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Geopolitical Score 85 Neutral

Asian Markets Diverge as Hormuz Blockade Clouds Middle East Ceasefire

Apr 10, 2026 08:37 UTC
CL=F, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, ^N225, ^GSPC
Short term

Asian equities ended mixed on Friday as severe shipping disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz offset optimism from a U.S.-Iran ceasefire. Brent crude climbed toward $98 per barrel amid ongoing geopolitical volatility.

  • Strait of Hormuz traffic plummeted to 5% of normal daily volume
  • Brent crude prices rose toward $98/bbl amid supply fears
  • Nikkei 225 and Kospi saw strong gains led by technology stocks
  • China's producer prices turned positive due to rising import costs
  • HKMA issued first stablecoin licenses, boosting Hong Kong thematic stocks
  • US Q4 GDP revised down to 0.5% while jobless claims rose

Asian markets displayed a fragmented performance on Friday, struggling to balance a fragile ceasefire agreement against the reality of a crippled shipping corridor in the Middle East. Despite a two-week ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran, the Strait of Hormuz remains largely blocked. Ship-tracking data reveals a drastic drop in traffic, with only seven vessels passing through in 24 hours compared to the typical daily average of 140. This supply-side risk pushed Brent crude prices up nearly 2%, approaching the $98 per barrel mark. The geopolitical tension was further complicated by overnight exchanges of strikes between Israel and Hezbollah, prompting U.S. President Donald Trump to warn Tehran against charging fees on oil tankers. In East Asia, the Nikkei 225 surged 1.84% to 56,924.11, driven by corporate earnings optimism and technology sector investment. South Korea's Kospi rose 1.40% to 5,858.87 following the Bank of Korea's decision to maintain interest rates for a seventh consecutive meeting, with tech giants Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix gaining 1% and 2.9%, respectively. China's Shanghai Composite edged up 0.51% to 3,986.22. Official data showed factory-gate prices turned positive in March for the first time in over three years, though this was largely driven by higher import costs linked to West Asian tensions. Meanwhile, Hong Kong's Hang Seng index added 0.55% to close at 25,893.54, bolstered by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority granting its first three stablecoin licenses. In the U.S., markets ended higher on hopes for direct talks between Israel and Lebanon. However, economic data presented a mixed picture, with fourth-quarter GDP growth revised lower to 0.5% and jobless claims rebounding to their highest level since February.

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