MSD

NEUTRAL

$7.28 Live

Morgan Stanley Emerging Markets Debt Fund, Inc. · NYSE

$6.91 52W Range $7.94

MSD Morgan Stanley Emerging Markets Debt Fund, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

NEUTRAL

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MSD Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights

NYSE • Financial Services • Asset Management

Current Price Live

$7.28

52W High

$7.94

52W Low

$6.91

Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 30, 2026

Market cap

$147.28M

P/E

6.93

ROE

13.6%

Profit margin

158.8%

Debt/Equity

N/A

Dividend yield

8.93%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence

80%

MSD presents a classic value trap profile: fundamentally undervalued but technically bearish. The Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicates stable financial health, and the stock trades at a significant discount to both its Graham Number ($13.63) and Intrinsic Value ($30.98). However, a severe revenue decline of 51.6% and a 0/100 technical trend signal strong negative momentum that offsets the attractive valuation and 8.93% dividend yield.

Key Strengths

Significant undervaluation relative to Graham Number ($13.63) and Intrinsic Value ($30.98)

Very low P/E ratio (6.93) compared to the sector average (34.80)

Strong dividend yield of 8.93% with a sustainable payout ratio of 69.52%

Positive earnings growth (54.8% YoY) despite revenue contraction

Trading at a discount to book value (P/B 0.93)

Key Risks

Severe revenue contraction (-51.6% YoY) indicating potential shrinking AUM or income streams

Extremely bearish technical trend (0/100 score)

Low insider sentiment (40/100) suggesting lack of internal confidence

Small market capitalization ($0.15B) increasing liquidity risk

Lack of analyst coverage and target price guidance

AI Fair Value Estimate

Based on comprehensive analysis

$12.45

+71.0% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall

Strong

Value

Future

Past

Health

Dividend

AI Verdict

Value Play with Momentum Risk

Key drivers: Deep valuation discount, Revenue collapse, High dividend yield, Bearish technicals

Confidence

85%

Value

90/100

Ref P/E 6.93, Graham Number $13.63

Positives

P/E significantly below sector average
Price is ~46% of Graham Number

Watchpoints

Price/Sales is high (11.07), though less relevant for debt funds

Future

30/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives

Strong earnings growth (54.8%)

Watchpoints

Catastrophic revenue growth (-51.6%)

Past

65/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives

Positive 3Y (+52.7%) and 5Y (+26.5%) returns

Watchpoints

Stagnant 1Y performance (+3.3%)

Health

60/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score

Positives

Piotroski F-Score 5/9 (Stable)
Current Ratio 1.43

Watchpoints

No Altman Z-Score available for bankruptcy risk assessment

Dividend

85/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives

High yield (8.93%)
Manageable payout ratio (69.52%)

Watchpoints

Dividend sustainability depends on reversing revenue decline

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price

$7.28

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MSD and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-29

Company	5Y	3Y	1Y	6M	1M	1W
MSD Morgan Stanley Emerging Markets Debt Fund, Inc. Primary	+26.5%	+52.7%	+3.3%	+2.0%	+4.5%	-2.4%
BGX Blackstone Long-Short Credit Income Fund Peer	+30.5%	+36.9%	-0.5%	-2.2%	+0.5%	-0.4%
IGA Voya Global Advantage and Premium Opportunity Fund Peer	+64.0%	+54.7%	+10.3%	+3.0%	+4.8%	+0.3%
MPA BlackRock MuniYield Pennsylvania Quality Fund Peer	-4.0%	+18.8%	+9.6%	+1.4%	+4.5%	-0.5%
FNWD Finward Bancorp Peer	-15.3%	+21.3%	+9.5%	+2.6%	-4.9%	-2.3%

MSD

Morgan Stanley Emerging Markets Debt Fund, Inc.

Primary

+26.5%

+52.7%

+3.3%

+2.0%

+4.5%

-2.4%

BGX

Blackstone Long-Short Credit Income Fund

Peer

+30.5%

+36.9%

-0.5%

-2.2%

+0.5%

-0.4%

IGA

Voya Global Advantage and Premium Opportunity Fund

Peer

+64.0%

+54.7%

+10.3%

+3.0%

+4.8%

+0.3%

MPA

BlackRock MuniYield Pennsylvania Quality Fund

Peer

-4.0%

+18.8%

+9.6%

+1.4%

+4.5%

-0.5%

FNW

Finward Bancorp

Peer

-15.3%

+21.3%

+9.5%

+2.6%

-4.9%

-2.3%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

6.93

N/A

0.93

11.07

11.06

N/A

$147.28M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 158.76%

Operating Margin 80.1%

Gross Margin 100.0%

ROE 13.56%

ROA 4.35%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -51.6%

Earnings Growth +54.8%

Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A

Q/Q Earnings Growth +55.0%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity

N/A

Current Ratio

1.43

Good

Quick Ratio

1.07

Good

Cash/Share

$0.01

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Total Assets

$0.2B

Liabilities

$0.0B

Equity

$0.2B

Debt/Equity

0.03x

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing MSD against 915 companies in the Financial Services sector (148 bullish, 394 neutral, 373 bearish)

P/E Ratio

6.93

This Stock

34.57

Sector Avg

-79.9% (Discount)

Return on Equity (ROE)

13.56%

This Stock

0.12%

Sector Avg

+11168.7% (Excellent)

Profit Margin

158.76%

This Stock

92.09%

Sector Avg

+72.4% (Superior)

Revenue Growth

-51.6%

This Stock

33.99%

Sector Avg

-251.8% (Slower)

Current Ratio

1.43

This Stock

3.02

Sector Avg

-52.8% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company	AI Rating	Market Cap	P/E	ROE	Profit Margin	Price
MSD Morgan Stanley Emerging...	NEUTRAL	$147.28M	6.93	13.6%	158.8%	$7.28
BGX Blackstone Long-Short...	BEARISH	$148.05M	12.39	-%	-%	$11.65	Compare
IGA Voya Global Advantage and...	NEUTRAL	$148.2M	8.26	11.3%	364.8%	$9.66	Compare
MPA BlackRock MuniYield...	BEARISH	$145.55M	34.06	2.7%	38.7%	$11.24	Compare
FNWD Finward Bancorp	NEUTRAL	$145.2M	17.84	5.0%	12.2%	$33.53	Compare

MSD Morgan Stanley...

NEUTRAL

Mkt Cap

$147M

P/E

6.9

ROE

13.6%

Price

$7.28

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Recent headlines mentioning MSD from our newsroom.

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MSD

MSD Morgan Stanley Emerging Markets Debt Fund, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

At a glance

AI Analysis

Key Strengths

Key Risks

Performance Snowflake

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Historical Performance Trends

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Valuation Metrics

Profitability

Growth

Financial Health

Financial Statement Flow

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Similar Companies

Past News Coverage

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