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NNI

NEUTRAL
$141.7 Live
Nelnet, Inc. · NYSE
Target $135.0 (-4.7%)
$105.12 52W Range $144.38

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated May 01, 2026
Market cap
$5.1B
P/E
12.03
ROE
11.6%
Profit margin
25.6%
Debt/Equity
2.18
Dividend yield
0.88%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
NNI presents a conflicting profile: while the Graham Number ($165.02) suggests defensive value, the Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicates weak financial health and deteriorating fundamentals. The stock trades at a low P/E of 12.03 and a very attractive PEG of 0.46, yet it is significantly overpriced relative to its growth-based intrinsic value of $82.46. Negative year-over-year revenue and earnings growth, combined with a bearish technical trend and insider selling, offset the strong liquidity provided by a current ratio of 5.33.

Key Strengths

Low P/E ratio (12.03) relative to the financial services sector average
Very strong short-term liquidity with a current ratio of 5.33
High gross margins (86.47%) and healthy profit margins (25.61%)
Extremely sustainable dividend payout ratio of 10.09%
Low PEG ratio (0.46) suggesting potential undervaluation relative to growth

Key Risks

Weak financial health as indicated by a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9
Negative year-over-year revenue (-8.60%) and earnings (-7.60%) growth
High Debt/Equity ratio (2.18) compared to the sector average of 1.30
Strongly bearish technical trend (10/100) and insider sentiment
Significant gap between current price ($141.70) and intrinsic value ($82.46)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$115.5
-18.5% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
48
Moderate
Value
75
Future
35
Past
60
Health
30
Dividend
40
AI Verdict
Underperforming Fundamentals
Key drivers: Weak Piotroski Score, Negative YoY Growth, Low Valuation Multiples, High Leverage
Confidence
80%
Value
75/100

Ref P/E 12.03, PEG 0.46, Graham Number $165.02

Positives
  • P/E is well below sector average
  • Price is below Graham Number
Watchpoints
  • Price is significantly above growth-based intrinsic value
Future
35/100

Ref Revenue Growth -8.60%, Earnings Growth -7.60%

Positives
  • Positive Q/Q revenue growth (13.74%)
Watchpoints
  • Negative YoY revenue and earnings growth
  • Bearish technical trend
Past
60/100

Ref 5Y Change +99.8%, 1Y Change +34.9%

Positives
  • Strong 5-year price appreciation (+99.8%)
Watchpoints
  • Highly volatile quarterly earnings surprises
Health
30/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score 3/9, Debt/Equity 2.18

Positives
  • Excellent current and quick ratios
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 3/9 (Weak)
  • High Debt/Equity ratio (2.18)
Dividend
40/100

Ref Yield 0.88%, Payout 10.09%

Positives
  • Very low payout ratio (10.09%)
Watchpoints
  • Low dividend yield (0.88%)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$141.7
Analyst Target
$135.0
Upside/Downside
-4.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for NNI and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-30
NNI
Nelnet, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+99.8%
3Y
+51.5%
1Y
+34.9%
6M
+11.0%
1M
+9.9%
1W
+0.4%
LMN
Lemonade, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-28.9%
3Y
+506.7%
1Y
+122.8%
6M
+14.8%
1M
+12.0%
1W
-0.4%
HLN
Hamilton Lane Incorporated
Peer
5Y
+7.1%
3Y
+35.3%
1Y
-32.0%
6M
-21.2%
1M
-5.5%
1W
-2.0%
AX
Axos Financial, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+123.1%
3Y
+117.6%
1Y
+29.3%
6M
+8.3%
1M
+3.2%
1W
-2.9%
IFS
Intercorp Financial Services Inc.
Peer
5Y
+124.9%
3Y
+126.2%
1Y
+39.4%
6M
+12.6%
1M
-1.6%
1W
-4.4%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
12.03
Forward P/E
14.17
PEG Ratio
0.46
P/B Ratio
1.38
P/S Ratio
3.05
EV/Revenue
7.46
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$5.1B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 25.61%
Operating Margin 17.74%
Gross Margin 86.47%
ROE 11.59%
ROA 2.86%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -8.6%
Earnings Growth -7.6%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +13.74%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -8.5%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
2.18
High debt
Current Ratio
5.33
Strong
Quick Ratio
5.02
Excellent
Cash/Share
$8.27

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.3B
Net Margin
17.3%
Total Assets
$14.1B
Liabilities
$10.5B
Equity
$3.7B
Debt/Equity
2.85x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
95%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-02-26
$1.56
-4.3% surprise
2025-11-06
$2.95
+94.1% surprise
2025-08-06
$5.05
+164.4% surprise

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing NNI against 956 companies in the Financial Services sector (153 bullish, 417 neutral, 386 bearish)
P/E Ratio
12.03
This Stock
vs
35.14
Sector Avg
-65.8% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
11.59%
This Stock
vs
0.3%
Sector Avg
+3736.3% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
25.61%
This Stock
vs
89.71%
Sector Avg
-71.4% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
2.18
This Stock
vs
1.28
Sector Avg
+70.9% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
-8.6%
This Stock
vs
33.39%
Sector Avg
-125.8% (Slower)
Current Ratio
5.33
This Stock
vs
2.99
Sector Avg
+78.5% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

MUNN WILLIAM J
General Counsel
Gift
2026-04-15
1,052 shares
PETERSON ADAM K
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Stock Award
2026-03-30
9,544 shares
HEIMES TERRY J
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-10
14,019 shares
NOORDHOEK JEFFREY R
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-10
7,527 shares
KRUGER JAMES D
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-10
16,183 shares
DUNLAP MATTHEW W
Officer and Director
Stock Award
2026-03-10
3,764 shares
OLINGER EMILY
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-10
3,990 shares
WENGER DEEANN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-10
5,928 shares
MUNN WILLIAM J
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-03-10
5,608 shares
TEWES TIMOTHY A
President
Stock Award
2026-03-10
16,183 shares
VAN DEUN JONA M
Director
Sell
2025-12-09
400 shares · $51,580
DUNLAP MICHAEL S
Officer, Director and Beneficial Owner
Gift
2025-11-19
35,000 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-04-30
DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-04-02

NNI filed a Definitive Proxy Statement on April 2, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for its upcoming annual meeting.

8-K
8-K
2026-04-02

NNI filed an 8-K on April 2, 2026, likely to announce its quarterly financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-23
10-K
10-K
2026-02-26

NNI filed its annual 10-K report on February 26, 2026. Due to the absence of detailed text in the provided excerpts, specific financial highlights and risk factors cannot be determined.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-26
8-K
8-K
2026-02-02

NNI filed an 8-K on February 2, 2026, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results for the 2025 fiscal year.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-30

NNI likely reported its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results in this 8-K filing dated January 30, 2026.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-15

NNI filed an 8-K on January 15, 2026, likely to report preliminary year-end financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-06

NNI filed an 8-K on November 6, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-06
8-K
8-K
2025-10-30
8-K
8-K
2025-10-23
8-K
8-K
2025-08-18
10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-06
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
1 analysts
TD Cowen
2026-01-08
Maintains
Hold Hold
TD Cowen
2025-11-10
Maintains
Hold Hold

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning NNI from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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