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Corporate Score 42 Bearish

Michelin Warns of Q1 Volume Decline Amid Slumping Global Vehicle Demand

Apr 08, 2026 18:34 UTC
ML.PA
Short term

Michelin expects a low-to-mid single-digit drop in first-quarter tire volumes driven by weak original equipment demand. While replacement markets remain steady, softness in China, Europe, and the U.S. continues to weigh on growth.

  • Projected low-to-mid single-digit decline in Q1 tire volumes
  • Negative demand for passenger cars and light trucks globally
  • North American transport tire volumes pressured by high inventories
  • Replacement tire demand remains broadly stable
  • Weakness noted specifically in China, Europe, and the US

Michelin has issued a cautious outlook for the first quarter of 2026, projecting a decline in tire volumes. The company anticipates a drop in the low-to-mid single-digit range, primarily attributed to a persistent downturn in original equipment (OE) demand across its primary global markets. The slump is widespread, with negative demand for passenger cars and light trucks. Michelin specifically highlighted slower vehicle demand in China, alongside continued softness in the United States and Europe, indicating a broader cooling in the automotive sector. The transport tire segment is facing similar headwinds. In North America, volumes have been particularly impacted by high truck inventories and a general softening in freight activity, which has dampened the need for new tire installations. Despite the OE struggles, the company noted that the replacement tire market remains broadly stable. This stability provides a critical buffer against the volatility seen in new vehicle production. Shares of Michelin (ML.PA) were trading at EUR 30.54 on the Paris Stock Exchange, reflecting a gain of EUR 1.32, or approximately 4.52%.

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