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MOH

BEARISH
$151.0 Live
Molina Healthcare, Inc. · NYSE
Target $149.18 (-1.2%)
$121.06 52W Range $333.22

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 22, 2026
Market cap
$7.87B
P/E
16.83
ROE
11.0%
Profit margin
1.1%
Debt/Equity
0.99
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
Molina Healthcare exhibits a stable Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, but this is overshadowed by a severe collapse in profitability and earnings quality. The company is currently trading at $151.00, which is significantly above its growth-based intrinsic value of $62.79 and its defensive Graham Number of $126.90. A rising Medical Care Ratio (MCR) of 91.7% and negative operating margins (-1.49%) indicate that rising healthcare costs are outpacing state reimbursement rates. With a 1-year price decline of 50% and a catastrophic YoY EPS growth of -154.5%, the stock appears to be in a fundamental downtrend.

Key Strengths

Consistent revenue growth (12% YoY in 2025)
Strong market position with 5.5 million members across 21 states
Successful procurement of new contracts (e.g., Florida AHCA award)
Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.18) indicating high revenue efficiency
Stable short-term liquidity with a Current Ratio of 1.69

Key Risks

Severe margin compression (Operating Margin: -1.49%)
Rising Medical Care Ratio (MCR) increasing to 91.7%
High dependency on state Medicaid reimbursement rates
Catastrophic earnings trajectory (0/4 beats in last 4 quarters)
Membership volatility due to Medicaid redeterminations
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$118.5
-21.5% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
28
Weak
Value
40
Future
25
Past
20
Health
55
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Value Trap / High Risk
Key drivers: Earnings collapse, Medical cost inflation, Overvaluation relative to intrinsic value
Confidence
90%
Value
40/100

Ref P/E 16.83, PEG 1.49, Graham Number $126.9

Positives
  • Low P/S ratio
  • P/E is moderate at 16.83
Watchpoints
  • Price exceeds Graham Number ($126.9)
  • Price is 140% above Intrinsic Value ($62.79)
Future
25/100

Ref Growth rates and 10-K risk factors

Positives
  • New contract wins in Florida and Wisconsin
Watchpoints
  • YoY EPS growth of -154.5%
  • Negative operating margins
Past
20/100

Ref Historical trends and Earnings track record

Positives
  • Historical revenue growth
Watchpoints
  • 1Y return of -50%
  • Average surprise of -325.05% over last 4 quarters
Health
55/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9 (Stable)
  • Current Ratio 1.69
Watchpoints
  • Negative operating margin
  • Declining net income ($1.18B to $472M)
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield N/A

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid
  • 0/100 Dividend Strength

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$151.0
Analyst Target
$149.18
Upside/Downside
-1.2%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MOH and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-21
MOH
Molina Healthcare, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-40.4%
3Y
-45.2%
1Y
-50.0%
6M
-23.3%
1M
+11.7%
1W
+2.4%
BIO
Bio-Rad Laboratories, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-49.6%
3Y
-35.1%
1Y
-15.9%
6M
+12.3%
1M
-1.7%
1W
-5.4%
ARW
Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-23.4%
3Y
+107.3%
1Y
+265.3%
6M
+85.2%
1M
-10.6%
1W
-8.0%
HAL
Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+57.9%
3Y
+84.6%
1Y
+17.5%
6M
+5.8%
1M
+2.0%
1W
+5.2%
AVT
Avantor, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-61.5%
3Y
-48.8%
1Y
-46.0%
6M
-17.0%
1M
+4.6%
1W
-3.0%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
16.83
Forward P/E
18.42
PEG Ratio
1.49
P/B Ratio
1.89
P/S Ratio
0.18
EV/Revenue
0.08
EV/EBITDA
3.95
Market Cap
$7.87B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 1.08%
Operating Margin -1.49%
Gross Margin 9.35%
ROE 11.02%
ROA 3.14%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +7.1%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +8.34%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.99
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.69
Good
Quick Ratio
1.6
Excellent
Cash/Share
$160.31

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$11.4B
Gross Margin
6.2%
Op. Margin
-1.4%
Net Margin
-1.4%
Total Assets
$15.6B
Liabilities
$11.5B
Equity
$4.1B
Debt/Equity
2.83x
Operating CF
$-0.3B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.3B
FCF Yield
100%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-22
$N/A
2026-02-05
$-2.75
-921.5% surprise
2025-10-22
$1.84
-52.7% surprise
2025-07-23
$5.48
-0.9% surprise

Healthcare Sector Comparison

Comparing MOH against 560 companies in the Healthcare sector (34 bullish, 167 neutral, 359 bearish)
P/E Ratio
16.83
This Stock
vs
75.44
Sector Avg
-77.7% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
11.02%
This Stock
vs
-88.14%
Sector Avg
-112.5% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
1.08%
This Stock
vs
-16.28%
Sector Avg
-106.7% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.99
This Stock
vs
2.66
Sector Avg
-62.6% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
7.1%
This Stock
vs
124.04%
Sector Avg
-94.3% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.69
This Stock
vs
4.47
Sector Avg
-62.3% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

ORLANDO STEVEN J
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-01
405 shares · $55,007
WOLF DALE B
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-01
405 shares · $55,007
GROHOWSKI LEO P
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-01
405 shares · $55,007
ZORETIC RICHARD C
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-01
405 shares · $55,007
SCHAPIRO RICHARD M
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-01
405 shares · $55,007
LOCKHART STEPHEN H
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-01
405 shares · $55,007
ROMNEY RONNA E
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-01
405 shares · $55,007
BRASIER BARBARA L.
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-01
405 shares · $55,007
ROMNEY RONNA E
Director
Sell
2026-03-12
506 shares · $74,342
HEBERT MAURICE S
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
2,708 shares · $400,086
BARLOW JEFF D
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
13,722 shares · $1,999,982
KEIM MARK LOWELL
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
26,073 shares · $3,800,140
WOYS JAMES E
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
17,016 shares · $2,480,082
BACON DEBRA
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
9,606 shares · $1,400,074
ZUBRETSKY JOSEPH M.
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
66,417 shares · $9,680,278
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-03-23

MOH filed a definitive proxy statement (DEF 14A) on March 23, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information to vote on corporate matters.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-02-26

Mohawk Industries, Inc. filed an 8-K on February 26, 2026, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-10

Molina Healthcare reported 2025 total revenue of $45.4 billion, a 12% increase, though net income declined significantly to $472 million from $1.18 billion in 2024. This decline was driven by a rising medical care ratio of 91.7% and a slight membership decrease to 5.5 million due to Medicaid redeterminations. The company faces primary risks from rising medical care costs and the possibility that state Medicaid reimbursement rates may be insufficient to cover these expenses.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-02-06

Mohawk Industries, Inc. filed an 8-K on February 6, 2026, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-05

Molina Healthcare, Inc. filed an 8-K on February 5, 2026, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-11-20

Mohawk Industries, Inc. filed an 8-K on November 20, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-11-18
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-11-17
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-11-14

MOH filed an 8-K on November 14, 2025, likely to announce its quarterly financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-10-23

MOH filed its quarterly 10-Q report on October 23, 2025. Due to the absence of provided excerpts, specific financial highlights and risk factors are unavailable for summary.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-22
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-08-12
10-Q
10-Q
2025-07-24
8-K
8-K
2025-07-23
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-07-07
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
HOLD
17 analysts
UBS
2026-03-12
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Mizuho
2026-03-12
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Morgan Stanley
2026-03-04
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Wells Fargo
2026-02-20
down
Overweight Equal-Weight
Truist Securities
2026-02-17
Maintains
Hold Hold
Goldman Sachs
2026-02-12
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Barclays
2026-02-10
Maintains
Underweight Underweight
TD Cowen
2026-02-09
Maintains
Hold Hold
Cantor Fitzgerald
2026-02-09
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Wells Fargo
2026-01-07
Maintains
Overweight Overweight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning MOH from our newsroom.

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