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MCK

BULLISH
$842.09 Live
McKesson Corporation · NYSE
Target $929.36 (+10.4%)
$558.13 52W Range $867.63

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Nov 16, 2025
Market cap
$104.45B
P/E
26.32
ROE
N/A
Profit margin
1.0%
Debt/Equity
N/A
Dividend yield
0.39%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
88%
McKesson Corporation (MCK) presents a compelling investment case supported by robust earnings acceleration, consistent top-line growth, and strong analyst conviction, despite operating in a low-margin, capital-intensive distribution model. The stock has delivered exceptional long-term returns with a 373% five-year gain, underpinned by disciplined execution and favorable healthcare logistics tailwinds. While valuation appears stretched on P/E and the balance sheet lacks transparency, MCK trades at a significant discount to peers on price-to-sales and exhibits superior earnings momentum, with YoY EPS growth nearing 40%. Notably, insider selling raises caution, but the broader fundamental trajectory and sector positioning support continued outperformance.

Key Strengths

Exceptional earnings growth: 377% YoY and 360.6% QoQ earnings growth reflect strong operational leverage and cost discipline.
Consistent earnings beat record: 22 out of 25 quarters beat estimates, with 10+ consecutive beats and an average surprise of +8.9% over the last five quarters.
Attractive valuation relative to sector: P/S of 0.27 is dramatically below sector average of 1.0+ and peer group, suggesting significant undervaluation on revenue basis.
Strong analyst price target: $929.36 implies 10.4% upside, supported by 14 analysts maintaining a 'buy' consensus.
Superior long-term price performance: +373% 5Y return outpaces all listed peers, including high-growth medtech and pharma names.

Key Risks

Extremely low profitability: 1.04% net margin and 1.37% operating margin reflect razor-thin returns typical of distribution, limiting downside protection.
Severe financial opacity: Missing key metrics (EV, debt, cash, shares outstanding) raises transparency concerns and impedes accurate credit and valuation analysis.
Negative Price/Book ratio (-60.05): Suggests accumulated losses or negative equity, a serious red flag for financial stability and accounting integrity.
Poor liquidity profile: Current ratio of 0.88 and quick ratio of 0.47 indicate potential working capital strain, common in inventory-heavy distributors.
Aggressive insider selling: $49.87M in sales over 6 months, including CEO transactions, signals lack of confidence at the top despite strong results.
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$929.36
+10.4% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
75
Strong
Value
78
Future
92
Past
86
Health
52
Dividend
68
AI Verdict
McKesson earns a strong overall score due to exceptional earnings momentum, sector-leading revenue growth, and compelling relative valuation on P/S, offset by weak margins, financial opacity, and bearish insider activity. The stock trades below its 52-week high with strong analyst upside, positioning it for further gains if execution continues and balance sheet clarity improves.
Key drivers: Explosive earnings growth and consistency, Deep valuation discount on revenue basis vs peers, Analyst confidence and price target upside
Confidence
88%
Value
78/100

MCK is dramatically cheaper than peers on price-to-sales and forward P/E, even though it grows earnings faster than BMY, CI, SYK, and PFE, making it an outlier value opportunity in healthcare.

Positives
  • P/S of 0.27 is among the lowest in healthcare, offering significant margin of safety on revenue
  • Forward P/E of 22.88 is below sector average of 38.95 despite superior earnings growth
Watchpoints
  • Negative P/B of -60.05 indicates severe balance sheet deterioration or accounting issues
  • Lack of EV/EBITDA and debt data prevents accurate enterprise valuation
Future
92/100

With EPS growing nearly 40% YoY and price momentum strong across 1Y (+38.6%) and 3Y (+141.7%) horizons, MCK’s future trajectory is among the most favorable in the sector, supported by structural demand for pharmaceutical distribution.

Positives
  • 377% YoY and 360.6% QoQ earnings growth signal accelerating profitability
  • Revenue growth of 10.1% aligns with sector average and exceeds large-cap pharma peers like Pfizer
Watchpoints
  • Sustainability of triple-digit earnings growth is questionable given base effects and low margins
  • Distribution margins may compress under pricing pressure from payers and providers
Past
86/100

McKesson has delivered one of the most consistent earnings beat streaks in healthcare, combined with top-tier stock performance over 5Y and 3Y, validating long-term execution despite operating in a low-margin industry.

Positives
  • 22 out of 25 quarters beat EPS estimates, including 10 consecutive beats from 2023–2024
  • 5-year share price return of +373% demonstrates exceptional compounding and investor confidence
Watchpoints
  • Profit margins have remained stubbornly below 1.5%, indicating limited pricing power
  • One-sided earnings surprises pre-2023 suggest possible conservative guidance
Health
52/100

MCK’s financial health is concerning due to poor liquidity and lack of transparency, especially compared to peers like CI and PFE with clearer capital structures and stronger balance sheets.

Positives
  • ROA of 4.78% exceeds sector average for capital-intensive distributors and is stable
  • No reported cash burn or liquidity crisis despite low current and quick ratios
Watchpoints
  • Current ratio of 0.88 and quick ratio of 0.47 indicate tight liquidity and high reliance on receivables
  • Missing debt, equity, and cash data prevents accurate solvency assessment
Dividend
68/100

While the dividend is well-covered and poses no risk to capital allocation, the ultra-low yield limits appeal to income-focused investors, especially compared to higher-yielding peers like BMY and PFE.

Positives
  • Low payout ratio of 9.22% ensures high sustainability and room for future increases
  • Annual dividend of $3.28 provides income with minimal impact on cash flow
Watchpoints
  • Dividend yield of 0.39% is negligible for income investors
  • No 5-year yield history or growth trend data available

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$842.09
Analyst Target
$929.36
Upside/Downside
+10.4%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MCK and closest competitors.

Updated 2025-11-14
MCK
McKesson Corporation
Primary
5Y
+373.0%
3Y
+141.7%
1Y
+38.6%
6M
+16.5%
1M
+6.3%
1W
-1.2%
HCA
HCA Healthcare, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+225.1%
3Y
+111.6%
1Y
+37.9%
6M
+22.4%
1M
+12.5%
1W
-0.8%
GSK
GSK plc
Peer
5Y
+77.5%
3Y
+69.5%
1Y
+48.1%
6M
+25.9%
1M
+0.7%
1W
-5.5%
BMY
Bristol-Myers Squibb Company
Peer
5Y
+2.8%
3Y
-13.4%
1Y
-2.9%
6M
+15.8%
1M
+1.1%
1W
-1.1%
VRT
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated
Peer
5Y
+109.6%
3Y
+41.7%
1Y
-7.9%
6M
+14.0%
1M
-8.1%
1W
-0.5%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
26.32
Forward P/E
22.88
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
-60.05
P/S Ratio
0.27
EV/Revenue
0.29
EV/EBITDA
17.07
Market Cap
$104.45B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 1.04%
Operating Margin 1.37%
Gross Margin 3.44%
ROE N/A
ROA 4.78%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +10.1%
Earnings Growth +377.0%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +360.6%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
N/A
Current Ratio
0.88
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.47
Poor
Cash/Share
$32.44

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-04
$N/A
2025-11-05
$9.86
+8.9% surprise
2025-08-06
$8.26
+1.4% surprise
2025-05-08
$10.12
+3.0% surprise

Healthcare Sector Comparison

Comparing MCK against 560 companies in the Healthcare sector (34 bullish, 167 neutral, 359 bearish)
P/E Ratio
26.32
This Stock
vs
75.44
Sector Avg
-65.1% (Discount)
Profit Margin
1.04%
This Stock
vs
-16.28%
Sector Avg
-106.4% (Weaker)
Revenue Growth
10.1%
This Stock
vs
124.04%
Sector Avg
-91.9% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.88
This Stock
vs
4.47
Sector Avg
-80.3% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

RUTLEDGE NAPOLEON B JR
Officer
Sell
2025-11-07
329 shares · $283,476
TYLER BRIAN SCOTT
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2025-08-22
11,930 shares · $8,418,166
TYLER BRIAN SCOTT
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2025-08-15
11,930 shares · $8,085,677
RUTLEDGE NAPOLEON B JR
Officer
Sell
2025-08-08
329 shares · $218,347
LERMAN BRADLEY E
Director
Stock Award
2025-07-30
301 shares
MARTINEZ MARIA N.
Director
Stock Award
2025-07-30
301 shares
CARUSO DOMINIC J
Director
Stock Award
2025-07-30
301 shares
WILSON - THOMPSON KATHLEEN
Director
Stock Award
2025-07-30
301 shares
TYLER BRIAN SCOTT
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2025-07-11
19,371 shares · $13,716,411
TYLER BRIAN SCOTT
Chief Executive Officer
Gift
2025-06-10
4,000 shares
TYLER BRIAN SCOTT
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2025-06-06
19,370 shares · $13,673,864
RODGERS THOMAS L
Officer
Sell
2025-05-30
2,891 shares · $2,058,912
VITALONE BRITT J
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2025-05-28
1,878 shares · $1,348,235
RODGERS THOMAS L
Officer
Sell
2025-05-28
510 shares · $366,134
RUTLEDGE NAPOLEON B JR
Officer
Sell
2025-05-28
95 shares · $68,201
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
14 analysts
Wells Fargo
2025-11-10
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
UBS
2025-11-06
Maintains
Buy Buy
Baird
2025-11-06
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Morgan Stanley
2025-11-06
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
UBS
2025-10-27
Maintains
Buy Buy
Jefferies
2025-10-14
Maintains
Buy Buy
JP Morgan
2025-09-26
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Evercore ISI Group
2025-09-24
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
TD Cowen
2025-09-24
Maintains
Buy Buy
Citigroup
2025-09-24
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning MCK from our newsroom.

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