MOH Molina Healthcare, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
MOH Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
•
Healthcare
•
Healthcare Plans
Current Price
$178.46
Analyst Target
$176.62
-1.0% Downside
52W High
$359.97
52W Low
$133.4
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
78%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard shows a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, indicating stable but not strong financial health, and an extraordinarily high Altman Z-Score of 59257139558.4, suggesting negligible bankruptcy risk. However, the stock trades at $178.46, above both the Graham Number ($173.28) and intrinsic value estimate ($113.68), implying overvaluation. Despite solid revenue growth (11.60% YoY), earnings have collapsed (-73.40% YoY), with recent quarters missing estimates and showing deteriorating profitability. Insider selling, weak technicals, and a 'hold' analyst consensus further reinforce caution.
Key Strengths
Strong Altman Z-Score indicates virtually no risk of financial distress
Revenue growth of 11.60% YoY outpaces sector average of 9.60%
ROE of 19.71% exceeds sector average of 29.36%, though lower than peers like NBIX
Current and quick ratios above 1.6 indicate solid short-term liquidity
Price/Sales ratio of 0.23 is significantly below sector average, suggesting potential top-line undervaluation
Key Risks
Earnings growth down 73.40% YoY with Q/Q decline of 75.80%, signaling severe profitability erosion
Piotroski F-Score of 5 suggests borderline financial stability with room for deterioration
Stock trades above Graham Number and intrinsic value, indicating overvaluation relative to fundamentals
Insider selling activity in last 6 months reflects bearish sentiment from management
Technical trend score of 0/100 and 1-year price decline of 37.9% reflect strong negative momentum
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$173.28
-2.9% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional AI analysis across 5 key categories
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
Profitability, Growth & Financial Health
Detailed profit margins, ROE, debt ratios, and liquidity metrics
Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis
Compare MOH against industry averages and similar companies
Insider Trading & Analyst Ratings
Track insider transactions and Wall Street analyst recommendations