SPG Simon Property Group, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
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SPG Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Real Estate
REIT - Retail
Current Price
Live
$184.92
Analyst Target
$194.4
+5.1%
Upside
52W High
$190.14
52W Low
$136.34
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
72%
Simon Property Group (SPG) shows strong fundamental health with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, indicating solid operational performance. However, the lack of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full solvency risk assessment, while elevated valuation multiples and a concerning 123% dividend payout ratio raise sustainability concerns. Despite strong historical price performance and a 4.83% dividend yield, weak recent earnings surprises and high leverage (Debt/Equity: 8.85) offset positives. The stock trades near analyst target ($184.92 vs. $194.40), but premium valuations relative to the Graham Number ($33.07) suggest limited margin of safety for defensive investors.
Key Strengths
Strong Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicates high financial health and operational efficiency
Exceptional profitability metrics: ROE of 82.46%, Operating Margin of 50.76%, and Gross Margin of 81.99%
Robust year-over-year earnings growth of 27.40% and revenue growth of 8.20%
Attractive dividend yield of 4.83%, above sector average
Analyst consensus recommendation is 'buy' with a target price above current levels
Key Risks
Extremely high Debt/Equity ratio of 8.85, significantly above sector average of 2.09, increasing financial risk
Dividend payout ratio of 123% exceeds earnings, raising sustainability concerns
Poor technical trend score of 10/100 suggests near-term bearish momentum
Recent earnings misses: 1 beat in last 4 quarters with average surprise of -6.34%
Valuation multiples are elevated—P/E of 26.92 and Price/Book of 26.14—despite lack of PEG data
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$194.4
+5.1% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional AI analysis across 5 key categories
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
Profitability, Growth & Financial Health
Detailed profit margins, ROE, debt ratios, and liquidity metrics
Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis
Compare SPG against industry averages and similar companies
Insider Trading & Analyst Ratings
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Past News Coverage
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