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SHW The Sherwin-Williams Company - Fundamental Analysis

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SHW Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Basic Materials Specialty Chemicals
Current Price Live
$357.83
Analyst Target
$386.29
+8.0% Upside
52W High
$379.65
52W Low
$308.84

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AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
65%
The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) shows mixed financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating stable but not strong fundamentals. Profitability metrics like ROE (59.94%) and gross margin (48.88%) are exceptional, yet the company faces significant financial risk due to a high debt/equity ratio (3.25) and weak liquidity (current ratio: 0.82). Valuation is rich relative to both historical norms and peers, with a P/E of 34.88 and a Graham Number of just $64.38, suggesting the stock trades at a steep premium. While analysts maintain a 'buy' recommendation and recent earnings growth is positive, insider selling and deteriorating earnings surprise trends raise caution.

Key Strengths

Exceptional return on equity (ROE) of 59.94%, significantly above sector average of 15.61%
High gross margin of 48.88%, reflecting strong pricing power and cost control
Consistent year-over-year earnings growth (6.5%) and positive Q/Q EPS growth (+6.2%)
Low dividend payout ratio of 30.13%, indicating sustainable dividend policy
Strong historical price performance over 3Y and 5Y periods (+48.4% and +54.7%)

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates borderline financial health with potential instability
Very high debt/equity ratio of 3.25, well above peer average of 0.91, increasing financial risk
Poor liquidity with current ratio (0.82) and quick ratio (0.46) below 1.0, raising near-term solvency concerns
Rich valuation: current price ($357.83) is 555% above Graham Number ($64.38), implying high expectations
Insider selling activity in last 6 months ($0.53M in sales, no buys) signals lack of confidence from management
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$153.39
-57.1% below current price

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