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Corporate Score 45 Bullish

Goldman Sachs Forecasts Continued Growth in Private Credit Despite Liquidity Concerns

Apr 16, 2026 04:54 UTC
GS
Medium term

Kristin Olson, Goldman Sachs' global head of alternatives for wealth, expects private credit to attract capital due to the illiquidity premium. The firm suggests a 25% allocation to alternatives for moderate-risk UHNW portfolios.

  • Private credit growth driven by illiquidity premiums
  • Goldman recommends 25% alternatives allocation for moderate-risk UHNW portfolios
  • Outlook remains positive despite recent redemption episodes
  • Focus on ultra-high-net-worth and family office segments

Goldman Sachs is maintaining a bullish outlook on the private credit market, asserting that the asset class will continue to attract significant capital inflows despite recent episodes of investor redemptions. The firm believes the structural advantages of private lending outweigh short-term liquidity volatility. Kristin Olson, the firm's global head of alternatives for wealth, highlighted the 'illiquidity premium' as the primary driver for this sustained growth. This premium compensates investors for locking up their capital in exchange for potentially higher yields compared to those available in public markets. For ultra-high-net-worth individuals and family offices, Goldman Sachs recommends a strategic allocation of approximately 25% of a moderate-risk portfolio toward alternative investments. This broad category encompasses private credit alongside other non-traditional assets. The stance suggests that institutional and wealthy investors are likely to prioritize long-term yield enhancement over immediate liquidity. This indicates a sustained appetite for private lending as a core component of diversified wealth management strategies in the current economic environment.

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