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Geopolitical Score 75 Bullish

Onyx Warns of Potential Oil Spike to $150 Amid US Blockade Risks

Apr 13, 2026 04:51 UTC
CL=F, UKOIL, XOP
Medium term

Energy analyst Onyx suggests crude oil prices could soar to $150 per barrel if the United States implements a blockade. The projection highlights the extreme vulnerability of global energy supplies to geopolitical escalation.

  • Onyx forecasts oil prices could hit $150 per barrel
  • Price increase tied to a potential US-led blockade
  • Saint John, New Brunswick, cited as highly vulnerable to US trade friction
  • Regional risks extend to oil, lumber, and seafood exports
  • Potential for systemic global energy supply disruption

Global energy markets are on alert following a projection from Onyx suggesting that crude oil prices could climb to $150 per barrel. This significant price target is predicated on the scenario where the United States proceeds with a strategic blockade, which would severely disrupt global supply chains. The forecast underscores the fragility of current energy distributions and the potential for rapid price escalation in the event of direct geopolitical intervention. Such a move would likely trigger a systemic shock to energy costs worldwide, impacting everything from industrial production to consumer pricing. Regional vulnerabilities are already evident in trade-dependent hubs. In Canada, the city of Saint John, New Brunswick, is identified as particularly susceptible to US trade friction. The region's heavy reliance on the American market for the export of oil, lumber, and seafood makes it a primary point of failure should diplomatic relations deteriorate into economic warfare. Market participants are now weighing the probability of such a blockade against current diplomatic efforts. While the $150 target is a worst-case scenario, the potential for extreme volatility remains high as traders monitor US foreign policy signals.

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