MDA
BEARISH
$29.1
Live
MDA Space Ltd. · NYSE
Target $36.65
(+25.9%)
$23.23
52W Range
$37.45
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 30, 2026
Market cap
$4.01B
P/E
46.94
ROE
N/A
Profit margin
2.2%
Debt/Equity
N/A
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
MDA exhibits severe fundamental weakness, highlighted by a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, indicating poor financial health and operational efficiency. The stock is trading at a significant premium, with a current price of $29.10 far exceeding both the Graham Number ($10.37) and the growth-based Intrinsic Value ($5.64). While recent Q/Q revenue growth of 44% shows short-term momentum, the stagnant YoY revenue growth (0.20%) and thin profit margins (2.24%) fail to justify the high P/E ratio of 46.94. The combination of a bearish technical trend and poor deterministic scores suggests a high risk of price correction.
Key Strengths
Strong Q/Q revenue growth of 44.00%
Forward P/E (24.58) is significantly lower than trailing P/E, suggesting expected earnings improvement
Positive analyst target price of $36.65
Operating margin (12.23%) is healthier than the net profit margin
Market capitalization of $4.01B provides some scale in the Aerospace & Defense sector
Key Risks
Critical financial health failure indicated by Piotroski F-Score of 2/9
Extreme overvaluation relative to Graham Number ($10.37) and Intrinsic Value ($5.64)
Stagnant YoY revenue growth (0.20%) and earnings growth (1.40%)
Very thin net profit margins (2.24%) leaving little room for error
Bearish technical trend (0/100) and recent 16% weekly price drop
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$11.5
-60.5% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
24
Weak
20
55
30
15
0
AI Verdict
Underperform
Key drivers: Poor Piotroski F-Score, Severe valuation gap, Stagnant YoY growth, Low profitability
Confidence
90%
Value
20/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Forward P/E is compressing
Watchpoints
- Price is ~2.8x the Graham Number
- Price is ~5x the Intrinsic Value
- High trailing P/E of 46.94
Future
55/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Strong Q/Q revenue spike (44%)
- Bullish analyst price targets
Watchpoints
- YoY growth is nearly flat (0.20%)
- Earnings growth is negligible (1.40%)
Past
30/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Recent 1-month price surge of 23.2%
Watchpoints
- Negative 1Y, 3Y, and 5Y returns (-5.5%)
- Failure to beat earnings estimates in the last available quarter
Health
15/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates weak financial health
- Lack of available debt/equity and liquidity ratios
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend yield
- 0% payout ratio
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$29.1
Analyst Target
$36.65
Upside/Downside
+25.9%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MDA and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-29
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
MDA
MDA Space Ltd.
Primary
|
-5.5% | -5.5% | -5.5% | -5.5% | +23.2% | -16.0% |
|
BRC
Brady Corporation
Peer
|
+85.6% | +73.0% | +12.9% | +21.1% | +5.5% | -0.1% |
|
WSC
WillScot Holdings Corporation
Peer
|
-24.3% | -47.7% | -2.5% | +2.4% | +23.1% | +18.6% |
|
CAAP
Corporación América Airports S.A.
Peer
|
+380.8% | +127.3% | +30.5% | +35.6% | -3.7% | -4.8% |
|
LUNR
Intuitive Machines, Inc.
Peer
|
+152.9% | +141.0% | +215.8% | +99.3% | +38.7% | +6.5% |
MDA
MDA Space Ltd.
Primary
5Y
-5.5%
3Y
-5.5%
1Y
-5.5%
6M
-5.5%
1M
+23.2%
1W
-16.0%
BRC
Brady Corporation
Peer
5Y
+85.6%
3Y
+73.0%
1Y
+12.9%
6M
+21.1%
1M
+5.5%
1W
-0.1%
WSC
WillScot Holdings Corporation
Peer
5Y
-24.3%
3Y
-47.7%
1Y
-2.5%
6M
+2.4%
1M
+23.1%
1W
+18.6%
CAA
Corporación América Airports S.A.
Peer
5Y
+380.8%
3Y
+127.3%
1Y
+30.5%
6M
+35.6%
1M
-3.7%
1W
-4.8%
LUN
Intuitive Machines, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+152.9%
3Y
+141.0%
1Y
+215.8%
6M
+99.3%
1M
+38.7%
1W
+6.5%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
46.94
Forward P/E
24.58
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
3.77
P/S Ratio
1.91
EV/Revenue
N/A
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$4.01B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
2.24%
Operating Margin
12.23%
Gross Margin
100.0%
ROE
N/A
ROA
N/A
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+0.2%
Earnings Growth
+1.4%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+44.0%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+2.0%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
N/A
Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Cash/Share
$N/A
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$0.5B
Gross Margin
25.5%
Op. Margin
9.2%
Net Margin
4.8%
Total Assets
$3.4B
Liabilities
$2.0B
Equity
$1.4B
Debt/Equity
1.48x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
-36%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-07
$N/A
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing MDA against 510 companies in the Industrials sector
(42 bullish, 192 neutral, 276 bearish)
P/E Ratio
46.94
This Stock
vs
93.51
Sector Avg
-49.8%
(Discount)
Profit Margin
2.24%
This Stock
vs
6.44%
Sector Avg
-65.2%
(Weaker)
Revenue Growth
0.2%
This Stock
vs
66.53%
Sector Avg
-99.7%
(Slower)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
MDA
MDA Space Ltd.
|
BEARISH | $4.01B | 46.94 | -% | 2.2% | $29.1 | |
|
BRC
Brady Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $3.98B | 20.87 | 16.7% | 12.7% | $84.3 | Compare |
|
WSC
WillScot Holdings Corporation
|
BEARISH | $4.07B | - | -5.7% | -2.3% | $22.49 | Compare |
|
CAAP
Corporación América Airports S.A.
|
BULLISH | $4.08B | 16.45 | 16.2% | 12.6% | $25.0 | Compare |
|
LUNR
Intuitive Machines, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $3.89B | - | -102.9% | -39.7% | $24.41 | Compare |
MDA
MDA Space Ltd.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$4.0B
P/E
46.9
ROE
-%
Price
$29.1
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | Guillaume (Lavoie) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Purchase | 12 | $374 |
| 2026-03-31 | Guillaume (Lavoie) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Purchase | 16 | $376 |
| 2026-03-25 | Greenley (Michael Philip James) | Director of Issuer | Purchase | 19,443 | $555,000 |
| 2026-03-25 | Greenley (Michael Philip James) | Director of Issuer | Purchase | 124,177 | $3,544,632 |
| 2026-03-25 | Greenley (Michael Philip James) | Director of Issuer | Purchase | 20,696 | $590,767 |
| 2026-03-25 | Guillaume (Lavoie) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Purchase | 5,327 | $152,059 |
| 2026-03-25 | Johnson (Holly Lynn) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Purchase | 30,183 | $861,573 |
| 2026-03-25 | Johnson (Holly Lynn) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Purchase | 5,031 | $143,609 |
| 2026-03-25 | Johnson (Holly Lynn) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Purchase | 1,993 | $56,890 |
| 2026-03-25 | McDonald (Stephanie M) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Purchase | 13,808 | $394,149 |
| 2026-03-25 | McDonald (Stephanie M) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Purchase | 2,301 | $65,682 |
| 2026-03-25 | McDonald (Stephanie M) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Purchase | 2,983 | $85,149 |
| 2026-03-25 | Pozzebon (Luigi) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Purchase | 30,056 | $857,948 |
| 2026-03-25 | Pozzebon (Luigi) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Purchase | 5,010 | $143,010 |
| 2026-03-25 | Pozzebon (Luigi) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Purchase | 1,984 | $56,633 |
Guillaume (Lavoie)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-04-14
12 shares
·
$374
Guillaume (Lavoie)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-31
16 shares
·
$376
Greenley (Michael Philip James)
Director of Issuer
2026-03-25
19,443 shares
·
$555,000
Greenley (Michael Philip James)
Director of Issuer
2026-03-25
124,177 shares
·
$3,544,632
Greenley (Michael Philip James)
Director of Issuer
2026-03-25
20,696 shares
·
$590,767
Guillaume (Lavoie)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-25
5,327 shares
·
$152,059
Johnson (Holly Lynn)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-25
30,183 shares
·
$861,573
Johnson (Holly Lynn)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-25
5,031 shares
·
$143,609
Johnson (Holly Lynn)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-25
1,993 shares
·
$56,890
McDonald (Stephanie M)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-25
13,808 shares
·
$394,149
McDonald (Stephanie M)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-25
2,301 shares
·
$65,682
McDonald (Stephanie M)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-25
2,983 shares
·
$85,149
Pozzebon (Luigi)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-25
30,056 shares
·
$857,948
Pozzebon (Luigi)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-25
5,010 shares
·
$143,010
Pozzebon (Luigi)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-25
1,984 shares
·
$56,633
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
NONE
3 analysts
Jefferies
2026-04-06
Buy
JP Morgan
2026-04-06
Overweight
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning MDA from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.