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RACE Ferrari N.V. - Fundamental Analysis

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RACE Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Consumer Cyclical Auto Manufacturers
Current Price Live
$345.23
Analyst Target
$453.43
+31.3% Upside
52W High
$519.1
52W Low
$344.91

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AI Analysis

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Confidence Score
75%
Analysis Accuracy
Ferrari (RACE) exhibits a weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating marginal financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. Despite this, the company demonstrates exceptional profitability with a 45.04% ROE, 28.27% operating margin, and consistent earnings beats over the past 24 quarters. However, elevated valuation metrics—P/E of 33.0 and Price/Book of 14.02—suggest the stock is priced for near-perfect execution, especially given modest 2.9% YoY earnings growth. The stock trades well above its Graham Number ($76.13) and intrinsic value estimate ($118.72), implying significant growth expectations are already priced in, while recent price weakness (-19.6% over 1Y) reflects sentiment deterioration.

Key Strengths

Exceptional profitability with ROE of 45.04% and operating margin of 28.27%, far above sector averages
Consistent earnings outperformance: 23 out of 25 quarters beat estimates, with an average surprise of +3.4% over the last four
Strong balance sheet liquidity: Current ratio of 2.45 and quick ratio of 1.75 indicate solid short-term financial health
Low dividend payout ratio of 33.29% provides sustainability and room for future increases
Debt/Equity of 0.76 is below sector average of 1.41, reflecting conservative capital structure

Key Risks

Low Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals weak financial health based on earnings stability, leverage trends, and asset efficiency
Valuation appears stretched: P/E of 33.0 exceeds sector average (37.52) and is not justified by growth (EPS YoY: +2.9%)
Recent earnings deceleration: Most recent Q/Q EPS growth was -10.1%, indicating near-term profitability pressure
Technical trend score of 0/100 signals strong bearish momentum, with 6M return down 31.7%
Missing key financial data (EV, cash, debt, ROIC, free cash flow) limits confidence in full financial picture
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$118.72
-65.6% below current price

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