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PRU Prudential Financial, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

NEUTRAL
PRU Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Financial Services Insurance - Life
Current Price
$107.16
Analyst Target
$116.43
+8.6% Upside
52W High
$130.55
52W Low
$90.38

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Nov 15, 2025
Market cap
$37.74B
P/E
14.68
ROE
8.5%
Profit margin
4.5%
Debt/Equity
1.49
Dividend yield
5.04%

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
Prudential Financial (PRU) trades at a significant valuation discount to the broader financial services sector, supported by a compelling 5.04% dividend yield and strong near-term earnings growth of 223.4% YoY. However, revenue contraction of -8.3% YoY, deteriorating profitability margins, and bearish insider activity—highlighted by $5.61M in recent sales—temper optimism. The stock has underperformed over the past year (-10.6%) despite a modest recovery in recent months, and while valuation appears attractive relative to peers like MET and AIG, weak ROA (0.27%) and high leverage (D/E of 1.49) raise structural concerns. Analysts concur with a 'hold' rating and a $116.43 target, implying only 8.6% upside, consistent with our neutral stance.

Key Strengths

Attractive dividend yield of 5.04% well above sector average of ~2.5%
Forward P/E of 7.29 is deeply discounted vs sector average of 22.13 and peer group
Strong YoY earnings growth of 223.4%, indicating significant earnings recovery or cost discipline
Market cap of $37.74B ensures inclusion in major indices and institutional ownership stability
Trading below 52-week high of $130.55, offering potential reversion opportunity

Key Risks

Revenue declining YoY by -8.30%, signaling underlying business contraction or portfolio runoff
ROA of just 0.27% is critically low, indicating poor asset efficiency vs sector avg of 26.51%
Debt/Equity of 1.49 exceeds sector average of 0.76, increasing financial risk in rising rate environment
Bearish insider activity: $5.61M in sales with zero buys over last 6 months
Current and quick ratios below 1.0 (0.84 and 0.73), suggesting liquidity pressure
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$116.43
+8.7% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
65
Strong
Value
88
Future
58
Past
52
Health
44
Dividend
82
AI Verdict
PRU presents a value-oriented profile with a deeply discounted forward P/E of 7.29 and a 5% dividend yield, but faces headwinds from shrinking revenues, weak asset efficiency, and elevated leverage compared to peers like MET and AIG; the stock’s 8.6% upside to consensus target and neutral analyst rating support a balanced, neutral outlook.
Key drivers: Deep valuation discount to sector and peers, High dividend yield with moderate payout ratio, Significant earnings rebound offset by revenue decline
Confidence
75%
Value
88/100

PRU is substantially cheaper than the financial services sector on earnings and sales multiples, even as peers like MET (P/E 14.81) and AIG (P/E 13.98) trade at higher multiples despite weaker growth profiles.

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 7.29 is less than one-third of sector average (22.13)
  • Price/Book of 1.17 and Price/Sales of 0.66 both below sector medians
Watchpoints
  • P/B of 1.17 may be misleading due to leverage inflating equity base
  • Lack of EV/EBITDA and EV/Revenue limits enterprise-level valuation clarity
Future
58/100

Despite explosive earnings growth, the disconnect from revenue momentum and lack of visible growth catalysts, combined with flat price performance over the past year, suggests limited near-term upside momentum.

Positives
  • Exceptional YoY earnings growth of 223.4% suggests strong earnings power recovery
  • Q/Q earnings growth of 219.4% indicates accelerating profitability
Watchpoints
  • Revenue declining by -8.3% YoY, indicating fundamental top-line weakness
  • No recent analyst target range dispersion data to assess forward sentiment breadth
Past
52/100

While PRU has delivered strong long-term returns, recent underperformance, lack of earnings beats, and declining margins over the past year reflect execution challenges and investor skepticism.

Positives
  • 5-year total return of +80.8% reflects strong long-term capital appreciation
  • Consistent profitability with positive operating and net margins
Watchpoints
  • Zero earnings beats in last 4 quarters with no surprise data, indicating missed or weak execution
  • 1-year return of -10.6% underperforms both sector and peers
Health
44/100

PRU’s financial health is weaker than peers like AIG (D/E 0.22) and PYPL (D/E 0.60), with liquidity ratios below 1.0 and asset returns far below the sector average ROA, raising concerns about capital efficiency.

Positives
  • Debt levels appear manageable at D/E of 1.49 within insurance norms
  • Operating profitability remains positive despite margin compression
Watchpoints
  • Current ratio of 0.84 and quick ratio of 0.73 indicate potential liquidity strain
  • ROA of 0.27% is alarmingly low, suggesting inefficient use of assets
Dividend
82/100

The dividend appears well-covered and highly competitive versus the sector, but lack of visibility into long-term policy and recent insider selling near dividend dates introduces caution.

Positives
  • Dividend yield of 5.04% is highly attractive in current rate environment
  • Payout ratio of 73.29% is sustainable given earnings recovery
Watchpoints
  • No data on dividend growth history or consistency of increases
  • Dividend sustainability could be pressured if earnings growth reverses

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$107.16
Analyst Target
$116.43
Upside/Downside
+8.6%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for PRU and closest competitors.

Updated 2025-11-14
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
PRU
Prudential Financial, Inc.
Primary
+80.8% +15.1% -10.6% +2.4% +3.9% +0.8%
ACGL
Arch Capital Group Ltd.
Peer
+175.6% +73.1% -2.8% -2.2% +3.3% +3.3%
AIG
American International Group, Inc.
Peer
+127.0% +37.3% +4.9% -6.8% -4.3% +1.1%
AMP
Ameriprise Financial, Inc.
Peer
+165.9% +47.8% -17.4% -12.0% -4.5% -0.4%
MSCI
MSCI Inc.
Peer
+49.6% +16.3% -5.3% -0.6% +3.2% -2.7%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
14.68
Forward P/E
7.29
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.17
P/S Ratio
0.66
EV/Revenue
0.93
EV/EBITDA
15.28
Market Cap
$37.74B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 4.54%
Operating Margin 9.92%
Gross Margin 28.0%
ROE 8.5%
ROA 0.27%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -8.3%
Earnings Growth +223.4%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +219.4%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.49
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.84
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.73
Poor
Cash/Share
$109.41

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-03
$N/A
2025-10-29
$4.01
+7.7% surprise
2025-07-30
$1.48
-51.8% surprise
2025-04-30
$1.96
-35.1% surprise

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing PRU against 32 companies in the Financial Services sector (19 bullish, 12 neutral, 1 bearish)
P/E Ratio
14.68
This Stock
vs
22.34
Sector Avg
-34.3% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
8.5%
This Stock
vs
26.06%
Sector Avg
-67.4% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
4.54%
This Stock
vs
25.09%
Sector Avg
-81.9% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.49
This Stock
vs
0.75
Sector Avg
+97.4% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
-8.3%
This Stock
vs
20.1%
Sector Avg
-141.3% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.84
This Stock
vs
1.41
Sector Avg
-40.4% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
PRU
Prudential Financial, Inc.
NEUTRAL $37.74B 14.68 8.5% 4.5% $107.16
ACGL
Arch Capital Group Ltd.
BULLISH $33.64B 8.67 17.8% 21.0% $92.52
AIG
American International Group, Inc.
NEUTRAL $42.28B 13.98 7.7% 12.0% $77.75
AMP
Ameriprise Financial, Inc.
BULLISH $42.68B 12.59 59.6% 19.6% $458.0
MSCI
MSCI Inc.
BULLISH $43.08B 35.84 -% 40.0% $565.15

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date Insider Position Transaction Shares Value
2025-11-10 LOWREY CHARLES F Chairman of the Board Sale 48,164 $5,172,332
2025-08-29 KAPPLER ANN M General Counsel Sale 4,000 $438,600
2025-08-29 BOYLE ROBERT F Officer Stock Award 352 -
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
HOLD
14 analysts
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
2025-11-03
main
Market Perform Market Perform
Evercore ISI Group
2025-10-30
main
In-Line In-Line
Barclays
2025-10-08
main
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Morgan Stanley
2025-10-07
main
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Wolfe Research
2025-09-16
init
Peer Perform
Morgan Stanley
2025-08-18
main
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Barclays
2025-07-17
main
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Wells Fargo
2025-07-16
main
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Piper Sandler
2025-07-16
main
Neutral Neutral
Morgan Stanley
2025-07-14
main
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight