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NEXA

BEARISH
$15.11 Live
Nexa Resources S.A. · NYSE
Target $11.44 (-24.3%)
$4.44 52W Range $16.75

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated May 01, 2026
Market cap
$2.0B
P/E
15.11
ROE
19.0%
Profit margin
4.4%
Debt/Equity
1.42
Dividend yield
1.18%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
NEXA exhibits a stable but mediocre financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a concerning lack of liquidity (Current Ratio 0.87). While the stock has seen massive recent price appreciation, it is currently trading at a significant premium to its Intrinsic Value ($7.00) and Graham Number ($13.05), and is well above the analyst target price of $11.44. The combination of a bearish technical trend score (10/100), poor earnings surprise track record (-28.89% avg), and high debt-to-equity (1.42) suggests the recent price surge is unsustainable.

Key Strengths

Strong year-over-year revenue growth of 21.90%
High Return on Equity (ROE) of 18.99%
Attractive Forward P/E ratio of 6.68
Robust operating margins at 23.94%
Significant 1-year price momentum (+164.1%)

Key Risks

Trading significantly above intrinsic value ($7.00) and Graham Number ($13.05)
Poor short-term liquidity with a Current Ratio of 0.87 and Quick Ratio of 0.52
High leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.42
Consistent failure to meet earnings estimates (only 1 of last 4 quarters beat)
Strongly bearish technical trend score (10/100) despite recent price gains
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$11.44
-24.3% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
41
Moderate
Value
35
Future
60
Past
55
Health
40
Dividend
15
AI Verdict
Overvalued with liquidity risks
Key drivers: Price-to-Intrinsic Value gap, Weak liquidity ratios, Poor earnings reliability, High debt levels
Confidence
90%
Value
35/100

Current price $15.11 vs Graham $13.05 and Intrinsic $7.00

Positives
  • Low Forward P/E
  • Low Price/Sales (0.67)
Watchpoints
  • Price exceeds Graham Number
  • Price is >2x Intrinsic Value
Future
60/100

Revenue growth is strong, but earnings conversion is volatile

Positives
  • Strong YoY revenue growth
  • Positive Q/Q revenue growth
Watchpoints
  • Unreliable earnings projections
  • Negative recent Q/Q EPS growth
Past
55/100

Price performance is decoupled from earnings consistency

Positives
  • Exceptional 1Y and 6M price returns
Watchpoints
  • Poor earnings surprise history
  • High volatility in quarterly EPS
Health
40/100

Piotroski 4/9 indicates stability, but liquidity metrics signal distress risk

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4 (Stable)
Watchpoints
  • Current Ratio < 1.0
  • Debt/Equity 1.42
  • Quick Ratio 0.52
Dividend
15/100

Dividend is negligible and not a primary driver of value

Positives
  • Positive dividend yield
Watchpoints
  • Very low dividend strength (10/100)
  • Low yield (1.18%)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$15.11
Analyst Target
$11.44
Upside/Downside
-24.3%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for NEXA and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-30
NEX
Nexa Resources S.A.
Primary
5Y
+63.7%
3Y
+168.3%
1Y
+164.1%
6M
+177.2%
1M
+42.7%
1W
+2.2%
FMC
FMC Corporation
Peer
5Y
-84.9%
3Y
-86.0%
1Y
-61.8%
6M
+0.1%
1M
-10.7%
1W
+6.4%
IOS
Innospec Inc.
Peer
5Y
-21.1%
3Y
-25.2%
1Y
-10.6%
6M
+3.6%
1M
+8.5%
1W
+2.5%
MTX
Minerals Technologies Inc.
Peer
5Y
-7.7%
3Y
+19.0%
1Y
+39.0%
6M
+28.3%
1M
+0.4%
1W
-0.2%
IE
Ivanhoe Electric Inc.
Peer
5Y
+28.3%
3Y
+16.4%
1Y
+110.3%
6M
-9.1%
1M
+27.5%
1W
-9.9%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
15.11
Forward P/E
6.68
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.0
P/S Ratio
0.67
EV/Revenue
1.2
EV/EBITDA
5.44
Market Cap
$2.0B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 4.42%
Operating Margin 23.94%
Gross Margin 23.4%
ROE 18.99%
ROA 5.25%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +21.9%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +21.88%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.42
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.87
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.52
Poor
Cash/Share
$3.94

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.9B
Gross Margin
33.2%
Op. Margin
27.5%
Net Margin
5.6%
Total Assets
$5.3B
Liabilities
$4.0B
Equity
$1.0B
Debt/Equity
3.97x
Operating CF
$0.3B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.2B
FCF Yield
55%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-06
$N/A
2026-02-26
$0.38
-21.7% surprise
2025-10-30
$0.52
+27.5% surprise
2025-07-31
$0.01
-92.5% surprise

Basic Materials Sector Comparison

Comparing NEXA against 175 companies in the Basic Materials sector (19 bullish, 68 neutral, 88 bearish)
P/E Ratio
15.11
This Stock
vs
37.76
Sector Avg
-60.0% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
18.99%
This Stock
vs
-5.63%
Sector Avg
-437.5% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
4.42%
This Stock
vs
-4.07%
Sector Avg
-208.6% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.42
This Stock
vs
1.09
Sector Avg
+30.1% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
21.9%
This Stock
vs
36.54%
Sector Avg
-40.1% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.87
This Stock
vs
4.66
Sector Avg
-81.4% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

20-F
20-F
2026-03-26

NEXA filed its Form 20-F annual report on March 26, 2026. Due to the limited information provided, specific financial highlights and risk factors are unavailable for summary.

20-F
20-F
2025-03-27

NEXA submitted its annual report on Form 20-F on March 27, 2025. Specific financial highlights and risk factors were not provided in the available filing metadata.

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
HOLD
8 analysts
Citigroup
2026-04-14
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Citigroup
2026-03-26
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Scotiabank
2026-03-23
Maintains
Sector Perform Sector Perform
JP Morgan
2026-02-26
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Citigroup
2026-02-03
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Scotiabank
2025-11-03
Maintains
Sector Perform Sector Perform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning NEXA from our newsroom.

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