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MAA

BEARISH
$129.71 Live
Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. · NYSE
Target $142.23 (+9.7%)
$120.3 52W Range $169.0

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 30, 2026
Market cap
$15.47B
P/E
34.41
ROE
7.6%
Profit margin
20.2%
Debt/Equity
0.93
Dividend yield
4.72%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
MAA exhibits significant fundamental divergence, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating only stable health and a current price ($129.71) trading at a massive premium to its Graham Number ($64.11) and Intrinsic Value ($26.39). The most critical concern is the unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 160.32%, coupled with a dangerously low current ratio of 0.07, suggesting severe liquidity constraints. Despite consistent earnings beats and a 'Buy' analyst consensus, the underlying growth metrics are alarming, with YoY earnings plummeting by 65.80%. The combination of bearish insider selling and a 0/100 technical trend suggests a lack of confidence in the current valuation.

Key Strengths

Consistent track record of beating quarterly earnings estimates (4/4 last 4 quarters)
Strong gross margins (58.69%) and operating margins (28.38%)
Diversified portfolio across 16 states and DC
Attractive nominal dividend yield of 4.72%
Lower Debt/Equity (0.93) compared to the sector average (2.36)

Key Risks

Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (160.32%) exceeding earnings
Extreme liquidity risk indicated by a current ratio of 0.07
Severe earnings contraction with YoY growth at -65.80%
Significant overvaluation relative to Graham Number and Intrinsic Value
Bearish insider sentiment with 9 sell transactions and 0 buys
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$64.11
-50.6% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
33
Weak
Value
20
Future
30
Past
50
Health
40
Dividend
25
AI Verdict
Overvalued and Financially Strained
Key drivers: Dividend unsustainability, Liquidity crisis (Current Ratio), Earnings collapse, Price-to-Value gap
Confidence
90%
Value
20/100

Ref P/E 34.41, Graham Number $64.11

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Price is ~2x the Graham Number
  • P/E of 34.41 is high for stagnant revenue growth
Future
30/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Ongoing development projects (8 under construction)
Watchpoints
  • YoY Earnings Growth -65.80%
  • Revenue growth nearly flat at 1.00%
Past
50/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Strong history of earnings surprises
  • Stable market presence in S&P 500
Watchpoints
  • Negative 1Y price change (-13.8%)
Health
40/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score, Current Ratio

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9 (Stable)
  • Manageable Debt/Equity ratio
Watchpoints
  • Current Ratio 0.07 is critically low
  • Quick Ratio 0.04 indicates almost no liquid assets
Dividend
25/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Yield is competitive at 4.72%
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 160.32% is a major red flag for dividend safety

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$129.71
Analyst Target
$142.23
Upside/Downside
+9.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MAA and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-29
MAA
Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-1.1%
3Y
-4.7%
1Y
-13.8%
6M
+5.2%
1M
+7.9%
1W
+4.1%
JLL
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated
Peer
5Y
+83.5%
3Y
+145.7%
1Y
+50.5%
6M
+9.5%
1M
+15.0%
1W
-1.2%
REG
Regency Centers Corporation
Peer
5Y
+54.2%
3Y
+47.7%
1Y
+16.4%
6M
+14.6%
1M
+7.2%
1W
+0.4%
KIM
Kimco Realty Corporation
Peer
5Y
+39.3%
3Y
+43.3%
1Y
+21.8%
6M
+11.9%
1M
+6.6%
1W
+0.5%
ESS
Essex Property Trust, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+2.9%
3Y
+37.7%
1Y
-4.0%
6M
-1.5%
1M
+6.6%
1W
+0.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
34.41
Forward P/E
33.34
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.68
P/S Ratio
7.0
EV/Revenue
9.37
EV/EBITDA
16.65
Market Cap
$15.47B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 20.23%
Operating Margin 28.38%
Gross Margin 58.69%
ROE 7.65%
ROA 3.26%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +1.0%
Earnings Growth -65.8%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +1.04%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -65.5%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.93
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.07
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.04
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.52

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.6B
Gross Margin
30.9%
Op. Margin
28.4%
Net Margin
10.4%
Total Assets
$12.0B
Liabilities
$6.1B
Equity
$5.7B
Debt/Equity
1.08x
Operating CF
$0.3B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.2B
FCF Yield
61%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-04
$0.92
+2.6% surprise
2025-10-29
$0.85
+0.4% surprise
2025-07-30
$0.88
+3.7% surprise
2025-04-30
$1.54
+77.8% surprise

Real Estate Sector Comparison

Comparing MAA against 197 companies in the Real Estate sector (9 bullish, 41 neutral, 147 bearish)
P/E Ratio
34.41
This Stock
vs
40.06
Sector Avg
-14.1% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
7.65%
This Stock
vs
-28.9%
Sector Avg
-126.5% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
20.23%
This Stock
vs
11.67%
Sector Avg
+73.3% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.93
This Stock
vs
2.39
Sector Avg
-61.0% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
1.0%
This Stock
vs
14310.31%
Sector Avg
-100.0% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.07
This Stock
vs
8.76
Sector Avg
-99.2% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

CARPENTER MELANIE
Officer
Sell
2026-04-06
731 shares · $91,214
ARGO TIMOTHY
Officer
Sell
2026-04-06
183 shares · $22,826
HOLDER AUBREY CLAY
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2026-04-06
145 shares · $18,086
FAIRBANKS AMBER
Officer
Sell
2026-04-06
711 shares · $88,683
DELPRIORE ROBERT J
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-04-01
5,093 shares
BOLTON HAROLD ERIC JR.
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-04-01
12,231 shares
CARPENTER MELANIE
Officer
Stock Award
2026-04-01
1,439 shares
HILL ADRIAN
Chief Investment Officer
Stock Award
2026-04-01
10,907 shares
ARGO TIMOTHY
Officer
Stock Award
2026-04-01
2,637 shares
HOLDER AUBREY CLAY
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-04-01
3,643 shares
FAIRBANKS AMBER
Officer
Stock Award
2026-04-01
1,947 shares
FRACCHIA JOSEPH
Officer
Stock Award
2026-04-01
1,632 shares
CARPENTER MELANIE
Officer
Sell
2026-01-08
145 shares · $19,572
ARGO TIMOTHY
Officer
Sell
2026-01-08
53 shares · $7,154
HOLDER AUBREY CLAY
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2026-01-08
73 shares · $9,854
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-04-29

Mid-America Apartment Communities (MAA) reported its first-quarter 2026 financial results.

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-04-06

MAA filed a definitive proxy statement (DEF 14A) on April 6, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for the company's annual meeting.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-27

MAA filed an 8-K on February 27, 2026, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-27

MAA filed an 8-K on February 27, 2026, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-25

MAA announced its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results for 2025.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-13

MAA announced its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-06

MAA is an S&P 500 multifamily REIT that owned and operated 293 apartment communities across 16 states and DC as of December 31, 2025, with eight additional projects under construction. The company operates through an Operating Partnership and reports financial performance via Same Store and Non-Same Store segments. Actual results may vary due to risks and uncertainties detailed in the filing's Risk Factors section.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-04

MAA reported its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results for the 2025 fiscal year.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-28

MAA reported its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results for 2025.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-20

Mid-America Apartment Communities (MAA) likely reported its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results for 2025.

8-K
8-K
2025-12-08
8-K
8-K
2025-11-12
8-K
8-K
2025-11-10
8-K
8-K
2025-11-03
10-Q
10-Q
2025-10-30
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
24 analysts
Barclays
2026-04-27
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Wells Fargo
2026-04-23
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Evercore ISI Group
2026-04-06
Maintains
In-Line In-Line
Truist Securities
2026-03-31
Maintains
Buy Buy
Scotiabank
2026-03-23
Maintains
Sector Perform Sector Perform
Morgan Stanley
2026-03-16
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Truist Securities
2026-03-10
Maintains
Buy Buy
Barclays
2026-03-06
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Scotiabank
2026-03-04
Maintains
Sector Perform Sector Perform
BTIG
2026-03-02
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning MAA from our newsroom.

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