MCD
NEUTRAL
$307.29
Live
McDonald's Corporation · NYSE
Target $345.0
(+12.3%)
$283.47
52W Range
$341.75
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 01, 2026
Market cap
$219.28B
P/E
25.67
ROE
N/A
Profit margin
31.9%
Debt/Equity
N/A
Dividend yield
2.39%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
55%
MCD shows bullish fundamentals based on deterministic rules. Financial strength is strong (F-Score 7/9). Key strengths include strong valuation and growth metrics. Price trades at a 33.0% premium to fair value estimate ($231.02), limiting near-term upside from a valuation perspective.
Key Strengths
Strong profitability (31.9% margin)
Strong financial trend (Piotroski F-Score: 7/9)
Key Risks
Limited historical data available for full assessment
Price trades at a 33.0% premium to fair value estimate ($231.02), limiting near-term upside from a valuation perspective.
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$231.02
-24.8% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
54
Moderate
40
50
60
70
50
AI Verdict
MCD shows bullish fundamentals based on deterministic rules. Financial strength is strong (F-Score 7/9). Key strengths include strong valuation and growth metrics.
Key drivers: Strong profitability (31.9% margin), Strong financial trend (Piotroski F-Score: 7/9), Limited historical data available for full assessment
Confidence
65%
Value
40/100
Rule-based valuation (P/E + Graham).
Positives
- Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
- Price trades at a 33.0% premium to fair value estimate ($231.02), limiting near-term upside from a valuation perspective.
Future
50/100
Rule-based growth outlook.
Positives
- Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Past
60/100
Historical performance + price trend: Shares moved +50.4% over 5Y and +0.2% over 1Y.
Positives
- Healthy profit margin of 31.9%.
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Health
70/100
Balance sheet & liquidity (Z-Score: N/A).
Positives
- Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Dividend
50/100
Dividend policy fallback.
Positives
- Moderate dividend profile (Score: 50/100).
- Yield: 2.4%.
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$307.29
Analyst Target
$345.0
Upside/Downside
+12.3%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MCD and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-01
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
MCD
McDonald's Corporation
Primary
|
+50.4% | +16.7% | +0.2% | +3.4% | -7.7% | -1.4% |
|
TJX
The TJX Companies, Inc.
Peer
|
+163.2% | +113.2% | +33.1% | +12.5% | +0.9% | +1.1% |
|
TM
Toyota Motor Corporation
Peer
|
+52.0% | +55.9% | +20.2% | +9.3% | -13.9% | -0.6% |
|
PDD
PDD Holdings Inc.
Peer
|
-21.9% | +50.4% | +12.3% | -18.6% | -0.6% | +3.1% |
|
BKNG
Booking Holdings Inc.
Peer
|
+80.5% | +68.3% | -8.6% | -15.2% | +9.2% | -7.6% |
MCD
McDonald's Corporation
Primary
5Y
+50.4%
3Y
+16.7%
1Y
+0.2%
6M
+3.4%
1M
-7.7%
1W
-1.4%
TJX
The TJX Companies, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+163.2%
3Y
+113.2%
1Y
+33.1%
6M
+12.5%
1M
+0.9%
1W
+1.1%
TM
Toyota Motor Corporation
Peer
5Y
+52.0%
3Y
+55.9%
1Y
+20.2%
6M
+9.3%
1M
-13.9%
1W
-0.6%
PDD
PDD Holdings Inc.
Peer
5Y
-21.9%
3Y
+50.4%
1Y
+12.3%
6M
-18.6%
1M
-0.6%
1W
+3.1%
BKN
Booking Holdings Inc.
Peer
5Y
+80.5%
3Y
+68.3%
1Y
-8.6%
6M
-15.2%
1M
+9.2%
1W
-7.6%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
25.67
Forward P/E
21.39
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
-121.99
P/S Ratio
8.16
EV/Revenue
10.22
EV/EBITDA
18.83
Market Cap
$219.28B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
31.85%
Operating Margin
45.07%
Gross Margin
57.41%
ROE
N/A
ROA
13.51%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+9.7%
Earnings Growth
+8.2%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+7.3%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
N/A
Current Ratio
0.95
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.74
Poor
Cash/Share
$1.09
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-04-30
$N/A
2026-02-11
$3.12
+2.2% surprise
2025-11-05
$3.22
-3.4% surprise
2025-08-06
$3.19
+1.4% surprise
Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison
Comparing MCD against 386 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector
(23 bullish, 133 neutral, 230 bearish)
P/E Ratio
25.67
This Stock
vs
33.98
Sector Avg
-24.5%
(Discount)
Profit Margin
31.85%
This Stock
vs
-5.4%
Sector Avg
-690.4%
(Weaker)
Revenue Growth
9.7%
This Stock
vs
28.42%
Sector Avg
-65.9%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.95
This Stock
vs
2.46
Sector Avg
-61.1%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
MCD
McDonald's Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $219.28B | 25.67 | -% | 31.9% | $307.29 | |
|
TJX
The TJX Companies, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $179.69B | 33.15 | 59.1% | 9.1% | $161.46 | Compare |
|
TM
Toyota Motor Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $273.37B | 11.84 | 10.0% | 7.3% | $209.75 | Compare |
|
PDD
PDD Holdings Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $147.23B | 10.55 | 27.3% | 23.0% | $103.71 | Compare |
|
BKNG
Booking Holdings Inc.
|
BULLISH | $138.14B | 26.82 | -% | 20.1% | $177.52 | Compare |
MCD
McDonald's Corporation
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$219.3B
P/E
25.7
ROE
-%
Price
$307.29
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-23 | ERLINGER JOSEPH M | Officer | Sale | 333 | $104,386 |
| 2026-03-18 | BARONI DARIO | Officer | Sale | 600 | $194,262 |
| 2026-03-10 | ERLINGER JOSEPH M | Officer | Sale | 2,626 | $862,221 |
| 2026-03-10 | ERLINGER JOSEPH M | Officer | Option Exercise | 2,626 | $414,357 |
| 2026-02-23 | BANNER JONATHAN | Officer | Sale | 6,200 | $2,066,596 |
| 2026-02-23 | ERLINGER JOSEPH M | Officer | Sale | 333 | $110,033 |
| 2026-02-23 | BANNER JONATHAN | Officer | Option Exercise | 4,600 | $1,224,520 |
| 2026-02-13 | KEMPCZINSKI CHRISTOPHER J | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 52,553 | $17,470,981 |
| 2026-02-13 | ERLINGER JOSEPH M | Officer | Stock Award | 5,980 | - |
| 2026-02-13 | RALLS-MORRISON DESIREE ANN | Officer | Stock Award | 4,146 | - |
| 2026-02-13 | BORDEN IAN FREDERICK | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 6,379 | - |
| 2026-02-13 | KEMPCZINSKI CHRISTOPHER J | Chief Executive Officer | Option Exercise | 73,281 | $6,731,514 |
| 2026-02-13 | BANNER JONATHAN | Officer | Stock Award | 7,495 | - |
| 2026-02-13 | MC-DONALD GILLIAN CLARE | Officer | Stock Award | 6,778 | - |
| 2026-02-13 | FLATLEY EDITH MORGAN | Officer | Option Exercise | 6,686 | $740,351 |
ERLINGER JOSEPH M
Officer
2026-03-23
333 shares
·
$104,386
BARONI DARIO
Officer
2026-03-18
600 shares
·
$194,262
ERLINGER JOSEPH M
Officer
2026-03-10
2,626 shares
·
$862,221
ERLINGER JOSEPH M
Officer
2026-03-10
2,626 shares
·
$414,357
BANNER JONATHAN
Officer
2026-02-23
6,200 shares
·
$2,066,596
ERLINGER JOSEPH M
Officer
2026-02-23
333 shares
·
$110,033
BANNER JONATHAN
Officer
2026-02-23
4,600 shares
·
$1,224,520
KEMPCZINSKI CHRISTOPHER J
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-13
52,553 shares
·
$17,470,981
ERLINGER JOSEPH M
Officer
2026-02-13
5,980 shares
RALLS-MORRISON DESIREE ANN
Officer
2026-02-13
4,146 shares
BORDEN IAN FREDERICK
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-13
6,379 shares
KEMPCZINSKI CHRISTOPHER J
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-13
73,281 shares
·
$6,731,514
BANNER JONATHAN
Officer
2026-02-13
7,495 shares
MC-DONALD GILLIAN CLARE
Officer
2026-02-13
6,778 shares
FLATLEY EDITH MORGAN
Officer
2026-02-13
6,686 shares
·
$740,351
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
33 analysts
Tigress Financial
2026-03-06
Buy
Buy
Keybanc
2026-03-03
Overweight
Overweight
JP Morgan
2026-02-24
Overweight
Overweight
Argus Research
2026-02-13
Hold
Buy
Guggenheim
2026-02-13
Neutral
Neutral
Jefferies
2026-02-12
Buy
Buy
Citigroup
2026-02-12
Buy
Buy
UBS
2026-02-12
Buy
Buy
RBC Capital
2026-02-12
Sector Perform
Sector Perform
Piper Sandler
2026-02-12
Neutral
Neutral
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning MCD from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.