RSG Republic Services, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
AI Analysis
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Key Strengths
Key Risks
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
RSG trades at a slight premium to the industrial sector’s average P/E of 32.09 despite below-average revenue growth (3.3% vs 5.97%), making it appear relatively expensive for its growth trajectory.
- Forward P/E of 30.81 is in line with peer EMR (31.66) and below high-growth CTAS (41.49)
- P/S of 3.94 is reasonable for a stable cash flow business in industrials
- P/E of 31.17 is elevated relative to 3.3% revenue growth, resulting in a high PEG-like multiple
- Price/Book of 5.48 is steep versus sector median and suggests intangible overvaluation
While near-term earnings momentum shows signs of recovery (+7.3% Q/Q EPS), the broader trajectory of slowing revenue growth and negative YoY earnings expansion, combined with weak 6M price performance (-14.9%), suggests tepid investor sentiment on future catalysts.
- Recent Q/Q EPS growth of +7.3% suggests potential rebound in profitability
- Waste sector benefits from inflation pass-through and volume stability in economic downturns
- Revenue growth of 3.3% YoY is decelerating versus peer average of 5.97%
- Negative earnings growth trends (-2.2% YoY) raise sustainability concerns
RSG has a proven history of reliable earnings delivery and margin discipline, supported by strong 5Y total return of +120.4%, though recent underperformance (-14.9% over 6M) highlights a potential inflection point in sentiment.
- 22 out of 25 quarters beat EPS estimates, including multiple double-digit surprises (e.g., +22.6%, +38.9%)
- ROE of 18.25% and stable margins reflect long-term operational excellence
- Earnings growth has turned negative YoY (-2.2%), breaking a long streak of expansion
- 52-week high of $258.75 was not retested, and price remains 18.9% below peak
While leverage is in line with peers, RSG’s weak liquidity profile—current and quick ratios below 0.6—stands out negatively versus stable industrial operators, suggesting potential working capital strain despite adequate long-term debt levels.
- Debt/Equity of 1.14 is manageable and below sector average of 1.26
- Operating margin strength supports EBITDA cushion for debt servicing
- Current ratio of 0.58 and quick ratio of 0.51 indicate poor short-term liquidity
- Missing cash flow data raises transparency concerns about true financial runway
RSG’s dividend is well-covered and sustainable, with a prudent payout ratio typical of high-quality industrials, though the modest yield may not attract income-focused investors relative to peers like NSC.
- Low payout ratio of 35.14% provides significant coverage and room for future increases
- Dividend yield of 1.19% is supported by consistent cash flow and long-term policy
- Yield is below peer average; CTAS yields less but grows faster, NSC offers higher income
- No 5-year yield average provided, limiting visibility into consistency
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for RSG and closest competitors.
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
RSG
Republic Services, Inc.
Primary
|
+120.4% | +68.9% | +1.2% | -14.9% | -5.1% | +2.0% |
|
CMI
Cummins Inc.
Peer
|
+125.6% | +98.6% | +29.8% | +39.8% | +9.3% | -2.3% |
|
PWR
Quanta Services, Inc.
Peer
|
+524.9% | +199.4% | +32.7% | +24.6% | -1.8% | -3.5% |
|
NSC
Norfolk Southern Corporation
Peer
|
+27.7% | +22.6% | +9.6% | +16.5% | -1.5% | -0.1% |
|
ITW
Illinois Tool Works Inc.
Peer
|
+29.2% | +14.8% | -7.4% | -1.7% | -1.5% | -0.6% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
Industrials Sector Comparison
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
RSG
Republic Services, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $64.95B | 31.17 | 18.2% | 12.8% | $209.8 | |
|
CMI
Cummins Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $64.53B | 23.98 | 22.8% | 7.9% | $462.61 | |
|
PWR
Quanta Services, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $64.02B | 63.69 | 13.4% | 3.7% | $429.3 | |
|
NSC
Norfolk Southern Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $63.72B | 21.64 | 20.5% | 24.2% | $283.98 | |
|
ITW
Illinois Tool Works Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $71.16B | 23.64 | 91.7% | 19.1% | $243.97 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | BRUMMER GREGG | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 524 | - |
| 2025-08-22 | BRUMMER GREGG | Chief Operating Officer | Sale | 7,338 | $1,716,652 |
| 2025-08-19 | CASCADE INVESTMENT, L.L.C. | Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Purchase | 4,258 | $1,000,245 |
| 2025-08-08 | HODGES AMANDA | Officer | Stock Award | 124 | - |
| 2025-06-25 | VANDER ARK JONATHAN | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 970 | - |
| 2025-06-05 | CARLSEN ELYSE | Officer | Sale | 235 | $59,495 |
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets