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WMT Walmart Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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WMT Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Consumer Defensive Discount Stores
Current Price Live
$119.7
Analyst Target
$122.95
+2.7% Upside
52W High
$121.24
52W Low
$79.81

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Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
Walmart's deterministic health score is concerning with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating stable but not strong financial health, and the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. Despite elevated valuation metrics—P/E of 41.85 vs sector average of 25.49—WMT shows robust earnings growth (35.2% YoY) and solid ROE (23.66%), offset by weak profitability margins and deteriorating insider sentiment. The stock trades significantly above its Graham Number ($27.85) and even above the growth-based intrinsic value of $84.37, reflecting high market expectations. Analysts maintain a strong_buy consensus, but insider selling and stretched valuations temper near-term upside potential.

Key Strengths

Strong year-over-year earnings growth (35.2%) and consistent quarterly EPS expansion
High return on equity (23.66%) indicating efficient use of shareholder capital
Low debt/equity ratio (0.67), below sector average (1.82), signaling conservative leverage
Analyst consensus is strong_buy with 39 analysts supporting upside
Impressive 5-year price performance (+168.1%), demonstrating long-term momentum

Key Risks

Low Piotroski F-Score (4/9) suggests suboptimal financial health and operational efficiency
Elevated P/E ratio (41.85) significantly above sector average (25.49), increasing vulnerability to multiple contraction
Very weak liquidity profile with current ratio (0.80) and quick ratio (0.20) below safe thresholds
Bearish insider sentiment with $136.41M in net selling over last 6 months
Stock trades at a large premium to Graham Number ($27.85) and intrinsic value ($84.37), leaving limited margin of safety
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$88.0
-26.5% below current price

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