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MOD

NEUTRAL
$233.39 Live
Modine Manufacturing Company · NYSE
Target $265.57 (+13.8%)
$84.2 52W Range $260.01
Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 30, 2026
Market cap
$12.31B
P/E
128.24
ROE
10.0%
Profit margin
3.4%
Debt/Equity
0.67
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
Modine Manufacturing exhibits a dichotomy between explosive growth and extreme valuation. While the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable financial health and revenue growth is impressive at 30.5%, the stock trades at a massive premium to its Graham Number ($29.5) and Intrinsic Value ($12.74). The valuation is currently supported by a PEG ratio of 0.97 and consistent earnings beats, but heavy insider selling and a bearish technical trend suggest the stock may be overextended.

Key Strengths

Exceptional revenue growth of 30.5% YoY
Strong earnings track record with consistent beats over 25 quarters
Healthy liquidity with a Current Ratio of 2.19
Manageable leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.67
Attractive PEG ratio (0.97) suggesting growth justifies a portion of the premium

Key Risks

Extreme valuation gap: Current price is ~7.9x the Graham Number
Bearish insider sentiment with significant selling by CEO and CFO
Very high trailing P/E ratio of 128.24
Technical trend is heavily bearish (10/100)
Low profit margin (3.40%) leaves little room for operational error
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$165.5
-29.1% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
51
Moderate
Value
15
Future
88
Past
95
Health
55
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Speculative Growth
Key drivers: High Revenue Growth, Extreme Valuation Premium, Insider Divestment, Consistent Earnings Surprises
Confidence
90%
Value
15/100

Trades at a severe premium to defensive fair value ($29.5) and growth-based intrinsic value ($12.74).

Positives
  • PEG ratio under 1.0
Watchpoints
  • P/E of 128.24
  • Price/Book of 10.99
  • Massive deviation from Graham Number
Future
88/100

Growth metrics are the primary driver of the current stock price.

Positives
  • 30.5% YoY Revenue Growth
  • Strong Forward P/E compression (31.64 vs 128.24)
  • Consistent EPS growth
Watchpoints
  • Cyclical industry risks
Past
95/100

Exceptional historical price performance and earnings reliability.

Positives
  • 5Y Change of +1333.6%
  • Consistent history of beating analyst estimates
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Health
55/100

Balance sheet is healthy, but the F-Score suggests room for improvement in operational efficiency.

Positives
  • Current Ratio 2.19
  • Debt/Equity 0.67
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 (Stable but not Strong)
Dividend
0/100

Company reinvests all capital into growth.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend yield
  • 0/100 Dividend Strength

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$233.39
Analyst Target
$265.57
Upside/Downside
+13.8%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MOD and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-29
MOD
Modine Manufacturing Company
Primary
5Y
+1333.6%
3Y
+1005.1%
1Y
+185.3%
6M
+50.3%
1M
+15.4%
1W
-7.8%
HAS
Hasbro, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+15.3%
3Y
+99.7%
1Y
+86.3%
6M
+31.4%
1M
-2.7%
1W
+1.7%
GME
GameStop Corp.
Peer
5Y
-43.1%
3Y
+31.7%
1Y
-7.9%
6M
+8.0%
1M
+15.0%
1W
+2.0%
CCK
Crown Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-2.5%
3Y
+20.9%
1Y
+12.8%
6M
+3.1%
1M
+2.0%
1W
-3.2%
BBY
Best Buy Co., Inc.
Peer
5Y
-30.6%
3Y
-5.2%
1Y
-8.7%
6M
-14.5%
1M
+5.9%
1W
+6.4%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
128.24
Forward P/E
31.64
PEG Ratio
0.97
P/B Ratio
10.99
P/S Ratio
4.28
EV/Revenue
4.51
EV/EBITDA
30.91
Market Cap
$12.31B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 3.4%
Operating Margin 11.91%
Gross Margin 23.85%
ROE 10.02%
ROA 9.89%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +30.5%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +30.51%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.67
Moderate
Current Ratio
2.19
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.16
Good
Cash/Share
$1.87

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.8B
Gross Margin
23.1%
Op. Margin
12.0%
Net Margin
-5.9%
Total Assets
$2.5B
Liabilities
$1.4B
Equity
$1.1B
Debt/Equity
1.21x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
-69%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-19
$N/A
2026-02-04
$1.19
+19.7% surprise
2025-10-28
$1.06
+5.0% surprise
2025-07-30
$1.06
+14.8% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing MOD against 432 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (26 bullish, 157 neutral, 249 bearish)
P/E Ratio
128.24
This Stock
vs
32.3
Sector Avg
+297.0% (Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
10.02%
This Stock
vs
-49.64%
Sector Avg
-120.2% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
3.4%
This Stock
vs
-5.61%
Sector Avg
-160.6% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.67
This Stock
vs
1.61
Sector Avg
-58.6% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
30.5%
This Stock
vs
26.41%
Sector Avg
+15.5% (Growing)
Current Ratio
2.19
This Stock
vs
2.5
Sector Avg
-12.7% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

MOD Modine...
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$12.3B
P/E
128.2
ROE
10.0%
Price
$233.39
HAS Hasbro, Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$12.9B
P/E
-
ROE
-36.4%
Price
$91.73
 Compare with MOD
GME GameStop Corp.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$11.4B
P/E
33.0
ROE
8.1%
Price
$25.41
 Compare with MOD
CCK Crown Holdings, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$11.2B
P/E
15.9
ROE
26.2%
Price
$100.17
 Compare with MOD
BBY Best Buy Co., Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$13.5B
P/E
12.8
ROE
37.0%
Price
$64.27
 Compare with MOD

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

PATTEN JEREMY MICHAEL
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-24
1,094 shares
WILLIAMS MARSHA C
Director
Sell
2026-02-24
12,000 shares · $2,816,520
LUCARELI MICHAEL B
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2026-02-17
19,595 shares · $4,293,671
LUCARELI MICHAEL B
Chief Financial Officer
Option Exercise
2026-02-17
19,595 shares · $129,719
GARIMELLA SURESHV
Director
Sell
2026-02-02
1,100 shares · $202,477
GARIMELLA SURESHV
Director
Sell
2026-01-22
1,100 shares · $165,000
MCGINNIS ERIC S
Officer
Option Exercise
2026-01-05
25,383 shares · $315,491
BRINKER NEIL DAVID
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2025-12-02
31,871 shares · $5,117,337
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-02-17

MOD likely filed this 8-K to report its fourth quarter and full-year financial results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.

10-Q
10-Q
2026-02-05

MOD filed its 10-Q on February 5, 2026. Due to the limited content provided in the excerpts, specific financial highlights and risk factors are unavailable.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-04

ModivCare Inc. filed an 8-K on February 4, 2026, likely to report its fourth quarter and full-year 2025 financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-29

ModivCare Inc. likely filed this 8-K to announce its fourth quarter and full-year financial results for the 2025 fiscal year.

8-K
8-K
2025-12-29

ModivCare Inc. filed an 8-K on December 29, 2025, likely reporting year-end financial results or a material corporate update.

8-K
8-K
2025-12-09
8-K
8-K
2025-11-14
10-Q
10-Q
2025-10-29

MOD filed its SEC 10-Q quarterly report on October 29, 2025. Due to the absence of provided excerpts, specific financial highlights and risk factors are unavailable for analysis.

8-K/A
8-K/A
2025-10-29

MOD filed an amendment to a previously submitted Form 8-K on October 29, 2025.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-28

ModivCare Inc. reported its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-08-22
10-Q
10-Q
2025-07-31
8-K
8-K
2025-07-30
8-K
8-K
2025-07-21
8-K
8-K
2025-07-16
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
7 analysts
DA Davidson
2026-03-31
Maintains
Buy Buy
GLJ Research
2026-03-30
init
Buy
Roth Capital
2026-02-18
init
Buy
DA Davidson
2026-02-09
Maintains
Buy Buy
Oppenheimer
2026-02-06
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
DA Davidson
2026-02-03
Maintains
Buy Buy
DA Davidson
2026-01-30
Maintains
Buy Buy
Oppenheimer
2026-01-30
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
DA Davidson
2026-01-29
Maintains
Buy Buy
UBS
2025-11-20
init
Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning MOD from our newsroom.

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