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MP

NEUTRAL
$61.3 Live
MP Materials Corp. · NYSE
Target $78.0 (+27.2%)
$18.64 52W Range $100.25

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 30, 2026
Market cap
$10.89B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-5.0%
Profit margin
-31.2%
Debt/Equity
0.43
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
MP Materials presents a stark contrast between speculative growth and fundamental weakness, evidenced by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 3/9. While the company exhibits explosive YoY revenue growth (70%) and strong liquidity (Current Ratio 7.30), its valuation is extreme with a Price/Sales ratio of 39.54. The stock is currently priced for aggressive future expansion rather than current profitability, as reflected by negative profit margins and a bearish technical trend. Despite a 'Strong Buy' analyst consensus, the deterministic health scores suggest significant operational instability.

Key Strengths

Exceptional short-term liquidity with a Current Ratio of 7.30
Strong YoY revenue growth of 70.00%
Manageable leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.43
Strong analyst backing with a 'Strong Buy' consensus and $78 target
Recent positive earnings surprises, including a significant beat in the most recent quarter

Key Risks

Severe valuation premium (Price/Sales of 39.54 is unsustainable for mining)
Weak fundamental health indicated by a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9
Negative profitability with a profit margin of -31.18%
Bearish technical trend (0/100) and lukewarm insider sentiment (40/100)
Negative Q/Q revenue growth (-13.61%) suggesting a potential slowdown

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
34
Weak
Value
15
Future
75
Past
50
Health
30
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Speculative Growth
Key drivers: Extreme P/S ratio, Weak Piotroski Score, High Revenue Growth, Strong Liquidity
Confidence
90%
Value
15/100

Stock trades at a massive premium; Graham Number is unavailable due to lack of positive earnings.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • P/S ratio of 39.54
  • P/B ratio of 5.49
  • Forward P/E of 48.13
Future
75/100

Growth is the primary driver, but consistency is questionable.

Positives
  • 70% YoY Revenue Growth
  • Strong analyst target price ($78)
Watchpoints
  • Negative Q/Q revenue growth
Past
50/100

Strong price action but poor historical profitability.

Positives
  • 1Y price return of +149.4%
  • Consistent earnings beats in recent quarters
Watchpoints
  • History of negative EPS
Health
30/100

Strong balance sheet liquidity masks poor operational efficiency.

Positives
  • Low Debt/Equity (0.43)
  • High Current Ratio (7.30)
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 (Weak)
Dividend
0/100

Non-dividend paying growth stock.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid
  • 0/100 dividend strength

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$61.3
Analyst Target
$78.0
Upside/Downside
+27.2%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MP and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-29
MP
MP Materials Corp.
Primary
5Y
+104.1%
3Y
+184.3%
1Y
+149.4%
6M
-4.7%
1M
+34.5%
1W
-11.4%
EQX
Equinox Gold Corp.
Peer
5Y
+68.3%
3Y
+187.4%
1Y
+110.9%
6M
+30.0%
1M
+10.2%
1W
-8.2%
HMY
Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited
Peer
5Y
+263.6%
3Y
+275.1%
1Y
+7.3%
6M
+1.9%
1M
+17.0%
1W
-8.5%
IAG
IAMGOLD Corporation
Peer
5Y
+425.1%
3Y
+500.7%
1Y
+138.1%
6M
+48.6%
1M
-3.5%
1W
-7.5%
ESI
Element Solutions Inc
Peer
5Y
+108.7%
3Y
+138.3%
1Y
+98.9%
6M
+54.9%
1M
+14.4%
1W
+3.4%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
48.13
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
5.49
P/S Ratio
39.54
EV/Revenue
38.15
EV/EBITDA
-290.29
Market Cap
$10.89B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -31.18%
Operating Margin -0.92%
Gross Margin 30.01%
ROE -4.98%
ROA -2.53%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +70.0%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth -13.61%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.43
Low debt
Current Ratio
7.3
Strong
Quick Ratio
6.66
Excellent
Cash/Share
$10.3

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.1B
Gross Margin
-32.2%
Op. Margin
-4.8%
Net Margin
17.9%
Total Assets
$3.9B
Liabilities
$1.9B
Equity
$2.0B
Debt/Equity
0.95x
Operating CF
$-0.0B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.1B
FCF Yield
233%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-02-26
$0.09
+490.9% surprise
2025-11-06
$-0.1
+38.3% surprise
2025-08-07
$-0.13
+34.7% surprise

Basic Materials Sector Comparison

Comparing MP against 169 companies in the Basic Materials sector (17 bullish, 66 neutral, 86 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-4.98%
This Stock
vs
-5.54%
Sector Avg
-10.1% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-31.18%
This Stock
vs
-4.44%
Sector Avg
+601.5% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.43
This Stock
vs
0.84
Sector Avg
-48.5% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
70.0%
This Stock
vs
37.0%
Sector Avg
+89.2% (Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
7.3
This Stock
vs
4.77
Sector Avg
+53.1% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-04-24

MP filed a Definitive Proxy Statement (DEF 14A) on April 24, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for the upcoming annual meeting.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-26

MP filed its annual 10-K report on February 26, 2026. Due to the absence of detailed text in the provided excerpts, specific financial highlights and risk factors cannot be determined.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-26

MP Materials Corp filed an 8-K on February 26, 2026, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-19

MP Materials Corp filed an 8-K on November 19, 2025, likely to report its third-quarter financial results or a material operational update.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-07

MP submitted its quarterly 10-Q filing on November 7, 2025. While specific financial highlights were not provided in the excerpt, the filing includes a dedicated section on risk factors under Item 1A.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-06

MP Materials Corp likely announced its third-quarter financial results in this 8-K filing.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-17

MP Materials Corp filed an 8-K on October 17, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-08-25

MP Materials Corp likely reported its second-quarter financial results in this 8-K filing dated August 25, 2025.

8-K
8-K
2025-08-15

MP Materials Corp filed a current report on August 15, 2025, likely announcing its second-quarter financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-08

MP submitted its quarterly 10-Q filing on August 8, 2025. While specific financial metrics were not provided in the excerpt, the filing includes a dedicated section on risk factors under Item 1A.

8-K
8-K
2025-08-07
8-K
8-K
2025-07-18
8-K
8-K
2025-07-15
8-K
8-K
2025-07-10
8-K
8-K
2025-06-11
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
STRONG_BUY
13 analysts
Wedbush
2026-04-20
init
Outperform
Morgan Stanley
2026-04-09
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
DA Davidson
2026-03-11
Maintains
Buy Buy
DA Davidson
2026-02-18
Maintains
Buy Buy
William Blair
2026-01-13
init
Outperform
Morgan Stanley
2025-12-05
up
Equal-Weight Overweight
BMO Capital
2025-11-24
up
Market Perform Outperform
DA Davidson
2025-11-20
Maintains
Buy Buy
Goldman Sachs
2025-11-19
init
Buy
JP Morgan
2025-11-14
up
Neutral Overweight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning MP from our newsroom.

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