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Geopolitical Score 88 Bullish

Geopolitical Thaw Drives Indonesian Rally as US-Iran Ceasefire Hits Oil

Apr 09, 2026 01:32 UTC
CL=F, JKSE
Short term

The Jakarta Composite Index surged over 4% as global markets reacted to a two-week ceasefire agreement between the United States and Iran. The deal, contingent on the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, triggered a sharp sell-off in crude oil and a broad rally in Asian equities.

  • JCI closed at 7,279.21 after a 4.42% daily gain
  • US-Iran ceasefire contingent on reopening the Strait of Hormuz
  • WTI Crude oil fell 16.07% to $94.80 per barrel
  • Major Indonesian banks and mining firms saw gains between 3% and 8%
  • Wall Street averages closed at session highs following the news

The Indonesian stock market broke a three-day losing streak on Wednesday, with the Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) rallying 308.18 points, or 4.42%, to close at 7,279.21. The surge reflects a broader shift in global sentiment following news of a diplomatic breakthrough between Washington and Tehran. The rally was sparked by a two-week ceasefire agreement. President Donald Trump stated that the U.S. would suspend attacks on Iran provided that the Strait of Hormuz is completely and immediately reopened. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi confirmed that the strategic waterway would be reopened if attacks ceased. In Jakarta, the gains were widespread across multiple sectors. Financials led the charge, with Bank Negara Indonesia soaring 7.69% and Bank Central Asia climbing 3.85%. Resource companies also saw significant jumps, including Vale Indonesia (+8.30%) and Timah (+8.57%), as investors pivoted toward risk-on assets. The ceasefire sent shockwaves through the energy sector as supply-disruption risks dissipated. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude for May delivery plummeted 16.07%, dropping $18.15 to settle at $94.80 per barrel. This positive momentum mirrored a strong session on Wall Street, where the Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 2.85% to 47,909.92 and the S&P 500 jumped 2.51% to 6,782.81. Market participants expect the JCI to maintain its upward trajectory into Thursday, though gains may be more measured than those seen in Western markets.

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