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NGS

BULLISH
$40.69 Live
Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. · NYSE
Target $47.25 (+16.1%)
$18.41 52W Range $41.51

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated May 01, 2026
Market cap
$512.3M
P/E
25.92
ROE
7.5%
Profit margin
11.6%
Debt/Equity
0.85
Dividend yield
0.52%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
75%
NGS presents a stable financial profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and strong growth fundamentals. While the current price of $40.69 is a premium to the Graham Number ($27.78), it remains below the growth-based intrinsic value of $46.32, supported by a highly attractive PEG ratio of 0.82. The company demonstrates exceptional earnings momentum with a 43.5% YoY growth rate and a consistent track record of beating analyst estimates. However, the bullish fundamental outlook is countered by bearish insider activity and weak technical trends.

Key Strengths

Exceptional earnings growth (43.5% YoY) and consistent EPS beats
Attractive PEG ratio (0.82) indicating undervaluation relative to growth
Strong liquidity position with a Current Ratio of 2.33
Better-than-sector average Debt/Equity ratio (0.85 vs 1.29)
High gross margins (57.70%) providing a significant buffer for operating costs

Key Risks

Significant insider selling ($6.87M) suggesting a perceived price ceiling
Bearish technical trend (10/100) indicating short-term momentum loss
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates only 'stable' rather than 'strong' financial health
High sensitivity to the volatile Oil & Gas equipment and services sector
Low dividend yield (0.52%) provides little downside protection for investors
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$43.5
+6.9% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
66
Strong
Value
65
Future
88
Past
92
Health
55
Dividend
30
AI Verdict
Growth-Driven Outperformer
Key drivers: Earnings surprises, Revenue growth, PEG ratio, Sector relative debt
Confidence
80%
Value
65/100

Trades at a premium to defensive value (Graham) but a discount to growth value (Intrinsic).

Positives
  • PEG ratio < 1.0
  • Price below Intrinsic Value
Watchpoints
  • Price significantly above Graham Number
  • P/E of 25.92 is moderate
Future
88/100

Strong growth trajectory and earnings surprise history.

Positives
  • 43.5% Earnings Growth
  • Consistent quarterly beats (3/4 last 4)
  • Positive forward P/E compression (18.04)
Watchpoints
  • Sector cyclicality
Past
92/100

Exceptional historical price appreciation and operational turnaround.

Positives
  • 1Y Change +128.9%
  • 5Y Change +352.9%
  • Consistent recovery from 2020-2022 losses
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Health
55/100

Liquidity is strong, but the deterministic health score is mediocre.

Positives
  • Current Ratio 2.33
  • Debt/Equity 0.85
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9 (Stable, not Strong)
  • Altman Z-Score unavailable
Dividend
30/100

Not a dividend-focused investment; capital is being reinvested for growth.

Positives
  • Very low payout ratio (6.37%) allows for future increases
Watchpoints
  • Negligible yield (0.52%)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$40.69
Analyst Target
$47.25
Upside/Downside
+16.1%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for NGS and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-30
NGS
Natural Gas Services Group, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+352.9%
3Y
+292.8%
1Y
+128.9%
6M
+46.9%
1M
+7.8%
1W
+6.0%
FTW
Presidio Production Company
Peer
5Y
+6.8%
3Y
+6.8%
1Y
+4.3%
6M
+1.5%
1M
-7.3%
1W
-1.2%
CLN
Clean Energy Fuels Corp.
Peer
5Y
-80.6%
3Y
-43.2%
1Y
+77.6%
6M
-4.2%
1M
+8.6%
1W
+2.4%
GPR
GeoPark Limited
Peer
5Y
-31.7%
3Y
-2.0%
1Y
+35.2%
6M
+30.1%
1M
-4.0%
1W
+4.9%
NOA
North American Construction Group Ltd.
Peer
5Y
+15.6%
3Y
-20.7%
1Y
-2.4%
6M
-4.2%
1M
+8.8%
1W
+4.9%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
25.92
Forward P/E
18.04
PEG Ratio
0.82
P/B Ratio
1.86
P/S Ratio
2.97
EV/Revenue
N/A
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$512.3M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 11.56%
Operating Margin 20.95%
Gross Margin 57.7%
ROE 7.52%
ROA 4.67%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +13.5%
Earnings Growth +43.5%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +13.51%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +43.2%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.85
Moderate
Current Ratio
2.33
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.33
Good
Cash/Share
$N/A

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.0B
Gross Margin
35.6%
Op. Margin
20.9%
Net Margin
8.9%
Total Assets
$0.6B
Liabilities
$0.3B
Equity
$0.3B
Debt/Equity
1.14x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
-149%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-11
$N/A
2026-03-16
$0.52
+48.8% surprise
2025-11-10
$0.45
+35.3% surprise
2025-08-11
$0.41
+34.0% surprise

Energy Sector Comparison

Comparing NGS against 137 companies in the Energy sector (14 bullish, 51 neutral, 72 bearish)
P/E Ratio
25.92
This Stock
vs
30.64
Sector Avg
-15.4% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
7.52%
This Stock
vs
10.58%
Sector Avg
-28.9% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
11.56%
This Stock
vs
7.94%
Sector Avg
+45.6% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.85
This Stock
vs
1.27
Sector Avg
-33.4% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
13.5%
This Stock
vs
19.16%
Sector Avg
-29.5% (Slower)
Current Ratio
2.33
This Stock
vs
2.26
Sector Avg
+3.3% (Better)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

JACOBS JUSTIN C
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-13
11,696 shares
JACOBS JUSTIN C
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-13
11,696 shares
TAYLOR STEPHEN CHARLES
Director
Sell
2026-03-06
100,000 shares · $3,747,681
TAYLOR STEPHEN CHARLES
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-04
336 shares · $12,607
TRINGALI DONALD J
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-04
40 shares · $1,501
JACOBS JUSTIN C
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-03
10,460 shares
JACOBS JUSTIN C
Chief Executive Officer
Option Exercise
2026-02-03
10,460 shares · $366,832
ECKERT IAN M
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-30
2,532 shares
ECKERT IAN M
Chief Financial Officer
Option Exercise
2025-12-30
2,532 shares · $86,063
TAYLOR STEPHEN CHARLES
Director
Sell
2025-12-11
20,000 shares · $667,000
HOLLEY JEAN K
Director
Buy
2025-12-08
935 shares · $29,920
HOLLEY JEAN K
Director
Buy
2025-12-08
2,190 shares · $70,168
TAYLOR STEPHEN CHARLES
Director
Sell
2025-12-04
20,000 shares · $642,400
TAYLOR STEPHEN CHARLES
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-03
412 shares · $12,566
TRINGALI DONALD J
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-03
49 shares · $1,494
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
4 analysts
Stifel
2026-03-20
Maintains
Buy Buy
Raymond James
2026-01-13
down
Strong Buy Outperform
Stifel
2025-11-12
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning NGS from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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