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NOC

NEUTRAL
$656.98 Live
Northrop Grumman Corporation · NYSE
Target $736.24 (+12.1%)
$450.13 52W Range $774.0
Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 21, 2026
Market cap
$93.31B
P/E
22.6
ROE
26.2%
Profit margin
10.0%
Debt/Equity
1.07
Dividend yield
1.39%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
Northrop Grumman exhibits a stable financial foundation with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and strong profitability metrics, including an ROE of 26.17%. While the stock trades at a significant premium to its Graham Number ($277.28), it remains below its growth-based intrinsic value of $858.45. However, a very high PEG ratio of 5.05 and bearish insider activity suggest that the current price may be overextended relative to near-term growth. The outlook is balanced between strong aerospace demand and valuation headwinds.

Key Strengths

Strong Return on Equity (ROE) of 26.17%
Consistent earnings beat track record (3 of last 4 quarters)
Healthy dividend payout ratio (30.91%) ensuring sustainability
Positive YoY revenue (9.60%) and earnings (15.20%) growth
Strong analyst consensus with a target price of $736.24

Key Risks

Extreme PEG ratio (5.05) indicating overvaluation relative to growth
Bearish insider sentiment with 10 sell transactions and 0 buys
Tight liquidity indicated by a Quick Ratio of 0.95
Bearish technical trend (0/100 score)
Recent Q/Q EPS growth decline of -5.7%
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$715.5
+8.9% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
61
Strong
Value
35
Future
70
Past
85
Health
55
Dividend
60
AI Verdict
Stable but Overvalued
Key drivers: High ROE, Excessive PEG ratio, Bearish insider activity, Consistent earnings beats
Confidence
80%
Value
35/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/E ratio (22.60) is reasonable for the sector
Watchpoints
  • PEG ratio of 5.05 is very high
  • Price is significantly above Graham Number ($277.28)
Future
70/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • YoY Earnings growth of 15.20%
  • Strong analyst target price upside
Watchpoints
  • Recent Q/Q EPS contraction
Past
85/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 5-year price change of +106.1%
  • Consistent history of beating EPS estimates
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Health
55/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 (Stable)
Watchpoints
  • Quick ratio below 1.0
  • Debt/Equity ratio of 1.07
Dividend
60/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Low payout ratio (30.91%) provides room for growth
Watchpoints
  • Low dividend yield (1.39%)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$656.98
Analyst Target
$736.24
Upside/Downside
+12.1%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for NOC and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-20
NOC
Northrop Grumman Corporation
Primary
5Y
+106.1%
3Y
+46.3%
1Y
+25.6%
6M
+9.9%
1M
-7.1%
1W
-3.6%
TT
Trane Technologies plc
Peer
5Y
+193.4%
3Y
+145.3%
1Y
+2.9%
6M
-2.1%
1M
-1.0%
1W
-3.8%
UPS
United Parcel Service, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-32.4%
3Y
-29.5%
1Y
+19.1%
6M
+25.1%
1M
+14.2%
1W
+1.1%
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc.
Peer
5Y
+663.2%
3Y
+450.7%
1Y
+77.7%
6M
+19.9%
1M
+6.1%
1W
-5.5%
FDX
FedEx Corporation
Peer
5Y
+40.1%
3Y
+67.7%
1Y
+52.2%
6M
+51.8%
1M
-6.6%
1W
+0.8%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
22.6
Forward P/E
21.72
PEG Ratio
5.05
P/B Ratio
5.59
P/S Ratio
2.22
EV/Revenue
2.54
EV/EBITDA
15.65
Market Cap
$93.31B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 9.97%
Operating Margin 16.53%
Gross Margin 19.81%
ROE 26.17%
ROA 6.64%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +9.6%
Earnings Growth +15.2%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +9.6%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +12.9%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.07
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.1
Good
Quick Ratio
0.95
Poor
Cash/Share
$31.02

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$11.7B
Gross Margin
19.6%
Op. Margin
10.9%
Net Margin
12.2%
Total Assets
$51.4B
Liabilities
$34.7B
Equity
$16.7B
Debt/Equity
2.08x
Operating CF
$3.9B
CapEx
$-0.7B
Free Cash Flow
$3.2B
FCF Yield
83%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-21
$N/A
2026-01-27
$7.23
+3.8% surprise
2025-10-21
$7.67
+18.8% surprise
2025-07-22
$8.15
+19.9% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing NOC against 469 companies in the Industrials sector (39 bullish, 174 neutral, 256 bearish)
P/E Ratio
22.6
This Stock
vs
98.24
Sector Avg
-77.0% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
26.17%
This Stock
vs
-19.38%
Sector Avg
-235.0% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
9.97%
This Stock
vs
6.65%
Sector Avg
+49.8% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
1.07
This Stock
vs
2.63
Sector Avg
-59.3% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
9.6%
This Stock
vs
71.29%
Sector Avg
-86.5% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.1
This Stock
vs
3.09
Sector Avg
-64.4% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

NOC Northrop Grumman...
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$93.3B
P/E
22.6
ROE
26.2%
Price
$656.98
TT Trane Technologies plc
BULLISH
Mkt Cap
$92.7B
P/E
31.9
ROE
37.2%
Price
$418.16
 Compare with NOC
UPS United Parcel...
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$92.0B
P/E
16.5
ROE
33.8%
Price
$108.24
 Compare with NOC
HWM Howmet Aerospace Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$96.9B
P/E
65.3
ROE
30.4%
Price
$241.7
 Compare with NOC
FDX FedEx Corporation
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$86.0B
P/E
19.2
ROE
15.9%
Price
$360.32
 Compare with NOC

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

BROWN MARIANNE CATHERINE
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-31
68 shares · $46,392
KRISHNA ARVIND
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-31
53 shares · $36,159
SIMPSON KATHRYN G.
General Counsel
Sell
2026-03-02
873 shares · $650,385
ROEDER ROSHAN S.
Officer
Sell
2026-02-27
1,754 shares · $1,262,880
ROEDER ROSHAN S.
Officer
Sell
2026-02-19
512 shares · $372,541
SIMPSON KATHRYN G.
General Counsel
Sell
2026-02-19
194 shares · $141,158
HARDESTY MICHAEL A
Officer
Sell
2026-02-19
147 shares · $107,748
DAVIES BENJAMIN R
Officer
Sell
2026-02-18
2,189 shares · $1,575,255
JONES THOMAS H.
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-17
2,152 shares
ROEDER ROSHAN S.
Officer
Sell
2026-02-17
318 shares · $223,414
ROEDER ROSHAN S.
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-17
2,017 shares
FLEMING ROBERT J
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-17
264 shares
SIMPSON KATHRYN G.
General Counsel
Sell
2026-02-17
779 shares · $547,294
SIMPSON KATHRYN G.
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-02-17
387 shares
DAVIES BENJAMIN R
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-17
274 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-04-03

Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) filed a definitive proxy statement on April 3, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for the upcoming annual meeting.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-13

Northrop Grumman Corporation likely filed this 8-K to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

10-K
10-K
2026-01-27
8-K
8-K
2026-01-27
8-K
8-K
2025-11-06
10-Q
10-Q
2025-10-21
8-K
8-K
2025-10-21
8-K
8-K
2025-09-02
10-Q
10-Q
2025-07-22
8-K
8-K
2025-07-22
8-K
8-K
2025-05-29
8-K
8-K
2025-05-28
8-K
8-K
2025-05-23
8-K
8-K
2025-04-22
10-Q
10-Q
2025-04-22
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
22 analysts
Jefferies
2026-04-09
Maintains
Hold Hold
Citigroup
2026-04-02
Maintains
Buy Buy
Wells Fargo
2026-04-01
init
Overweight
Jefferies
2026-02-02
Maintains
Hold Hold
Citigroup
2026-01-28
Maintains
Buy Buy
RBC Capital
2026-01-28
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
UBS
2026-01-28
Maintains
Buy Buy
BTIG
2026-01-28
Maintains
Buy Buy
B of A Securities
2026-01-28
Maintains
Buy Buy
UBS
2026-01-15
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning NOC from our newsroom.

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