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LTC

BEARISH
$38.24 Live
LTC Properties, Inc. · NYSE
Target $41.29 (+8.0%)
$33.64 52W Range $40.8

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 30, 2026
Market cap
$1.89B
P/E
15.17
ROE
11.2%
Profit margin
45.8%
Debt/Equity
0.85
Dividend yield
5.96%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
LTC exhibits a stable but mediocre Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, while trading at a significant premium to both its Graham Number ($33.36) and Intrinsic Value ($17.64). The company is facing severe fundamental headwinds, evidenced by a -54.40% YoY earnings collapse and a -19.00% revenue decline. With a technical trend score of 0/100 and a forward P/E (23.75) significantly higher than its current P/E (15.17), the market is pricing in a recovery that is not yet supported by the data. The high dividend payout ratio of 90.48% creates a sustainability risk given the current earnings trajectory.

Key Strengths

Strong profit margins (45.79% Profit Margin, 72.28% Gross Margin)
Conservative leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.85
Extremely high liquidity indicated by a Current Ratio of 17.97
Positive long-term price appreciation (5Y Change: +24.1%)
Stable Piotroski F-Score (4/9) indicating no immediate financial collapse

Key Risks

Severe earnings contraction (-54.40% YoY)
Significant overvaluation relative to intrinsic value ($38.24 vs $17.64)
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (90.48%)
Bearish technical trend (0/100)
Forward P/E expansion suggesting expected earnings decline
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$28.5
-25.5% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
41
Moderate
Value
30
Future
20
Past
60
Health
50
Dividend
45
AI Verdict
Overvalued with deteriorating fundamentals
Key drivers: Negative YoY growth, Price > Graham Number, High Payout Ratio, Bearish Technicals
Confidence
90%
Value
30/100

Ref P/E 15.17, PEG 5.74, Graham Number $33.36

Positives
  • P/E is lower than sector average
Watchpoints
  • Price exceeds Graham Number
  • PEG ratio of 5.74 indicates extreme overvaluation relative to growth
  • Price is more than double the growth-based intrinsic value
Future
20/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Recent Q/Q revenue growth spike (60.31%)
Watchpoints
  • YoY Revenue Growth -19.00%
  • YoY Earnings Growth -54.40%
  • Forward P/E is higher than current P/E
Past
60/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Consistent positive returns over 1Y, 3Y, and 5Y periods
Watchpoints
  • Poor earnings surprise track record (1/4 beats in last 4 quarters)
Health
50/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score 4/9

Positives
  • Low Debt/Equity (0.85)
  • Very high Current Ratio
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score is only 4/9 (Stable, not Strong)
Dividend
45/100

Ref Yield 5.96%, Payout 90.48%

Positives
  • Attractive yield of 5.96%
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 90.48% leaves almost no margin for earnings volatility

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$38.24
Analyst Target
$41.29
Upside/Downside
+8.0%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for LTC and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-29
LTC
LTC Properties, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+24.1%
3Y
+39.5%
1Y
+14.6%
6M
+13.9%
1M
+3.0%
1W
+2.3%
DEI
Douglas Emmett, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-57.9%
3Y
+2.6%
1Y
-19.4%
6M
-16.8%
1M
+16.4%
1W
+2.4%
GNL
Global Net Lease, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-9.4%
3Y
+21.9%
1Y
+36.1%
6M
+27.1%
1M
+4.5%
1W
-2.6%
GTY
Getty Realty Corp.
Peer
5Y
+46.5%
3Y
+20.7%
1Y
+27.9%
6M
+20.6%
1M
+4.9%
1W
-2.4%
CCS
Century Communities, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-2.5%
3Y
-5.6%
1Y
+8.3%
6M
-4.4%
1M
+4.1%
1W
-4.0%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
15.17
Forward P/E
23.75
PEG Ratio
5.74
P/B Ratio
1.95
P/S Ratio
7.35
EV/Revenue
8.35
EV/EBITDA
19.38
Market Cap
$1.89B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 45.79%
Operating Margin 52.87%
Gross Margin 72.28%
ROE 11.18%
ROA 2.37%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -19.0%
Earnings Growth -54.4%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +60.31%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -55.1%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.85
Moderate
Current Ratio
17.97
Strong
Quick Ratio
16.93
Excellent
Cash/Share
$0.58

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.1B
Gross Margin
64.9%
Op. Margin
41.1%
Net Margin
121.2%
Total Assets
$2.1B
Liabilities
$0.9B
Equity
$1.1B
Debt/Equity
0.84x
Operating CF
$0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
100%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-06
$N/A
2026-02-24
$0.47
-8.2% surprise
2025-11-04
$0.48
+2.4% surprise
2025-08-04
$0.46
-64.1% surprise

Real Estate Sector Comparison

Comparing LTC against 192 companies in the Real Estate sector (9 bullish, 39 neutral, 144 bearish)
P/E Ratio
15.17
This Stock
vs
40.48
Sector Avg
-62.5% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
11.18%
This Stock
vs
-29.58%
Sector Avg
-137.8% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
45.79%
This Stock
vs
11.76%
Sector Avg
+289.3% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.85
This Stock
vs
2.36
Sector Avg
-63.9% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-19.0%
This Stock
vs
14622.72%
Sector Avg
-100.1% (Slower)
Current Ratio
17.97
This Stock
vs
8.62
Sector Avg
+108.4% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

MALIN CLINT B
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-09
33,226 shares · $1,318,408
SATTERWHITE JOHN GIBSON
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-09
7,714 shares · $306,092
SIMPSON WENDY L
Officer and Director
Stock Award
2026-03-09
67,721 shares · $2,687,169
CHIKHALE CAROLINE L
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-09
10,286 shares · $408,148
SHELLEY-KESSLER PAMELA J
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-09
33,226 shares · $1,318,408
GRUBER DAVID L
Director
Buy
2026-03-05
7,000 shares · $266,000
MALIN CLINT B
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-19
33,466 shares · $1,302,497
SATTERWHITE JOHN GIBSON
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-19
10,663 shares · $415,004
BOITANO DAVID M
Chief Investment Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-19
10,534 shares · $409,983
CHIKHALE CAROLINE L
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-19
13,618 shares · $530,013
SHELLEY-KESSLER PAMELA J
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-19
33,466 shares · $1,302,497
BOITANO DAVID M
Chief Investment Officer
Buy
2025-12-31
10,000 shares · $344,400
GRUBER DAVID L
Director
Buy
2025-11-07
5,000 shares · $177,560
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-04-08

LTC filed a definitive proxy statement on April 8, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for an upcoming meeting.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-24

LTC filed its annual 10-K on February 24, 2026, providing comprehensive disclosures regarding its business operations and financial condition. While specific financial metrics and risk details were not included in the provided excerpts, the filing contains dedicated sections for Management’s Discussion and Analysis and Risk Factors.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-24

LTC Properties, Inc. filed an 8-K on February 24, 2026, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-12-15
10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-04

LTC filed its 10-Q on November 4, 2025. While specific financial highlights were not provided in the excerpt, the filing includes detailed risk disclosures under Item 1A.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-04

LTC Properties, Inc. filed an 8-K on November 4, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-10-03

LTC Properties, Inc. likely filed this Form 8-K to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-09-15
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-08-05

LTC filed an 8-K on August 5, 2025, likely to announce its second-quarter financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-04
8-K
8-K
2025-08-04

LTC Properties, Inc. filed an 8-K on August 4, 2025, likely to announce its second-quarter financial results.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-07-21
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-07-10
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-06-03
10-Q
10-Q
2025-05-05
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
HOLD
7 analysts
Wells Fargo
2026-03-26
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
RBC Capital
2026-03-20
Maintains
Sector Perform Sector Perform
Wells Fargo
2025-11-25
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
RBC Capital
2025-11-10
Maintains
Sector Perform Sector Perform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning LTC from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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