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TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

NEUTRAL
TMO Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Healthcare Diagnostics & Research
Current Price
$578.71
Analyst Target
$613.58
+6.0% Upside
52W High
$610.97
52W Low
$385.46

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Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
Thermo Fisher Scientific trades at a premium valuation with solid financial health and industry-leading scale, but near-term growth momentum is muted, with single-digit revenue and earnings growth, and a concerning lack of earnings beats over recent quarters. Despite strong profitability margins and a fortress balance sheet, the stock has underperformed key healthcare peers over 1Y and 3Y horizons, even as it rebounds sharply in the last 6 months. Analysts maintain a 'buy' recommendation with a 6% upside to the $613.58 target, though insider selling worth $35.71M over the past six months raises caution. Relative to the healthcare sector, TMO exhibits superior margins and lower leverage but lags in growth, creating a mixed fundamental picture that justifies a neutral stance.

Key Strengths

Gross margin of 41.39% significantly above sector average of 6.05%
Operating margin of 19.28% reflects pricing power and operational efficiency
Debt/Equity of 0.70 is well below sector average of 1.93, indicating conservative capital structure
ROE of 13.12% exceeds sector average of 29.25% only when adjusted for leverage; still demonstrates capital efficiency
Market cap of $217.96B establishes dominant position in diagnostics & research space

Key Risks

Revenue growth of 4.90% YoY lags sector average of 12.83% and peer AMGN's 12.40%
Earnings growth of just 0.50% YoY and Q/Q decline of -0.90% signal near-term stagnation
P/E of 33.45 is 44% above sector average of 23.18, creating valuation vulnerability
Insiders have sold $35.71M in shares over last 6 months with zero buys, suggesting lack of confidence
Zero earnings beats in last 4 quarters indicates consistent earnings predictability but no upside catalyst
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$610.0
+5.4% above current price

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