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NVGS

NEUTRAL
$21.8 Live
Navigator Holdings Ltd. · NYSE
Target $23.25 (+6.7%)
$12.79 52W Range $21.83
Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated May 01, 2026
Market cap
$1.42B
P/E
14.83
ROE
8.5%
Profit margin
17.1%
Debt/Equity
0.72
Dividend yield
1.28%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
NVGS presents a stark divergence between market price and fundamental performance. While the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable financial health and the Graham Number ($24.94) suggests defensive value, the growth-based intrinsic value ($10.29) is significantly below the current price of $21.80. The company is currently trading at its 52-week high despite negative earnings growth (-10.9% YoY) and a dismal earnings track record, missing 4 of the last 4 estimates. The 'Strong Buy' analyst consensus is not supported by the deterministic scorecard or the negative earnings trajectory.

Key Strengths

Low P/E ratio (14.83) compared to the energy sector average (30.79)
Strong profit margins (17.06%) and operating margins (26.19%) exceeding sector averages
Conservative Debt/Equity ratio (0.72) relative to sector peers (1.27)
Very sustainable dividend payout ratio (14.97%)
Strong 1-year price momentum (+74.3%)

Key Risks

Negative earnings growth both YoY (-10.9%) and Q/Q (-14.4%)
Consistent failure to meet earnings expectations (0/4 beats in last 4 quarters)
Significant premium over growth-based intrinsic value ($10.29)
Bearish technical trend score (10/100) despite recent price peaks
Low insider sentiment (40/100) suggesting lack of internal confidence
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$16.5
-24.3% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
47
Moderate
Value
55
Future
30
Past
60
Health
50
Dividend
40
AI Verdict
Fundamental Divergence
Key drivers: Negative earnings growth, Price/Intrinsic value gap, Strong margins, Earnings miss streak
Confidence
90%
Value
55/100

P/E 14.83, Graham Number $24.94, Intrinsic Value $10.29

Positives
  • P/E is low vs sector
  • Price is below Graham Number
Watchpoints
  • Price is double the growth-based intrinsic value
Future
30/100

YoY Earnings Growth -10.90%

Positives
  • Slight revenue growth (6.1%)
Watchpoints
  • Negative EPS growth
  • Consistent earnings misses
Past
60/100

1Y Change +74.3%, 5Y Change +105.7%

Positives
  • Exceptional 1-year price return (+74.3%)
Watchpoints
  • Erratic earnings surprises over 25 quarters
Health
50/100

Piotroski F-Score 4/9, Debt/Equity 0.72

Positives
  • Debt/Equity is lower than sector average
  • Current ratio > 1.0
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score is only 4/9 (Stable/Mediocre)
Dividend
40/100

Dividend Strength 25/100

Positives
  • Very low payout ratio (14.97%)
Watchpoints
  • Low dividend yield (1.28%)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$21.8
Analyst Target
$23.25
Upside/Downside
+6.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for NVGS and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-30
NVG
Navigator Holdings Ltd.
Primary
5Y
+105.7%
3Y
+65.4%
1Y
+74.3%
6M
+36.1%
1M
+12.8%
1W
+4.5%
HLX
Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+124.2%
3Y
+37.0%
1Y
+61.5%
6M
+48.4%
1M
-1.7%
1W
+8.8%
NPK
NPK International Inc.
Peer
5Y
+452.4%
3Y
+308.8%
1Y
+182.9%
6M
+21.6%
1M
+12.8%
1W
+11.2%
BOR
Borr Drilling Limited
Peer
5Y
+165.0%
3Y
-14.8%
1Y
+34.9%
6M
+102.3%
1M
+12.9%
1W
+4.9%
APC
ARKO Petroleum Corp.
Peer
5Y
+4.3%
3Y
+4.3%
1Y
+4.3%
6M
+4.3%
1M
-4.1%
1W
+2.3%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
14.83
Forward P/E
14.0
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.16
P/S Ratio
2.42
EV/Revenue
3.75
EV/EBITDA
8.76
Market Cap
$1.42B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 17.06%
Operating Margin 26.19%
Gross Margin 54.25%
ROE 8.46%
ROA 3.93%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +6.1%
Earnings Growth -10.9%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +6.11%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -14.4%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.72
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.18
Good
Quick Ratio
0.84
Poor
Cash/Share
$2.38

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.2B
Gross Margin
33.6%
Op. Margin
23.0%
Net Margin
12.1%
Total Assets
$2.3B
Liabilities
$1.0B
Equity
$1.2B
Debt/Equity
0.83x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
78%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-06
$N/A
2026-03-11
$0.32
-20.5% surprise
2025-11-04
$0.36
-2.2% surprise
2025-08-12
$0.14
-34.8% surprise

Energy Sector Comparison

Comparing NVGS against 143 companies in the Energy sector (14 bullish, 55 neutral, 74 bearish)
P/E Ratio
14.83
This Stock
vs
30.05
Sector Avg
-50.6% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
8.46%
This Stock
vs
10.66%
Sector Avg
-20.7% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
17.06%
This Stock
vs
7.83%
Sector Avg
+117.8% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.72
This Stock
vs
1.24
Sector Avg
-41.9% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
6.1%
This Stock
vs
18.31%
Sector Avg
-66.7% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.18
This Stock
vs
2.21
Sector Avg
-46.8% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

NVGS Navigator Holdings Ltd.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$1.4B
P/E
14.8
ROE
8.5%
Price
$21.8
HLX Helix Energy...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$1.5B
P/E
99.3
ROE
0.9%
Price
$9.93
 Compare with NVGS
NPKI NPK International Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$1.4B
P/E
38.9
ROE
10.6%
Price
$16.35
 Compare with NVGS
BORR Borr Drilling Limited
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$1.4B
P/E
16.0
ROE
6.8%
Price
$4.47
 Compare with NVGS
APC ARKO Petroleum Corp.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$1.5B
P/E
25.8
ROE
64.4%
Price
$18.3
 Compare with NVGS

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

20-F
20-F
2026-03-12

NVGS filed its 20-F annual report on March 12, 2026. As no specific financial data or risk excerpts were provided, the filing serves as the company's comprehensive annual disclosure for the period.

20-F
20-F
2025-03-25

NVGS filed its annual report on Form 20-F on March 25, 2025. Due to the absence of provided excerpts, specific financial highlights and risk factors are currently unavailable.

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
STRONG_BUY
6 analysts
Jefferies
2025-11-05
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning NVGS from our newsroom.

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