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Ceasefire uncertainty looms large as prediction markets signal a long road to de-escalation

Apr 07, 2026 14:12 UTC

Ceasefire uncertainty looms large as prediction markets signal a long road to de-escalation.

  • Investors are increasingly focused on the timing of a potential ceasefire between the United States and Iran, as geopolitical tensions intensify and carry significant implications for global markets
  • Prediction market data from Polymarket suggests that expectations for de-escalation are skewed

Investors are increasingly focused on the timing of a potential ceasefire between the United States and Iran, as geopolitical tensions intensify and carry significant implications for global markets. Prediction market data from Polymarket suggests that expectations for de-escalation are skewed

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