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Macro Score 42 Neutral

TSX Poised for Gains Amid Central Bank Easing and Mixed Global Cues

Apr 14, 2026 12:26 UTC
TSX, NVDA, CL=F, GC=F
Immediate term

Canadian equities are expected to open higher following coordinated rate cuts by the Bank of Canada and the U.S. Federal Reserve. However, downward pressure on energy and precious metals may cap potential gains.

  • BoC and Fed both implemented 25bps rate cuts
  • Fed Chair Powell warns of persistent inflation
  • China restricts Nvidia RTX Pro 6000D chip purchases
  • Canadian small business sentiment improved to 50.20
  • WTI Crude and Gold prices trending lower

The S&P/TSX Composite Index is positioned for a positive start on Thursday, driven by optimism surrounding a continued cycle of monetary easing from both the Bank of Canada and the U.S. Federal Reserve. Both central banks recently implemented 25-basis-point rate cuts, a move that aligned with market expectations. The Federal Reserve further bolstered sentiment by signaling that two additional rate reductions are likely before the end of the year. On the domestic front, Canadian small business sentiment showed improvement, rising to 50.20 points in September from 47.80 in August, according to the Canadian Federation of Independent Business. This suggests a slight recovery in confidence among smaller enterprises despite broader economic volatility. Despite the bullish domestic outlook, global markets remain fragmented. Asian equities declined following hawkish remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell regarding persistent inflation and the expectation that price pressures will continue into next year. Furthermore, trade tensions escalated as Chinese regulators banned domestic tech companies from purchasing Nvidia's RTX Pro 6000D chips. The TSX faces immediate headwinds from the commodities sector. West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures fell to $63.80, while gold futures dropped to $3,706.30. The benchmark index previously closed nearly flat at 29,321.66, reflecting a tug-of-war between the benefits of lower interest rates and the drag of falling commodity prices.

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