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Macro Score 85 Bullish

US Markets Rally as Core Inflation Remains Stable Despite Oil Price Surge

Apr 10, 2026 12:45 UTC
SPX, CL=F
Immediate term

S&P 500 futures climbed following March CPI data that showed tame core inflation. While headline inflation rose due to geopolitical tensions in Iran, investors are focusing on the underlying price stability.

  • Core CPI figures were relatively tame
  • Headline CPI jumped due to soaring oil prices
  • Geopolitical tensions involving Iran are driving energy costs
  • S&P 500 futures rose, extending a seven-session winning streak

US equity futures trended higher on Friday as the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report provided a mixed but ultimately optimistic outlook for investors. While headline inflation figures saw an uptick, the core metrics remained subdued, easing fears of a renewed inflationary spiral. The increase in headline CPI was primarily driven by a surge in energy costs, specifically oil prices, which have spiked amid escalating conflict involving Iran. This geopolitical volatility has introduced significant pressure on global energy markets, though the broader economy appears to be resisting a widespread price surge. The S&P 500 continues its strong momentum, extending its winning streak to seven consecutive sessions. Traders are interpreting the tame core CPI as a sign that the Federal Reserve may have more room to maneuver with monetary policy, despite the exogenous shock of rising oil prices. Market participants remain cautious but bullish, balancing the risks of geopolitical instability against the positive trend in core inflation data. The focus now shifts to whether energy costs will continue to drive headline figures higher in the coming months.

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