,830,087
KNIGHT KEVIN P
Officer and Director
Sell
2026-02-18
70,000 shares · $4,200,731
HARRINGTON TIMOTHY SEAN
Officer
Sell
2026-02-10
8,500 shares · $508,359
FITZSIMMONS JAMES L
Officer
Sell
2026-02-04
5,917 shares · $324,074
LIU MICHAEL K
Officer
Sell
2026-02-04
1,243 shares · $75,661
FLANAGAN CARY MICHAEL
Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-30
2,422 shares
MILLER ADAM W
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-30
18,513 shares
MILLER ADAM W
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-30
18,513 shares
MILLER ADAM W
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-30
18,513 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-04-22

KNX filed an 8-K on April 22, 2026, likely to report its first-quarter financial results.

8-K
EARNINGS GUIDANCE UPDATE 04.16.2026
2026-04-16

KNX issued an update to its earnings guidance on April 16, 2026.

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-04-02

KNX filed a definitive proxy statement on April 2, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for an upcoming meeting.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-19

KNX filed its annual 10-K report on February 19, 2026. Specific financial highlights and risk factors were not provided in the available excerpts.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-13

KNX filed an 8-K on February 13, 2026, likely to announce its annual financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-12

KNX filed an 8-K on February 12, 2026, likely to announce its financial results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-21

KNX filed an 8-K on January 21, 2026, likely to report its year-end financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-02

KNX filed an 8-K on January 2, 2026, likely to report year-end financial results or annual corporate updates.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-07
10-Q
10-Q
2025-10-29

KNX filed its quarterly 10-Q report on October 29, 2025. While the filing includes a section dedicated to risk factors, specific financial highlights and detailed risk disclosures were not provided in the available excerpts.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-22
8-K
8-K
2025-08-07
10-Q
10-Q
2025-07-30
8-K
8-K
2025-07-23
8-K/A
8-K/A
2025-07-21
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
18 analysts
UBS
2026-04-23
Maintains
Buy Buy
TD Cowen
2026-04-23
Maintains
Buy Buy
Stifel
2026-04-23
Maintains
Buy Buy
Evercore ISI Group
2026-04-23
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Benchmark
2026-04-23
Maintains
Buy Buy
Baird
2026-04-23
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Susquehanna
2026-04-22
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Benchmark
2026-04-15
Maintains
Buy Buy
Wells Fargo
2026-04-07
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Stifel
2026-04-02
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning KNX from our newsroom.

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