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MTR

NEUTRAL
$4.85 Live
Mesa Royalty Trust · NYSE
$4.03 52W Range $10.42

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 30, 2026
Market cap
$9.04M
P/E
17.96
ROE
16.2%
Profit margin
74.8%
Debt/Equity
N/A
Dividend yield
5.1%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
80%
MTR presents a contradictory profile characterized by a critically weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, indicating deteriorating fundamental trends despite exceptional profit margins. While the stock trades below its growth-based intrinsic value of $7.97, it sits above its defensive Graham Number of $3.21. Strong year-over-year revenue and earnings growth are offset by a completely bearish technical trend and poor insider sentiment. The high payout ratio and weak health score suggest that current growth may not be sustainable or is not translating into structural financial strength.

Key Strengths

Exceptional profit margins (74.83%) and operating margins (90.41%)
Strong YoY revenue growth of 58.80% and earnings growth of 132.90%
High liquidity with a current ratio of 16.72
ROE (16.24%) significantly outperforms the energy sector average (3.36%)
Attractive dividend yield of 5.10%

Key Risks

Critically low Piotroski F-Score (2/9) signaling fundamental weakness
Strongly bearish technical trend (0/100)
High dividend payout ratio (84.92%) limiting capital reinvestment
Significant long-term price erosion (3Y change of -71.1%)
Low insider sentiment (40/100) suggesting lack of internal confidence
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$5.1
+5.2% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
50
Moderate
Value
55
Future
82
Past
30
Health
22
Dividend
60
AI Verdict
Speculative Hold
Key drivers: Extreme profitability vs. fundamental decay, High growth vs. bearish price action, Strong liquidity vs. poor F-Score
Confidence
85%
Value
55/100

Trades at a premium to defensive value but a discount to growth-based intrinsic value.

Positives
  • P/E (17.96) is lower than sector average (30.79)
Watchpoints
  • Price is above Graham Number ($3.21)
  • Very high Price/Sales ratio (13.24)
Future
82/100

Growth metrics are the strongest component of the data set.

Positives
  • Triple-digit earnings growth (132.90%)
  • Strong Q/Q revenue momentum (46.65%)
Watchpoints
  • Dependence on volatile energy commodity pricing
Past
30/100

Long-term trend is characterized by significant volatility and recent decline.

Positives
  • 5Y change is positive (+50.5%)
Watchpoints
  • Severe 3Y decline (-71.1%)
  • Negative 1Y return (-4.5%)
Health
22/100

Despite high liquidity, the deterministic health score is weak.

Positives
  • Very high current ratio (16.72)
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates severe fundamental deterioration
Dividend
60/100

Typical for royalty trusts, but leaves little room for error.

Positives
  • Consistent yield of 5.10%
Watchpoints
  • High payout ratio (84.92%) creates sustainability risk

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$4.85

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MTR and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-29
MTR
Mesa Royalty Trust
Primary
5Y
+50.5%
3Y
-71.1%
1Y
-4.5%
6M
+5.3%
1M
-5.2%
1W
+1.7%
BAN
CBL International Limited
Peer
5Y
-92.4%
3Y
-92.4%
1Y
-70.2%
6M
-56.5%
1M
-23.0%
1W
-9.0%
DLX
Delixy Holdings Limited
Peer
5Y
-88.5%
3Y
-88.5%
1Y
-88.5%
6M
-13.7%
1M
-46.2%
1W
+9.6%
MAR
Marine Petroleum Trust
Peer
5Y
+69.6%
3Y
-13.0%
1Y
+42.3%
6M
+12.2%
1M
+0.6%
1W
-6.9%
RBN
Robin Energy Ltd.
Peer
5Y
-95.5%
3Y
-95.5%
1Y
-89.5%
6M
-69.3%
1M
+41.2%
1W
+14.3%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
17.96
Forward P/E
N/A
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.86
P/S Ratio
13.24
EV/Revenue
13.06
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$9.04M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 74.83%
Operating Margin 90.41%
Gross Margin 100.0%
ROE 16.24%
ROA 9.86%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +58.8%
Earnings Growth +132.9%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +46.65%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +132.9%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
N/A
Current Ratio
16.72
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.0
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.07

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.0B
Op. Margin
89.1%
Net Margin
103.0%
Total Assets
$0.0B
Liabilities
$0.0B
Equity
$0.0B
Debt/Equity
0.04x

Energy Sector Comparison

Comparing MTR against 126 companies in the Energy sector (12 bullish, 43 neutral, 71 bearish)
P/E Ratio
17.96
This Stock
vs
31.15
Sector Avg
-42.3% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
16.24%
This Stock
vs
6.19%
Sector Avg
+162.4% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
74.83%
This Stock
vs
7.4%
Sector Avg
+911.9% (Superior)
Revenue Growth
58.8%
This Stock
vs
17.79%
Sector Avg
+230.5% (Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
16.72
This Stock
vs
2.31
Sector Avg
+623.3% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-04-17

MTR filed an 8-K on April 17, 2026, likely to announce its first-quarter financial results.

10-K
10-K
2026-03-30

MTR filed its annual 10-K report on March 30, 2026. The provided excerpts do not contain specific financial highlights or detailed risk factors.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-03-20
8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-02-17

MTR filed a current report likely announcing its annual financial results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-01-20

MTR filed a current report on January 20, 2026, to disclose a material corporate event.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-12-19
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-11-18
10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-13
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-10-16
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-09-16
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-08-18
10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-14
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-07-18
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-06-18
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-05-19
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning MTR from our newsroom.

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