Federal officials have been cautioned against using non-public information after a $500 million bet on oil futures preceded a major policy shift regarding Iran. The incident has sparked a bipartisan legislative push to ban government officials from trading in prediction markets.
- Internal White House warning issued on March 24
- $500 million in oil futures bets placed moments before policy announcement
- Oil prices fell 15% following the decision to delay attacks on Iran
- Bipartisan legislation introduced to ban officials from prediction markets
- Polymarket traders earned $1 million on Iran-related event contracts
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