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MOG-A

NEUTRAL
$302.02 Live
Moog Inc. · NYSE
Target $328.25 (+8.7%)
$167.26 52W Range $354.2

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 30, 2026
Market cap
$9.57B
P/E
34.13
ROE
14.4%
Profit margin
6.8%
Debt/Equity
0.69
Dividend yield
0.4%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
Moog Inc. presents a dichotomy between exceptional growth performance and stretched valuation. While the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable but not strong financial health, the company is delivering powerful earnings growth (49.10% YoY) and consistent EPS beats. However, the current price of $302.02 trades at a significant premium to both the Graham Number ($113.82) and the Intrinsic Value ($261.07). Bearish technical trends and insider selling suggest a potential short-term cooling period despite strong analyst buy recommendations.

Key Strengths

Exceptional earnings growth (49.10% YoY)
Consistent track record of beating earnings estimates (3/4 last 4 quarters)
Strong long-term price performance (+265.1% over 5 years)
Manageable leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.69
Healthy liquidity with a Current Ratio of 1.68

Key Risks

Significant valuation premium over intrinsic and defensive fair values
Bearish technical trend (0/100 score)
Negative insider sentiment with recent selling activity
High P/E ratio (34.13) compared to historical norms
Low dividend yield (0.40%) providing little downside protection
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$278.5
-7.8% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
60
Strong
Value
40
Future
88
Past
82
Health
55
Dividend
35
AI Verdict
Growth-driven premium
Key drivers: Earnings acceleration, Valuation stretch, Technical weakness
Confidence
80%
Value
40/100

P/E of 34.13 and PEG of 1.49 indicate the stock is priced for perfection.

Positives
  • Forward P/E (26.00) is lower than trailing P/E
Watchpoints
  • Price is 165% above Graham Number
  • Price is 15% above Intrinsic Value
Future
88/100

Growth metrics are the primary driver of the current valuation.

Positives
  • Strong YoY revenue growth (12.60%)
  • Massive earnings growth (49.10%)
  • Analyst target price ($328.25) suggests further upside
Watchpoints
  • Dependence on Aerospace & Defense sector cycles
Past
82/100

Historical price action and earnings delivery are highly positive.

Positives
  • Strong 1Y return (+82.7%)
  • Consistent EPS surprise history over 25 quarters
Watchpoints
  • Recent technical trend has turned bearish
Health
55/100

Financial health is stable but lacks the 'strong' markers required for a high score.

Positives
  • Debt/Equity (0.69) is well below sector average (2.79)
  • Current ratio (1.68) indicates good short-term solvency
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is only mediocre/stable
Dividend
35/100

Dividend is a token gesture rather than a primary investment driver.

Positives
  • Very low payout ratio (13.22%) suggests room for growth
Watchpoints
  • Negligible yield (0.40%)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$302.02
Analyst Target
$328.25
Upside/Downside
+8.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MOG-A and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-29
MOG
Moog Inc.
Primary
5Y
+265.1%
3Y
+232.9%
1Y
+82.7%
6M
+44.0%
1M
+6.4%
1W
+1.5%
CNM
Core & Main, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+147.5%
3Y
+95.7%
1Y
-5.5%
6M
-9.4%
1M
-2.1%
1W
-2.5%
KRM
Karman Holdings Inc.
Peer
5Y
+133.9%
3Y
+133.9%
1Y
+97.9%
6M
-17.6%
1M
-6.0%
1W
-14.3%
MOG
Moog Inc.
Peer
5Y
+285.5%
3Y
+252.2%
1Y
+86.3%
6M
+50.5%
1M
+2.2%
1W
+1.9%
GTL
Chart Industries, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+27.6%
3Y
+56.0%
1Y
+53.7%
6M
+4.0%
1M
+0.4%
1W
-0.3%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
34.13
Forward P/E
26.0
PEG Ratio
1.49
P/B Ratio
4.64
P/S Ratio
2.29
EV/Revenue
2.57
EV/EBITDA
18.9
Market Cap
$9.57B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 6.8%
Operating Margin 11.73%
Gross Margin 27.27%
ROE 14.4%
ROA 6.2%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +12.6%
Earnings Growth +49.1%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +12.63%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +49.9%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.69
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.68
Good
Quick Ratio
1.05
Good
Cash/Share
$9.71

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q1 2026

Revenue
$1.1B
Gross Margin
27.3%
Op. Margin
11.8%
Net Margin
7.8%
Total Assets
$4.9B
Liabilities
$2.8B
Equity
$2.1B
Debt/Equity
1.33x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
75%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-07-24
$N/A
2026-04-24
$2.64
+11.7% surprise
2026-01-30
$2.63
+18.9% surprise
2025-11-21
$2.56
+15.4% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing MOG-A against 514 companies in the Industrials sector (42 bullish, 195 neutral, 277 bearish)
P/E Ratio
34.13
This Stock
vs
93.12
Sector Avg
-63.4% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
14.4%
This Stock
vs
0.92%
Sector Avg
+1471.2% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
6.8%
This Stock
vs
6.42%
Sector Avg
+5.9% (Better)
Debt to Equity
0.69
This Stock
vs
2.75
Sector Avg
-74.8% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
12.6%
This Stock
vs
66.24%
Sector Avg
-81.0% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.68
This Stock
vs
3.02
Sector Avg
-44.4% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

FISHBACK DONALD R
Director
Gift
2026-04-17
6,400 shares
FISHBACK DONALD R
Director
Gift
2026-04-16
2,499 shares
FISHBACK DONALD R
Director
Gift
2026-02-06
490 shares
FISHBACK DONALD R
Director
Gift
2026-02-02
360 shares
FISHBACK DONALD R
Director
Gift
2025-12-05
8,754 shares
SCANNELL JOHN R
Director
Sell
2025-12-03
9,000 shares · $2,085,572
FISHBACK DONALD R
Director
Gift
2025-11-26
1,260 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning MOG-A from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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