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Geopolitical Score 65 Neutral

Nikkei Eyes Recovery as Wall Street Gains Offset Geopolitical Tension

Apr 13, 2026 23:18 UTC
NKY, CL=F, 7201.T, 7267.T, 6758.T
Short term

The Japanese equity market is poised for a rebound following a modest decline, supported by strong performance in U.S. indices. Investors are balancing optimism over upcoming earnings against volatility stemming from a U.S.-led blockade in the Strait of Hormuz.

  • Nikkei 225 finished Monday at 56,502.77
  • Automotive sector led losses in Japan
  • WTI crude rose to $99.24 due to Strait of Hormuz blockade
  • U.S. markets closed strongly, providing a positive lead for Asia
  • Strong earnings expectations tempering geopolitical risks

The Nikkei 225 is expected to recover from Monday's losses as Asian markets look to mirror a positive close on Wall Street. The index ended Monday at 56,502.77, down 421.34 points or 0.74%, following a period of significant growth that saw the market gain over 3,800 points in just four sessions. The Monday dip was primarily driven by weakness in the automotive sector, with Nissan Motor tumbling 2.53%, Mazda Motor retreating 1.28%, and Honda Motor declining 1.22%. Financial shares presented a mixed picture, while technology stocks were fragmented; Sony Group fell 2.23%, whereas Hitachi and Panasonic Holdings both posted gains. Global market volatility was heightened by the failure of U.S.-Iran negotiations, leading to a blockade of ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz. This geopolitical friction pushed West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude prices up 2.76% to $99.24 per barrel. Despite the energy spike, traders appear to believe the tension will be managed without escalating into a broader conflict. Positive momentum from the U.S. is expected to provide a tailwind for Tuesday's Asian session. The Dow climbed 301.68 points, the NASDAQ jumped 280.84 points, and the S&P 500 rallied 69.35 points. This strength, combined with anticipation for a robust corporate earnings season, has left the global forecast for Asian markets cautiously optimistic.

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