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Macro Score 35 Bearish

US Futures Edge Lower Ahead of Critical March Inflation Data

Apr 10, 2026 10:08 UTC
ES=F, NQ=F
Immediate term

S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 futures saw slight declines as investors braced for consumer price index reports. Market participants are balancing persistent inflation concerns against a slight easing in borrowing costs.

  • E-mini S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 futures dipped 0.1%
  • Expected March overall inflation at 3.3%
  • Expected monthly inflation rise of 0.9%
  • Core inflation forecast at 2.7%
  • Investors monitoring the balance between inflation and borrowing costs

US equity futures traded slightly lower on Friday morning, with E-mini S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 contracts both dipping approximately 0.1%. The cautious sentiment reflects a market in waiting, as traders position themselves ahead of key inflation readings. The primary focus for investors is the March consumer price data, which serves as a critical barometer for the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate trajectory. While some relief has emerged in borrowing costs, the underlying inflation trend remains a point of contention for market participants. Market expectations for March consumer prices are centered around a 3.3% overall increase, with a monthly rise of 0.9%. Core inflation, which strips out volatile food and energy costs, is expected to hover around 2.7%. These figures suggest that the cost of living continues to rise at a pace that may complicate the central bank's efforts to bring inflation back to its target. Consequently, the slight softness in futures indicates a risk-off posture until the official data is released.

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