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LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation - Fundamental Analysis

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LMT Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Industrials Aerospace & Defense
Current Price Live
$582.43
Analyst Target
$556.84
-4.4% Downside
52W High
$582.93
52W Low
$410.11

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AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
72%
Lockheed Martin's deterministic health scores show mixed signals with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating stable but not strong financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. The stock trades at a significant premium to its Graham Number ($104.24) and even above its growth-based intrinsic value ($185.09), currently priced at $582.43, reflecting high market expectations. Despite solid revenue growth (8.80% YoY) and strong ROE (62.78%), concerns arise from declining earnings momentum, inconsistent quarterly beats (2 of last 4), negative Q/Q earnings growth (-0.20%), and bearish insider activity. Analysts concur with a 'hold' recommendation, aligning with technical weakness (10/100 trend score) and stretched valuation metrics like a high P/E of 32.41 and Price/Book of 21.67.

Key Strengths

Strong year-over-year revenue growth of 8.80%, outpacing sector average of 6.02%
Exceptionally high ROE of 62.78%, significantly above peer and sector averages
Solid dividend yield of 2.39% with a manageable 73.54% payout ratio
Impressive long-term price performance: +95.7% over 5 years
High analyst coverage with consensus target near current price, suggesting stability

Key Risks

Low Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates marginal financial health and weak operating performance trends
Elevated valuation: P/E of 32.41 and Price/Book of 21.67 are well above peers and historical norms
Negative Q/Q earnings growth (-0.20%) and volatile recent earnings surprises, including a -77.4% miss
Bearish insider sentiment: recent $3.83M in executive sales with no buys in the last 6 months
High debt/equity ratio of 3.59, more than double the sector average of 1.54
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$185.09
-68.2% below current price

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